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***HOT OFF THE PRESS IPSOS NAT'L POLL WITH LEANERS*** Biden 57% Trump 43% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 OP
The JOEMENTUM keeps on going! DonaldsRump Jul 2020 #1
Go Joe go...we've got your back Thekaspervote Jul 2020 #2
I doubt Joe wins by 14 points but if he did Trump would win about 10 states. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #3
it is very possible. Anger fuels voters more than anything else beachbumbob Jul 2020 #9
Is this a credible poll? LakeArenal Jul 2020 #4
It's B- rated. DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #5
Thanks. Still better up. 🍀 LakeArenal Jul 2020 #6
And this a pol of RV's not LV's, so...grain of salt on the margin nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #7
Do you know how a lot of polls determine who is and isn't a likely voter? DemocratSinceBirth Jul 2020 #8
I just add that as a caveat, as after Labor Day many pollsters shift to LV's Fiendish Thingy Jul 2020 #10
Wow, I can't remember seeing a Democratic nominee at 57% in any poll Awsi Dooger Jul 2020 #11
K&R Scurrilous Jul 2020 #12
I have been pleasantly surprised by Biden DIVINEprividence Jul 2020 #13
0% undecided? Polybius Jul 2020 #14

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
8. Do you know how a lot of polls determine who is and isn't a likely voter?
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 06:12 PM
Jul 2020

They literally ask respondents how likely they are to vote. Most folks say very likely and some of those folks don't vote. Gallup used to use a hard screen and got burnt, albeit in the other direction. A lot of people who were screened out ended up voting.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,719 posts)
10. I just add that as a caveat, as after Labor Day many pollsters shift to LV's
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 07:04 PM
Jul 2020

And the margins Historically show a general tightening.

In the shift to LV’s, if the margin stays the same or grows, IMO, that’s even BETTER.

 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
11. Wow, I can't remember seeing a Democratic nominee at 57% in any poll
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 09:40 PM
Jul 2020

No matter the cycle or reputation of the poll

 

DIVINEprividence

(443 posts)
13. I have been pleasantly surprised by Biden
Wed Jul 29, 2020, 10:28 PM
Jul 2020

I always liked him but worried about how they would campaign in a pandemic. I think they are running a great campaign so far. They are ahead of the curb with the convention. Great candidates to choose from for vp. I will be on edge until victory is secure but the very idea of Trump being gone. I can’t friggen wait!

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