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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsDems seeking path to Senate majority zero-in on Sun Belt
The battle for control of both the White House and the U.S. Senate will center on an overlapping handful of Sun Belt states that will test whether demographic changes and President Trumps dismal approval ratings can alter the political map.
To win back control of the Senate, Democrats acknowledge they will have to rely in part on their presidential nominee competing in states that have not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate for a generation or more.
At the same time, Republicans running for reelection find it difficult or untenable to separate themselves from President Trump, despite his dismal approval ratings, because he still enjoys the ardor of so many Republican base voters.
That is in part because the polarization of American politics has made it more difficult for a Democrat or a Republican to craft their own identities separate from their national parties.
In 2016, for the first time since direct elections of senators began a century ago, no state elected a senator from the party that did not win that states electoral votes.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/429520-senate-majority-to-hinge-on-presidential-battleground-states
MH1
(17,635 posts)The "purest of the pure" is not the right candidate if they can't win over the states we need to actually take the presidency and the senate.
SunSeeker
(51,811 posts)And Beto could win that Senate seat if he runs in a Presidential election year in Texas. Alas, it wouldn't be against Ted Cruz, but John Cornyn.
theboss
(10,491 posts)Cornyn is not Cruz, and the amount of ticket-splitting a Democratic Senate victory would require in a presidential year would be unprecedented.
Republicans hate Cruz on a personal level. They were able to drag him across the finish line by sheer numbers. Cornyn won't create that level of hostility.
Also, Beto running for Senate twice in two years and losing by a bigger margin the second time (which would happen) would end his political career, I think. He can't risk that.
Having said that.....we need a strong candidate for down-ballot purposes.
SunSeeker
(51,811 posts)Yosemito
(648 posts)She's gotta go.