Odds on the Supremes actions

3-1 odds: Reversal on due process grounds

The most likely outcome is that the Supreme Court will overturn the Colorado decision on the grounds that the procedure used to determine whether Trump is disqualified under Section 3 was constitutionally inadequate.

5-1 odds: Affirm

If this were a less unique case, the odds on affirming would be much higher because the Supreme Court has limited scope for reviewing lower court decisions, especially state court decisions. It cannot, for example, throw the case out on the grounds that Colorado state law doesn’t allow for this kind of challenge to a candidate in a primary — an argument considered and rejected by the Colorado Supreme court.

8-1 odds: No insurrection

Coming up with a legal definition of “insurrection” and holding that the events of Jan. 6, 2021, did not qualify is probably the easiest, least messy way for the Supreme Court to make the whole problem disappear.

10-1 odds: Reversal with no majority decision

In this scenario, five Supreme Court justices vote to overturn the Colorado result but can’t agree on why.

Etc..Etc

https://thehill.com/opinion/4380182-betting-the-odds-on-trumps-supreme-court-case/