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unblock

(52,511 posts)
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:37 PM May 2019

impeachment followed by losing the senate vote would be bad. but the alternative may be worse.

i fully appreciate that our media can be really terrible when it comes to covering sensational topics, particularly when there's right-wing spin about. obviously, foxnews and hate radio and other explicitly right-wing sources are going to blast out their biased talking points, but the rest of the media feels compelled to give them further airtime, if only to debunk them, which doesn't really work, at least not fully.

so i get it. if the house impeaches and the senate has a trial and votes not to remove, the right-wing will cheer in triumph that donald fraud was "exonerated" and it was all a "witch hunt" and yada, yada, yada. the msm will be more reserved, but they will question democrats as to whether or not it was "worth it" and ask if they are worried about the wrath of the voters, etc.

that's not to say there wouldn't be an upside in getting all the facts out on national tv, but there's certainly a big rotten talking point we'd be handing to the right wing.


however, is it any better if we don't impeach? what then? we still have a sucky political media, and they're not going to shut up just because we didn't impeach. what will the talking points be then? we'll be called weak, the right-wing will insist democrats were always making a mountain out of a molehill, they'll continue to insist they were innocent all along, etc.

in fact, they may very well be emboldened to trample over us even more.


sometimes you have to pop the bully in the nose, even if it means the bully will successfully beat you up. the important thin isn't always that you got trounced by the bully. sometimes the more important thing is that the bully remembers getting popped.



imho, i think the big picture isn't even about impeachment, it's about engineering a huge win in 2020. oval office, more seats in the house, and pick-ups in the senate (flipping it would be great, but seems very unlikely). much as i want justice for donald fraud, impeachment at the end of the day is a means to an end. i think the most important thing is to *time* the proceedings so that there are juicy scandalous details in the news on a daily basis at the height of the campaign.

that probably means calling it "impeachment hearings" at some point, but that point probably is not yet. in fact, it may be ideal to avoid handing it over to the senate until after the election.

23 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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impeachment followed by losing the senate vote would be bad. but the alternative may be worse. (Original Post) unblock May 2019 OP
Not convicting wouldn't even be that bad as long as the Dem's message was clear beforehand that coti May 2019 #1
well, there's obviously a downside in being defeatist about it unblock May 2019 #2
I think calling out the Republicans as not willing to convict as a foregone conclusion would be the coti May 2019 #3
i see -- if i'm understanding, you mean more to challenge them to do something other than the unblock May 2019 #4
Well all I hear on DU is that anyone who trusted GWB to honor the ehrnst May 2019 #13
If public opinion drops for Donny NewJeffCT May 2019 #11
What do you think could possibly convince his supporters to abandon him ehrnst May 2019 #15
A steady slate of public hearings NewJeffCT May 2019 #16
Really? You think that the FoxNews nation would actually believe that he's guilty of anything? ehrnst May 2019 #18
This isn't complicated, watoos May 2019 #5
i agree that not holding impeachment hearings would be an embarrassing show of cowardice. unblock May 2019 #8
I think the poster means the prosecutor Barr just appointed to investigate the investigators... pecosbob May 2019 #21
ah, thanks! unblock May 2019 #22
So Pelosi is "validating Trump's narrative?" And Impeachment's "not complicated?" ehrnst May 2019 #14
Do you just go around repeating people's posts all day? Yes, that's what they said. nt coti May 2019 #19
Sounds like somebody hasn't had their coffee... ehrnst May 2019 #20
We will never know in advance if we were better off impeaching or not DFW May 2019 #6
agreed, the best thing we can do is have important *hearings*. unblock May 2019 #9
If brave people can sacrfice their lives protecting the Constitution... Fiendish Thingy May 2019 #7
statesmen are few and far between, these days. most politicians are very fearful for their own jobs unblock May 2019 #10
One thing that might help moondust May 2019 #12
If there is blatant evidence than the onus is on Republicans...WHY are they not convicting when UniteFightBack May 2019 #17
I think about what will occur if they are not checked and checked hard pecosbob May 2019 #23

coti

(4,612 posts)
1. Not convicting wouldn't even be that bad as long as the Dem's message was clear beforehand that
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:38 PM
May 2019

no one should ever expect the Republicans to have any integrity, that the evidence won't matter to them.

unblock

(52,511 posts)
2. well, there's obviously a downside in being defeatist about it
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:42 PM
May 2019

as it gives up on getting even one republican to vote for removal, which could be huge.

that said, it's probably the right thing to do, as, yes, that result seems like a foregone conclusion.


but would it matter? as soon as donald fraud starts parading himself around cheering his "win", the media will forget everything we said beforehand and just cover it in a pro-republican way.

coti

(4,612 posts)
3. I think calling out the Republicans as not willing to convict as a foregone conclusion would be the
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:43 PM
May 2019

best way to put pressure on them to do something else, regardless- i.e., the "prove me wrong" strategy (which Trump uses against the Dems all the time).

unblock

(52,511 posts)
4. i see -- if i'm understanding, you mean more to challenge them to do something other than the
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:47 PM
May 2019

morally bankrupt thing they usually do.

i'd agree with that approach.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
13. Well all I hear on DU is that anyone who trusted GWB to honor the
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:32 PM
May 2019

Iraq resolution's content and only use military force ONLY after pressuring the UN to intervene failed was 'naive and stupid.'

But you trust a bunch of Senators who have stayed with him this far to sacrifice their Senate seat to "do the right thing" now?

The ones that wanted out already got out.



 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
15. What do you think could possibly convince his supporters to abandon him
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:37 PM
May 2019

if they haven't done so by now?

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
16. A steady slate of public hearings
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:51 PM
May 2019

listing out all the crimes from Donny and his minions. That has not happened yet. Donny dropped 5 points after Cohen testified in public back in February. Now, imagine if that had been followed up with several other high profile people testifying over the next several weeks? Does he drop a few more points after each person testifies?

Remember, the image from the Cohen hearings was not one single Republican defended Trump. All save Justin Amash attacked Cohen only.

The daily scandals and outrages get lost in the shuffle by the next day's scandal and/or outrage and then are soon forgotten. That's been the method to his madness - how many people remember back in 2017 all those people posing for pics with the "nuclear football" back at Mar-A-Lago? That alone should have been impeachable for the egregious breaches of national security, but it was lost to time two days later when Michael Flynn was fired.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
18. Really? You think that the FoxNews nation would actually believe that he's guilty of anything?
Tue May 21, 2019, 03:06 PM
May 2019

They double down when he's accused of something. They were cheering Kavanaugh.

GOP Senators had nothing to lose by not defending Cohen - Trump had his followers, their base, convinced that Cohen was a liar and crook, because he had turned on Trump.



 

watoos

(7,142 posts)
5. This isn't complicated,
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:52 PM
May 2019

not holding impeachment hearings validates Trump's narrative;

The Mueller report is over, No Collusion, No Obstruction. The Democrats and FBI carried on a witch hunt, now they need to be investigated. Barr appointed a special prosecutor instead of using the IG for a reason, the special prosecutor reports directly to Barr, he can spin a tale however he chooses right up to election time. I fully expect that Barr/Trump will put Hillary on the 2020 ballot.

Dems need to bring a gun to a gun fight.

unblock

(52,511 posts)
8. i agree that not holding impeachment hearings would be an embarrassing show of cowardice.
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:07 PM
May 2019

that's what i mean, that the alternative might be worse than impeachment followed by acquittal.


btw, barr didn't appoint mueller, and special counsel was the most appropriate thing available. if you mean why wasn't an independent counsel appointed, it's because that law was done away with after its powers were abused by ken starr during the clinton years.

see what republicans do, they corrupt a pretty good but not perfect law so that law is done away with, enabling them to get away with vastly more corruption....

pecosbob

(7,550 posts)
21. I think the poster means the prosecutor Barr just appointed to investigate the investigators...
Wed May 22, 2019, 10:57 AM
May 2019

Trump will continue a new version of the Gowdy Doody Show through Barr.

 

ehrnst

(32,640 posts)
14. So Pelosi is "validating Trump's narrative?" And Impeachment's "not complicated?"
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:33 PM
May 2019

You really have that little respect for her? And so much confidence in your experience that you think 'it's not complicated?'



DFW

(54,527 posts)
6. We will never know in advance if we were better off impeaching or not
Tue May 21, 2019, 01:58 PM
May 2019

The only thing we KNOW is that if we impeach, Trump does not get convicted or removed from office. There just aren't the votes in the Senate. Period. Anyone who thinks otherwise is deluding themselves.

If Trump were come onto the Senate floor, shoot 30 Republican members and they all survive their wounds, every single one of them wold vote to acquit Trump of any and all crimes. Yes, we HAVE arrived at that point. George Orwell had nothing on 2019 America.

The one thing an impeachment trial CAN do for us is showcase, in televised hearings, in detail and at length, the charges against Trump. With Jerry Nadler leading the charge, you can believe that everything thrown at Trump in accusation will be backed up by hard evidence. The acquittal votes by the Senate Republicans will either be made in triumphant righteousness or with bowed heads in shame to jeers from the visitors' gallery. The difference would be in how well our case was prepared.

We either hit our mark or blow it with the presentation, because, as with Clinton, the outcome (acquittal) was never in doubt.

unblock

(52,511 posts)
9. agreed, the best thing we can do is have important *hearings*.
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:08 PM
May 2019

the hearings are more important than the actual impeachment.

that's one reason to maybe even delay any impeachment vote until after the election.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,719 posts)
7. If brave people can sacrfice their lives protecting the Constitution...
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:04 PM
May 2019

Dems can risk political fallout to protect the rule of law by drawing relentless, laser focused attention to this administration’s lawlessness, whether it results in Trump’s removal or not.

unblock

(52,511 posts)
10. statesmen are few and far between, these days. most politicians are very fearful for their own jobs
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:10 PM
May 2019

sadly it's drilled into them from day one. they have to spend most of their time, every week, fundraising for the next election.

it's really a horrible way to run a so-called democracy.

moondust

(20,030 posts)
12. One thing that might help
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:19 PM
May 2019

is knowing where the Obama-->Trump voters stand on things. That's an important cluster of swing voters. I don't know if polls can pinpoint their attitudes and locations or not.

Donny Dump w/o impeachment inquiry:
"No collusion! No obstruction! Total exoneration!"

Donny Dump w/impeachment inquiry but w/o Senate conviction:
"No collusion! No obstruction! No conviction! Total exoneration!"

Repeat one of the above endlessly for 18 months. Does it matter which? (Oversimplified?)

Another consideration is that Dumpublicans are trying to bury all this and move on. "Case closed," declares Turtle. Impeachment inquiry would at least keep the case open and the media wouldn't be able to move on.

 

UniteFightBack

(8,231 posts)
17. If there is blatant evidence than the onus is on Republicans...WHY are they not convicting when
Tue May 21, 2019, 02:59 PM
May 2019

crimes and evidence exist. ???

pecosbob

(7,550 posts)
23. I think about what will occur if they are not checked and checked hard
Wed May 22, 2019, 11:03 AM
May 2019

Trump is already focusing his Roy Cohn stand-in Barr at his political opponents for 2020 like the Ukraine bullshit Giuliani was trying to peddle. It will get much, much worse if Trump gets to act out his full idea of what being President means.

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