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Polybius

(15,525 posts) Fri Jul 3, 2020, 12:58 PM Jul 2020

1

Is Gravis an unreliable or right-wing poll?

Last edited Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:53 PM - Edit history (1)

Their Arizona poll numbers are Biden 45, Trump 49. For the Senate, they have it at Kelly 42, McSally 46.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Gravis_Arizona_June_2020.pdf

9 replies

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Is Gravis an unreliable or right-wing poll? (Original Post) Polybius Jul 2020 OP

Lol yes Loki Liesmith Jul 2020 #1

Thank you Polybius Jul 2020 #2

It is essentially a tie within MOE. 7% undecided. It also is of likely voters. Seems about right still_one Jul 2020 #3

I opened the link and saw it was OAN! GulfCoast66 Jul 2020 #4

OEN is worse than Fox News Polybius Jul 2020 #5

Actually Fox polls are high rated. GulfCoast66 Jul 2020 #6

I mean Fox News in general Polybius Jul 2020 #9

Gravis is a C Rated Poll But We Should Also Be Concerned About Polls Using a Likely Voter Screen Indykatie Jul 2020 #7

too funny. aren't outliers fun? SiliconValley_Dem Jul 2020 #8

Loki Liesmith

(4,602 posts)

1. Lol yes

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:01 PM

Jul 2020

Polybius

(15,525 posts)

2. Thank you

Reply to Loki Liesmith (Reply #1)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 01:13 PM

Jul 2020

I know all about Rasmussen polls being skewed but didn't know what side Gravis was on.

still_one

(92,510 posts)

3. It is essentially a tie within MOE. 7% undecided. It also is of likely voters. Seems about right

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:50 PM

Jul 2020

to me intuitively for Arizona

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)

4. I opened the link and saw it was OAN!

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 02:57 PM

Jul 2020

Totally unreliable.

Polybius

(15,525 posts)

5. OEN is worse than Fox News

Reply to GulfCoast66 (Reply #4)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:00 PM

Jul 2020

But are they just reporting it, or were they part of the poll?

GulfCoast66

(11,949 posts)

6. Actually Fox polls are high rated.

Reply to Polybius (Reply #5)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:09 PM

Jul 2020

OAN polls to make their most important viewer happy.

Polybius

(15,525 posts)

9. I mean Fox News in general

Reply to GulfCoast66 (Reply #6)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:25 PM

Jul 2020

I know they are highly rated. They were the only poll that had Roy Moore losing to Doug Jones.

Indykatie

(3,697 posts)

7. Gravis is a C Rated Poll But We Should Also Be Concerned About Polls Using a Likely Voter Screen

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:11 PM

Jul 2020

The LV screen was way off in the mid-terms and I expect that will happen again. Pollsters have no idea how eager Dem voters are to get rid of Trump.

Here is a link to 538's rating on polls. I only pay attention to the better rated experienced polls. A lot of internal polls are done by small operations more inclined towards giving their client a desired result rather than accuracy.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

SiliconValley_Dem

(1,656 posts)

8. too funny. aren't outliers fun?

Reply to Polybius (Original post)

Fri Jul 3, 2020, 03:11 PM

Jul 2020

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