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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsMarkets set to open up markedly down...
DJIA F 23,081 -244 -1.05%
S&P F 2,486.75 -24.25 -0.97%
NASDAQ F 6,259.25 -111.75 -1.75%
Gold 1,289.70 5.60 0.44%
Silver 15.725 0.076 0.49%
Crude Oil 47.38 0.84 1.80%
Oil recovering. Gas prices will tick up now.
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Markets set to open up markedly down... (Original Post)
Roland99
Jan 2019
OP
woman who nailed 2018 stock-market volatility blowup now warns of 'bubbliciouness' in loans
Roland99
Jan 2019
#5
**Bad omen for economy? ISM survey posts biggest drop since Lehman crisis in 2008**
Roland99
Jan 2019
#6
Roland99
(53,342 posts)1. At the open
DJIA 23,055.35 -290.89 -1.25%
NASDAQ 6,595.15 -70.79
Javaman
(62,540 posts)2. here we go again. see-saw market. nt
jpak
(41,761 posts)3. Now down -360 points - below 23,000
n/t
progree
(10,948 posts)4. Down -562 at 1018 AM ET n/t
Roland99
(53,342 posts)5. woman who nailed 2018 stock-market volatility blowup now warns of 'bubbliciouness' in loans
The woman who nailed 2018 stock-market volatility blowup now warns of bubbliciouness in loans
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-woman-who-predicted-the-2018-stock-market-volatility-blowup-now-warns-of-bubbliciouness-in-loans-2019-01-03?dist=markets
That brings us to our call of the day from Davis, who told MarketWatch that corners of the debt market, particularly private credit markets like leveraged loans, are very frothy, because a lot of investors have used leveraged loans as a way of getting richer yields.
Its definitely bubblicious, Davis said. She also said those complex purchases of loans, which are used partly to finance private-equity transactions, may be fostering much of the current volatility exhibited by global equity markets.
The leveraged-loan borrowing in the U.S. has quietly ballooned over the past two years, surging way beyond levels since during the 2007 financial crisis. Such borrowing in the U.S. hit a record in 2017 at $1.66 trillion and was at $1.46 trillion in 2018, according to Dealogic. That represents the biggest two-year growth ever in the industry (see table below).
...
Part of Daviss argument is that investors in leveraged loans are subject to multiyear lockup periods where they cannot sell those assets, which, as a byproduct, forces those large investors to seek liquidity by selling public assets, such as stocks.
Its definitely bubblicious, Davis said. She also said those complex purchases of loans, which are used partly to finance private-equity transactions, may be fostering much of the current volatility exhibited by global equity markets.
The leveraged-loan borrowing in the U.S. has quietly ballooned over the past two years, surging way beyond levels since during the 2007 financial crisis. Such borrowing in the U.S. hit a record in 2017 at $1.66 trillion and was at $1.46 trillion in 2018, according to Dealogic. That represents the biggest two-year growth ever in the industry (see table below).
...
Part of Daviss argument is that investors in leveraged loans are subject to multiyear lockup periods where they cannot sell those assets, which, as a byproduct, forces those large investors to seek liquidity by selling public assets, such as stocks.
Roland99
(53,342 posts)6. **Bad omen for economy? ISM survey posts biggest drop since Lehman crisis in 2008**
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bad-omen-for-economy-manufacturers-grow-at-slowest-pace-in-two-years-ism-finds-2019-01-03
DJIA near daily lows right now...
-638
American manufacturers grew in December at the slowest pace in two years as demand for their products softened, a potential warning sign for a U.S. economy thats been running close to full tilt for the past year.
The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index fell to 54.1% last month from 59.3%. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast the index to fall to just 57%.
The last time the index has fallen more steeply was in October 2008, at the height of a U.S. financial crisis sparked by the failure of Lehman Brothers, and in 2001 after the terrorist attack in September.
The index had hovered near 60 for the past year and a half before dropping off in December.
The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index fell to 54.1% last month from 59.3%. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had forecast the index to fall to just 57%.
The last time the index has fallen more steeply was in October 2008, at the height of a U.S. financial crisis sparked by the failure of Lehman Brothers, and in 2001 after the terrorist attack in September.
The index had hovered near 60 for the past year and a half before dropping off in December.
DJIA near daily lows right now...
-638