Interesting.

Probably exposed hundreds, if not thousands, at one of the nation's largest universities before becoming symptomatic.
From AZ, it will spread southward pretty quickly, as we have a lot of people who go between Central and South America. Yes, even in the era of Trump.

Let's hope it holds. Lower than the flu.

The flu hits fast and hard, making mortality relatively easy to measure vs. infection.

This bug takes longer to play out, and the experts still say their knowledge of it is far from complete.

On edit: I would draw your attention to my link where the stats are a bit troubling: 107 deaths vs. 63 recoveries.

From the surveillance data we have, it's low. That could certainly change as this emerging public health situation evolves and we learn more. I expect it might but hoping not.

On edit: agree that's troubling. Most are still sick.

But, yeah, we are in the very early stages of this....

but if total US transmission was 10% of a 350 million population infected and I use 2.5% mortality I believe that gives me nearly 875,000 deaths which is really fucking frightening...

since before I went to bed last night.

Yesterday morning I looked and then last night - it had doubled, the number of total confirmed cases - from 2,119 to the 4,474. Makes me very curious why it's not updated in over twelve hours.

that it updated at really random times.

There didn't seem to be any pattern or set time to update.
Sometimes it would update after just an hour or so, sometimes it was more like 12.
I have no idea why.