General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums538 on electability of leading Democratic contenders in the Democratic primaries...
I think this is good analysis. It hits on what appealed to me about Beto from the start, potentially bringing in 2 of the 5 groups in the Democratic base that have traditionally been more or less reticent about showing up on election day depending on the candidate (Millenials and Hispanics). As the title suggests it shows Harris' strengths in a primary fight that I had not fully considered.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-kamala-and-beto-have-more-upside-than-joe-and-bernie/
The emphasis in this is all on the primaries of course and who can get the nomination. But for my thought process we need to layer this with the simple question: who beats Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania? That may be what's most important.
ProudLib72
(17,984 posts)And now we have the statistics to prove it!
Freddie
(9,281 posts)Not sure where I read this but they called Biden the HRC of 2020 - the expected establishment candidate with a few too many ties to big $$$ and not enough appeal to younger voters. Couldnt agree more.
How to win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania? Choose Sen. Bob Casey as running mate. He just won re-election by a landslide in this purple state. Harris/Casey would be an winning ticket.
Isn't he pro-life?
TexasBushwhacker
(20,254 posts)Not to the point of voting to defund Planned Parenthood, but he did vote for the 20 week abortion restriction, which makes him SOL in my book.
Freddie
(9,281 posts)I think he walks a fine line here. Part of the reason hes so popular in this very Catholic state is hes pro-life, but if you read his FB page hes a huge advocate of reducing the number of abortions via contraception, education and support for families. He supports PP, for which he got many evil comments on his page. Hes never introduced any anti-choice legislation. He seems to be a Tim Kaine - Joe Biden style of pro-life which is fine with me and may help us in elections.
Adrahil
(13,340 posts)But subject to change, based on performance on the trail.
I love Joe Biden, but I can't see him taking this. Still, he's be a great President.
Bernie? LOL, GTFO, Bernie.
Klobuchar? Don;t know much about her. I'll be listening.
Gillebrand? Nope. Next!
Warren? A firebrand. I like her. But I do not think she will have the broad appeal he needs.
Booker? I'm interested. But he comes off a little more slick than I'd like. If he runs, I will give him a hard look.
Castro? I like him. I don't think he stands a chance.
Brown? A little too stuck on some old fashioned views of international trade. He has expressed some support for Trump's tariffs. Maybe Veep material. But he might be the only Democrat that can hold an Ohio Senate seat right now, and that's important.
WhiteTara
(29,736 posts)I think his analysis is spot on to my thinking. I see Kamala Harris and Beto as her running mate. I think it would be a grand ticket and administration. We might be able to clean House and Senate along with all the government agencies. Especially in the Treasury where they have brought in Russian moles.
TexasBushwhacker
(20,254 posts)I think he went with the folks that had announced or that people were talking about as possibilities. Gabbard kind of declared out of left (or right) field. She's a non-starter as far as I'm concerned. So is Gillibrand IMHO.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,798 posts)?w=575