General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThis election could still go Thump's way
Per the 270 to win site today https://www.270towin.com/maps/consensus-2020-electoral-map-forecast
It picks it as 278 Dem, 169 repug, 91 tossup.
BUT most of the tossup states are secret Repug. My recipe is absent anything happening, add 5 percentage points to Thump's state polling numbers. Under this, I think the only chances for Dem wins in "tossup" states may be in AZ, possibly FL.
BUT PA polls (before the latest) indicate the "lean blue" state could be snatched by Repugs.
We could, if the current map holds, get acting Prez Pence (win AZ but lose PA, 269/269).
Please NO!
Indykatie
(3,697 posts)is not on the ballot. I'm following James Carville's advice. I won't be scared and nervous that we could have a repeat of 2016. Have folks forgotten what happened in 2018? After that massive shift towards Dems do you really think folks will move back and vote for Trump? I don't. I'm betting on a landslide for Biden.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,719 posts)If this was a sporting event he would be +700 or 12.5%.
John Fante
(3,479 posts)Why does everyone assume pollsters haven't tweeked their methodologies so as to avoid the mistakes that plagued them in 2016? Why is everyone assuming that every undecided will break for Trump?
uponit7771
(90,371 posts)... the Red Don and his crew will be calling Bad Vlad for more rubles.
rockfordfile
(8,709 posts)greenjar_01
(6,477 posts)Can we have a GD-Pessimists Board?
brooklynite
(95,007 posts)Biden is north of 270 AND the remaining competitive States are opportunities to pick off 2016 Trump wins.
NotANeocon
(423 posts)- ever since Ronnie Raygun.
https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/Graph_Congress20_jpg.cfm
stillcool
(32,626 posts)what percentage of the American people believe we'll make it to the election?
tinrobot
(10,927 posts)I do think we need to keep fighting to win every single state, but your worries are rather misplaced.
delisen
(6,050 posts)JCMach1
(27,591 posts)Is the only example close to the present one
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