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Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsBTRTN: Is Trump Going, Going, Gone?
Born To Run The Numbers provides its month-in-review for June which may prove to be the month in which Donald Trump's prospects for re-election were shattered:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/07/btrtn-is-trump-going-going-gone.html
Excerpts: "Should Donald Trump lose his bid for re-election come November, the historians will point to June of 2020 as the inflection point. It was a month when Trumps failures were laid bare, when relevant polling data moved materially downward, and when Trump veered from near irrelevance to near disappearance. The verdict on his management of COVID-19, the largest crisis of his presidency, is now clear, his economic recovery strategy -- the 're-opening' -- now giving way to 're-shutdowns' across the country. Trump also found an issue that made him part company with a significant portion of the Republican Party, when he chose a hard line response to nightly national protests for police reform and racial justice. Beyond these two seismic issues, Trump also stumbled, or was embarrassed, or flat out beaten on any number of issues in a breathtaking losing streak towards the end of the month...
"The Losing Streak. Apart from the disastrous rise of the coronavirus (and the threat to economic recovery) and the misfire on racial justice, Trump endured an incredible string of bad news, to wit... (1) The botched ouster of Geoffrey Berman, (2) The disastrous Tulsa event...the mobs never showed in Tulsa, unless they were disguised as empty blue seats, (3) The Supreme Court made three rulings, in quick succession, that horrified conservatives and repudiated the Trump Justice Department , (4) John Boltons long awaited memoir on his time in the White House was finally published, containing many stories of Trump incompetence and dysfunction..."
"The final punchline of Trumps downward trajectory would be his defeat in November. And the picture as of now is grim, for him. According to our BTRTN models, Joe Biden would have an 82% chance of winning the presidency if the election were held today."
MoonchildCA
(1,301 posts)The Russian bounties on our troops.
Brainfodder
(6,423 posts)MoonchildCA
(1,301 posts)Brainfodder
(6,423 posts)4000+ lawsuits, only a YUGE asshole would have that many?
The myriad of BAD that we know about....
reggieandlee
(778 posts)look at the entry under "June 26"
regnaD kciN
(26,044 posts)Any prognostications don't mean a thing if we don't get out the vote on Election Day!
tgards79
(1,415 posts)Everyone got it wrong. BTRTN did much much better in 2018!
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/11/btrtn-final-midterms-snapshot-50-races.html