General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHurricane warnings up for the Bahamas; Tropical Storm warning for Turks and Caicos
The only good news is that it is not a major hurricane.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/085728.shtml?cone#contents
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of Florida from Ocean Reef to Sebastian Inlet
* Lake Okeechobee
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
watches or warnings may be required for a portion of the Florida
peninsula later today.
soothsayer
(38,601 posts)Mother Nature should be no fan of that guy.
secondwind
(16,903 posts)No sun. Winds have died down. Dogs were able to sprint out and do their business.
Power is back on now, no telling how long it will last.
Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic 🇩🇴
malaise
(269,328 posts)Hope the drought is now history
unc70
(6,129 posts)Family and property still there. Too early and way too much uncertainty in forecast to be Very concerned, yet. Spaghetti models have a lot of outliers at the moment, mostly to the west of the official forecast. NHC discussion notes this, but they are waiting for further data before changing forecast.
The earlier forecasts did not anticipate it would shoot the gap and and avoid getting chewed up by the mountains.
malaise
(269,328 posts)as anticipated
Baclava
(12,047 posts)Weaker storm would take more westward track, running into some dry air and wind shear now
Too soon to tell where its headed for US, know more when it gets closer to Bahamas
malaise
(269,328 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)20% chance of development
malaise
(269,328 posts)WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Hurricane Watch has been issued for portions of the Florida east
coast from north of Deerfield Beach northward to the
Volusia-Brevard County Line.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of the
Florida east coast from north of Ocean Reef northward to Sebastian
Inlet and for Lake Okeechobee.
The government of the Dominican Republic has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for the Dominican Republic.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia-Brevard County Line
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* North of Ocean Reef northward to Sebastian Inlet
* Lake Okeechobee
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United States
should monitor the progress of Isaias. Additional watches or
warnings may be required later today.
Baclava
(12,047 posts)malaise
(269,328 posts)Agree re the one behind
Baclava
(12,047 posts)https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/nyc-entire-tri-state-in-cone-of-concern-next-week-as-hurricane-isaias-eyes-bahamas-friday/2544398/
?w=800&r=16%3A9
malaise
(269,328 posts)crickets
(25,993 posts)malaise
(269,328 posts)August and September are the serious hurricane months They'r early this year
crickets
(25,993 posts)malaise
(269,328 posts)crickets
(25,993 posts)Florida has enough disaster going on right now. For all our sakes, I'm hoping this storm will just dump some rain and leave without doing any real damage.
malaise
(269,328 posts)Last edited Fri Jul 31, 2020, 09:07 PM - Edit history (1)
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL092020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/205732_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.pngAwsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Easily the best overview, IMO:
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/current-weather-conditions
It provides the consensus track without all the frantic overreaction to the latest model. But there are convenient links above the state in the dark gray where those model plots are available..."NHC Forecast Tracks" and "Hurricane Model Plots"
malaise
(269,328 posts)Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Prior to finding that link I was hanging around the specialized track forecast boards, where seemingly every other poster is always intent on doom and gloom for South Florida
Awsi Dooger
(14,565 posts)Note the purple line just slightly offshore now, compared to where it was all day Friday
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/current-weather-conditions
Baclava
(12,047 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)malaise
(269,328 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)malaise
(269,328 posts)That's not good
Baclava
(12,047 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)Watch out!