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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,304 posts)
Wed Jan 1, 2020, 09:44 PM Jan 2020

Bus-size asteroid will buzz earth at 18,400 mph on Jan. 2

Here’s one extraterrestrial express bus you’ll be glad you missed.

Fortunately, the Near Earth Object (NEO) won’t come too near to the earth. The closest it is expected to get is four lunar distances -- about 1 million miles – at approximately 9 am EST. Tracking is available on The Sky Live, which calculates that 2019 AE3 will technically be visible from New York between around 1 a.m. and 10 am.

The event is set to occur just three days after five sizeable NEOs flew by the earth on the same day. The largest was taller than the Statue of Liberty and came within 3.1 million miles of the planet, according to The Sun, while another similar in size to 2019 AE3 practically skimmed it just 415,000 miles away.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/bus-size-asteroid-will-buzz-earth-at-18400-mph-on-jan-2/ar-BBYwG0X?li=BBnbfcL

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Bus-size asteroid will buzz earth at 18,400 mph on Jan. 2 (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jan 2020 OP
I think you'll find this chart interesting. PoindexterOglethorpe Jan 2020 #1
DAMN IT!!!! liberaltrucker Jan 2020 #2
Phew Archive Hunter Jan 2020 #3

PoindexterOglethorpe

(25,916 posts)
1. I think you'll find this chart interesting.
Thu Jan 2, 2020, 12:23 AM
Jan 2020
https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/

I was just discussing it with My Son the Astronomer. For the probability of impact numbers to make sense, you want to click on the blue number in the Impact Probability (Cumulative) column. A box will display that gives the probability in numbers that make more sense to us non-mathematicians.

And as you can see, the probability of impact is almost infinitesimal. So articles that talk about these objects skimming by, or sometimes stated as a near miss, are rather misleading.

Anyway, I hope you enjoy perusing that chart.
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