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ffr

(22,674 posts)
Thu May 7, 2020, 03:07 AM May 2020

Clinician speculates: 5x Covid-19 death rate will have severe and profound disabilities

What Are COVID-19’s Long-Term Medical Effects?

I’m a critical care nurse working in a COVID ICU. I’ve practiced nursing in a variety of settings, from helping to run an Ebola Treatment Unit in Liberia to coordinating mass vaccination campaigns during the H1N1 pandemic. I’m also a former political professional who really appreciates your insight and analysis.

One thing that I feel is really missing from the public discussion about COVID is the surprisingly high rates of (likely) permanent disability among those who become critically ill.
<snip>

I don’t think it’s terribly well understood why there’s such a high rate of organ damage among COVID patients,...it’s important to understand this: while most COVID patients don’t need ICU care, a troublingly high number of those who do end up in kidney failure or with profound neurological deficits.
<snip>

I’m not going to speculate about the numbers, but I will say this. If you had a crystal ball, and you told me that when this was over the number of cases that lived but with severe and profound disability would be more than 5 times the number of people who died, I would not feel surprised by that prediction. And that’s not a trivial number.

Stay safe. - TPM


Cliff's Notes: You don't want to get it. Even if you survive, you may be one of the unlucky ones disabled for life.
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SunSeeker

(51,751 posts)
1. Holy shit. That means 350,000 could have permanent disabilities.
Thu May 7, 2020, 03:26 AM
May 2020

And that's if our death total stays at 70,000, which it has already blown past.

 

mr_lebowski

(33,643 posts)
3. 5X is a number pulled from thin air here ... probably should not make too much of it
Thu May 7, 2020, 03:47 AM
May 2020

Just sayin' ...

Mister Ed

(5,945 posts)
4. Yes. I'd say forget that number, but heed the warning about permanent disabilities.
Thu May 7, 2020, 07:11 AM
May 2020

I think most people believe that COVID-19 is either/or, and believe that "what doesn't kill me makes me stronger." It's important for people - especially young people - to understand that the illness also presents the possibility of permanent organ damage.

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