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Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 09:43 PM Jan 2018

CNN: How Democrats lost the shutdown

Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large

Updated 8:21 PM ET, Mon January 22, 2018

The history of government shutdowns -- and the polling on this shutdown in particular -- suggested that Democrats were poised to benefit politically from the shuttering of the federal bureaucracy.

And then, suddenly on Monday afternoon, Democrats gave in, with all but 16 of their 48 members voting to reopen the government with a three-week continuing resolution and a vague promise from Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell that they would get a fair hearing in their efforts to extend the DACA immigration program.

Why? Good question! And one that many liberals within the party -- up to and including the half-dozen or so Democrats in the Senate planning runs for president in 2020 -- are asking in the wake of the Democrats' capitulation.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/22/politics/democratic-party-shutdown/index.html

The analysis goes on to say that he thinks the answer is that red-state Democrats up for re-election in 2018 panicked. There are 10 Dems running in states where Trump won (North Dakota, West Virginia, Indiana, Missouri). He says that those Dems put pressure on Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer to get the best deal he could, reopen the government and declare victory. (Article says that Schumer was losing support among that group of vulnerable Dems.)

The article says that a three-week CR with no guarantee of a clean DACA vote -- "belies that claim of a Democratic win."

So could this end up being a deal for DACA? Maybe. But, like the article says, "....even if Schumer gets his promise out of McConnell for a DACA vote and even if it passes the Senate, the Republican-controlled House and White House await. And it's hard to see a Senate deal surviving those two gauntlets."

Kamala Harris and Congressional Black Caucus Chairman Cedric Richmond both made statements against the deal.
56 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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CNN: How Democrats lost the shutdown (Original Post) Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 OP
So CNN wants us to believe Wellstone ruled Jan 2018 #1
I found this on Sen. Tester of Montana Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #6
Tester is being slick bigtree Jan 2018 #25
Thanks for making that point. He is a slickster! Wwcd Jan 2018 #29
does he mention 6 more years of CHIP? 0rganism Jan 2018 #2
Unbelievably, everyone is pretending CHIP did not happen! If they did then could not say this. Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #11
Rs had already written CHIP into Fridays bill. They'd already conceded that Arazi Jan 2018 #14
Yep. CHIP was always going to be funded. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #16
Just a disagreement? Umm this is a big deal! Wwcd Jan 2018 #32
No, CHIP was being used as a bargaining chip by Republicans, and funding was not guaranteed BoneyardDem Jan 2018 #49
It was ... NOT .... a clean bill on CHIP and you KNOW THAT !! Stop with the RWTP !!! uponit7771 Jan 2018 #22
Friday's bill included wall funding, right? 0rganism Jan 2018 #53
Planned. Held back as a bargaining chip. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #15
I see you repeat yourself. So I will too, see my post #49 BoneyardDem Jan 2018 #50
Funding was NO ISSUE for CHIP. The only question was: do it short term or long term? Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #55
nice of you to do Republican talking points for them...I happen to think you are both wrong BoneyardDem Jan 2018 #56
CHIP? You mean th3e CHIP that was in the resolution all along? ollie10 Jan 2018 #44
Got the GOP to free most of their child hostages; and a PUBLIC promise to vote on the rest. lagomorph777 Jan 2018 #51
We didnt lose Johnny2X2X Jan 2018 #3
I do think the Dems lost. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #9
Nonsense. R refusing a reasonable thing like CHIP and caving makes us the winner. Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #12
It was fine...it became quite clear over the weekend that we were not going to get DACA this way... Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #38
And this guy us a right winger Iliyah Jan 2018 #4
No he's not. nt Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #7
Read his past Clinton columns. NYT has him to appear more balanced. Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #13
I'll do you better than that. I'll post some links to his articles. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #17
Search "Chris Cillizza on Clinton" and you will get my drift. But Chris does seem to have come Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #18
Because someone doesn't take a partisan stance does not mean they are opposite-partisan. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #20
Yeah well this joker fails on all account...smarmy bastard. Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #37
My opinion is based on history, all of it, not just recent history. Free country! Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #42
He is in a whole different category than Chuck Tod. Wwcd Jan 2018 #47
Nah hes just a big asshole BannonsLiver Jan 2018 #24
His links should be considered RW talking points, here on DU. Wwcd Jan 2018 #27
Yes he is a RW hack opinion writer. Wwcd Jan 2018 #35
Cillizza was FAR worse a year ago. Shitler has changed him for the better. Fred Sanders Jan 2018 #39
Rofl..well that is true. Is there no end to Trump's positive influence? Wwcd Jan 2018 #48
Fuck his analysis. nt BootinUp Jan 2018 #5
I don't think so. It seems to be accurate. Honeycombe8 Jan 2018 #8
I don't want to read it, lol. nt BootinUp Jan 2018 #10
Only if you already hate Democrats and want them to fail. Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #36
That's not even close to what he said on air mcar Jan 2018 #19
I'm not surprised the ratings-driven press is still trying to throw this narrative at the wall LanternWaste Jan 2018 #21
Horse race Uber alles! Caliman73 Jan 2018 #52
likely suspect being hyperbolic to stir shit bigtree Jan 2018 #23
I'm just not seeing it Renew Deal Jan 2018 #26
What Joediss Jan 2018 #28
Message auto-removed Name removed Jan 2018 #30
Hate that guy Trump thumper in my opinion. Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #34
Joe Madison had Corey Booker and Doug Jones on his show this morning BumRushDaShow Jan 2018 #31
sounds like bullshit to me when CNN had been saying all weekend that the Dems had Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #33
So? She is running for president...certain members were allowed to take a pass on this bill as they Demsrule86 Jan 2018 #40
This is, broadly, the narrative that NPR is pushing as well Orrex Jan 2018 #41
I dont read Cillizza any more ismnotwasm Jan 2018 #43
This is a huge disservice Lithos Jan 2018 #45
Schumer got them to make deal - m3n0z Jan 2018 #46
Whew, I hate this! moose65 Jan 2018 #54

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
6. I found this on Sen. Tester of Montana
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:19 PM
Jan 2018
Democratic Sen. Jon Tester of Montana has voted against a bipartisan agreement to re-open the federal government after a three-day shutdown. He was the only “no” vote Monday among 10 incumbent Democrats facing re-election this year in states won by President Donald Trump in 2016.

Tester says the budget deal did not include funding for community health centers important to his rural state, nor did it add resources for border security.

Tester says that while pundits have focused on immigration, “this was always about Montana for me and I just won’t allow Washington to keep failing our state.”"


http://flatheadbeacon.com/2018/01/22/tester-votes-no-bill-end-shutdown/

So DACA and immigration doesn't figure to be a big issue in Montana, looks like. Other issues are more important to his state, and those weren't included in the budget.

bigtree

(86,016 posts)
25. Tester is being slick
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:11 AM
Jan 2018

...he voted against the Dream Act.

He voted against the funding bill as a conservative republican would. He'll have his sop to the left and a sop to the right.

Fred Sanders

(23,946 posts)
11. Unbelievably, everyone is pretending CHIP did not happen! If they did then could not say this.
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:28 PM
Jan 2018

And it is three weeks...the 12 hour news cycle is in a tizzy.

80% supported DACA will be the talk of the town for 3 weeks...that is part of this victory for us.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
16. Yep. CHIP was always going to be funded.
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:36 PM
Jan 2018

The Rs just had a disagreement about whether to fund it for the short term or long term. Even Trump wanted it funded.

This was no give-up by the Rs. It was used as a bargaining chip, though.

 

Wwcd

(6,288 posts)
32. Just a disagreement? Umm this is a big deal!
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:29 AM
Jan 2018

"Rs just had a disagreement about whether to fund it for the short term or long term"

Ya like do we get care for kids for a couple months month or for 6 yrs!
That's not "just a disagreement".

IT IS A BIG DEAL !

 

BoneyardDem

(1,202 posts)
49. No, CHIP was being used as a bargaining chip by Republicans, and funding was not guaranteed
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 12:48 PM
Jan 2018

doesn't matter that 80% of everyone in the US wanted it. They didn't care...they knew virtually 100% of Dems wanted it, so it was vulnerable to their end own game. Fully funding Chip and and for 6 years was not a given. It is a given now, and its also no longer a bargaining chip for Republicans

0rganism

(23,991 posts)
53. Friday's bill included wall funding, right?
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 01:27 PM
Jan 2018

i remember hearing the current agreement does not include wall funding, but does include CHIP funding for 6 years
does that matter in the final score?

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
15. Planned. Held back as a bargaining chip.
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:33 PM
Jan 2018

It was always going to be in the bill. Couldn't get passed even by the Republicans, w/o it being in the bill.

4 Repubs refused to vote for the bill. McConnell was one of them. That means they didn't have enough Republicans to pass the budget even w/the nuclear option. Even the ignoramous Trump was concerned about whether CHIP should be funded for the short or the long term. But there was no doubt that it WOULD be funded.

CHIP is noncontroversial, few politicians were against it, most citizens are for it.

This was just SO obvious. So it's good that it's now funded. But let's not pretend that any budget ws going to pass w/o it.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
55. Funding was NO ISSUE for CHIP. The only question was: do it short term or long term?
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 05:13 PM
Jan 2018

Trump wanted it, Republicans wanted it, Dems wanted it. No problemo.

The only question, as Trump said, was that he thought it was going to be in the short term budget but someone explained to him it'd be better to do it with a long term budget. See? It was always going to be done. This is not a Dem win. But people won't remember, so maybe it can be played that way. Giving in, giving the appearance that the shutdown was the Dems' fault, is sure going to be played a lot.

 

BoneyardDem

(1,202 posts)
56. nice of you to do Republican talking points for them...I happen to think you are both wrong
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 07:46 PM
Jan 2018

polls have already shown that they have failed in trying to push the narrative that it was the Dems fault for the shut down. This second shut down won't change the Republican attempt and re-directing the narrative, but it will be even more apparent that it was all on them.

I completely disagree that Republicans wouldn't have used CHIP for their own gains. That you trust them so much on one issue (funding CHIP) but fail to trust them on other issues (DACA) remains a mystery to me.

 

ollie10

(2,091 posts)
44. CHIP? You mean th3e CHIP that was in the resolution all along?
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:44 AM
Jan 2018

Yes, that chip.

And, don't forget that the same bill reduces spending for hospitals, etc.

So they may have insurance but no hospital to go to.....

Admit it. We got rolled.

If you actually think this is a victory, then what the hell is a loss?

lagomorph777

(30,613 posts)
51. Got the GOP to free most of their child hostages; and a PUBLIC promise to vote on the rest.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 12:51 PM
Jan 2018

CHIP hostages freed
DACA hostages acknowledged on TV by McTurdle.

How is that a loss?

Worst case, we can now hang McTurdle's public promise around his neck when it turns out to be a lie.

Johnny2X2X

(19,271 posts)
3. We didnt lose
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:05 PM
Jan 2018

Not a loss, but I want to see Dems start acting tougher. Dems represent the majority, the only reason it’s not reflected in Congress is that Reps cheat.

Dems are the voice of the people, they need to speak and act with that power.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
9. I do think the Dems lost.
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:27 PM
Jan 2018

Yesterday: The Republican shutdown, the Trump shutdown.

Today: The Democrats are finally being reasonable; the Democrats got some of their demands, so the shutdown can end (as in...it was a Dem shutdown).

Demsrule86

(68,800 posts)
38. It was fine...it became quite clear over the weekend that we were not going to get DACA this way...
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:34 AM
Jan 2018

Maybe with CHIP off the table and no more "Americas'' kid ads, it will work better next time.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
17. I'll do you better than that. I'll post some links to his articles.
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 10:45 PM
Jan 2018
https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/19/politics/stormy-daniels-analysis/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/18/politics/midterms-enthusiasm/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/18/politics/donald-trump-exercise-analysis/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/17/politics/shutdown-politics-republicans-analysis/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/16/politics/shithole-lying-analysis/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/12/politics/shithole-comment-republican-reaction/index.html

There is nothing in his articles to indicate he's Republican.

(Someone tried to say this about Chuck Todd, recently. I guess figuring that others wouldn't know that's not true. But it wasn't true. Todd has Democratic Party involvement in his past. Not Republican.)

Because someone isn't a rabid partisan, that doesn't make him the opposite party. Reporters do try to strike a balance and be impartial. Plus, there are moderates.

Fred Sanders

(23,946 posts)
18. Search "Chris Cillizza on Clinton" and you will get my drift. But Chris does seem to have come
Mon Jan 22, 2018, 11:05 PM
Jan 2018

around to being more moderate, and in the world of real facts, no doubt. Wants to keep his job.

Honeycombe8

(37,648 posts)
20. Because someone doesn't take a partisan stance does not mean they are opposite-partisan.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 10:25 AM
Jan 2018

It's their job to be nonpartisan. In fact, I disregard opinions that are partisan down the line, since NOTHING and no one is always right.

I also notice that when someone doesn't want to deal with an article or message, they attack the messenger.

Do you have something substantive to say, or just more attacks on the author, while ignoring the facts?

 

Wwcd

(6,288 posts)
47. He is in a whole different category than Chuck Tod.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 12:25 PM
Jan 2018

His opinion writings should be labeled as RW talking pts.
Because that is the direction it leans straight towards.
Its sensationalism at best.

BannonsLiver

(16,547 posts)
24. Nah hes just a big asshole
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:02 AM
Jan 2018

Whose default framing on any issue is to paint the Dems as either being bumblers or at a hopeless disadvantage or behind the curve. In Cilliza’s world Dems aren’t evil they just never do anything right. Did I mention he was a giant, gaping asshole? Hated by others in the media?

I hope Chris’ me too moment comes sooner rather than later. He’s a slime.

 

Wwcd

(6,288 posts)
27. His links should be considered RW talking points, here on DU.
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:18 AM
Jan 2018

How anyone can appreciate & believe what he writes, " says more about them"
We see you! 👀

 

Wwcd

(6,288 posts)
48. Rofl..well that is true. Is there no end to Trump's positive influence?
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 12:36 PM
Jan 2018

Cillizza goes the direction of the wind on any given day. Money & media

 

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)
21. I'm not surprised the ratings-driven press is still trying to throw this narrative at the wall
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 10:34 AM
Jan 2018

I'm not surprised the ratings-driven press is still trying to throw this narrative at the wall in hopes it sticks one day. The ratings-driven press loves to attribute variations on RW talking points as their own analysis. Nice work if you can get it.

Caliman73

(11,760 posts)
52. Horse race Uber alles!
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 01:05 PM
Jan 2018

Fights get ratings. "Who won the shut down?" "Who are the winners and the losers?" All of this crap is ridiculous. Who won the shut down? It isn't a game. Shutting down the government is a failure! Passing CR after CR to keep the country limping along is a failure! Not allowing bills on immigration reform to be brought up in Congress' regular business is a failure!

Obviously, because I am a Democrat, I side with one party and ascribe blame more heavily to the Republicans, but all of this is just a failure of governance because everyone is thinking about it only as a game.

One party believes that the Federal Government should be working with State and local governments to try to meet the needs of the most people possible with effective public policy. Do they always succeed? No, a big no in many cases. The difference is, they try, and if and when they fail, they try again.

The other party believes that the Federal Government should only protect property rights and economic interests, and most recently, that the Federal Government should enforce a moral order in line with conservative Christianity.

The media never really analyzes what the right wingers stand for, they just report on the game and who wore it better. That is not journalism.

Joediss

(84 posts)
28. What
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:21 AM
Jan 2018

What to fuck does it matter what some TV anchor some above any fucking any thing , hell , this is stupid about who won and who lost , a God damn week from now , nobody will care except for some TV pundit.

Response to Honeycombe8 (Original post)

BumRushDaShow

(129,992 posts)
31. Joe Madison had Corey Booker and Doug Jones on his show this morning
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:26 AM
Jan 2018

Corey voted against and Doug voted for. Yet both were pretty much on the same page.

Corey's argument was pretty much on par with what most DUers argue for.

However the issue that Jones had was more focused on CHIP and the fact that his state of AL (like some others - e.g., VA) have a good number of government workers who were being impacted. And the 2013 shutdown apparently had a major major impact on the state given their economic standing is already poor, particularly when compared to places like MD & VA & even PA, with large populations of government workers. Of course some of that has to do with what I call "spite" politics. He wants to see what the bipartisan group (I think there are something like 20 or 30) does with DACA and other issues. He is new so he will be learning....

Demsrule86

(68,800 posts)
33. sounds like bullshit to me when CNN had been saying all weekend that the Dems had
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:29 AM
Jan 2018

'overplayed' their hand. Fuck you CNN...Fox lite.

Demsrule86

(68,800 posts)
40. So? She is running for president...certain members were allowed to take a pass on this bill as they
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:35 AM
Jan 2018

should have been. We have an election coming up in less than a year...make or break.

Lithos

(26,404 posts)
45. This is a huge disservice
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 11:53 AM
Jan 2018

The issue was not one of Democrats vs. Republicans, but one of adults vs. disruptive children. The shutdown was the result of a temper tantrum one person surrounded by a group of enablers. Everything which happened since then - the multiple bi-partisan efforts to keep the government functioning were blocked and thwarted by those who were purposefully wanting to disrupt things. The adults have won for now.

 

m3n0z

(53 posts)
46. Schumer got them to make deal -
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 12:12 PM
Jan 2018

Reality,
He saw 10 democrats bailing on him and started begging. He ran out if front of them and got a promise from republicans to maintain the appearance of him being irrelevant.

Sounds like a cave to me. And if it's about getting re-elected and maintaining seats, I'm okay with that. Losing more seats, especially 10 seats, would leave the majority completely unchecked.

moose65

(3,169 posts)
54. Whew, I hate this!
Tue Jan 23, 2018, 01:42 PM
Jan 2018

How everything is turned into a "game," and there has to be a "winner" and a "loser" for everything. This really is a damn reality show, where every conflict is turned up to 11 and the people out there watching don't think about the effects of what's going on. I know a few Republicans who approach every election like that: they never talk about the issues or what the Republicans do when elected. To them, it's all about "winning." They literally don't give a shit that Republicans never do anything after they're elected except cut taxes for rich people.

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