and trump in particular.

few months, but 33% is a good start.

of women in their child bearing years Biden's direction.

Unless red states change their abortion policies by then (I just had to say that - ***snorf***)

Over the summer they'll start talking among their friends about subjects they don't consider now, and I can almost guarantee those numbers will rise by quite a bit.

He is so fucking loathsome, misogynistic, and disrespectful it is downright baffling that one single woman would support that POS...

This is bad for Democrats inasmuch as he’s peaking too early.

He's been in nonstop campaign mode for years. People are getting tired of his constant attention-seeking and dramatic victim act.

"How can I miss you if you never go away?"

Joe is still building momentum.

*sarcasm*

It says that Biden today is up +8 among all voters 18-29. In 2020 at this same point in time, he was +23

But it does say that he’s up +19 among likely voters so that’s something. I think when all is said and done Trump won’t make big gains among young people.

I haven't had time to look up what that number was in 2020.

Biden was +30 among likely voters 18-29 in the same poll in 2020.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/18/poll-trump-cuts-into-bidens-lead-among-young-people-00152970

That number is worrisome as he needs to be at or above 60%.

Hillary Clinton and John Kerry only came in around 55% for the 18-29s, and they lost.

Also, despite some bad faith denialists' attempts to claim otherwise (including one directly calling me a liar, ffs), there most certainly IS a large gender gap with young voters (and this is far from the only poll that shows it, most all of them do):



Finally, my worry about the younger parts of Gen Z trending less and less Dem compared to the very oldest Gen Zers and the last years of the youngest Millennials looks to be possibly getting worse and is for sure if this poll is accurate):



I first really noticed this trend in 2022, when youngest part part of the Zillennial (Zillennials are those born 1992/3 to 1998, I was born late 1996) cohort plus a tiny 10 month sliver of the very oldest Gen Zers voted Democratic around 7 points net HIGHER than did the vast part of Gen Z (all but the oldest 10 months of it):



That 7 point net gap has now almost doubled, IF this poll is accurate. I have warned for years that Gen Z will likely NOT be a linear progression in terms of liberal/progressive voting patterns, especially in regards to partisan Democratic Party allegiance.

I know thousands of them, hell, if I had been born 2 and half months later I would BE ONE. This board, on balance, doesn't deeply understand them. Hell, the board doesn't deeply understand us younger Millennials all that well. There also are far too many deep currents of hostility towards us younger folk in general here, currents from a minority, smaller group, but a group that is very vocal and persistent.

IF Biden loses and if it can be shown 40yos and under underperformed (funny thing that.... some of the worst youth baiters here come from self-identified age, gender, and racial cohorts who are massively pro MAGAt, but either never comment on that fact or get argy bargy of you bring it up with them) it is going to be hell here for us. I am definitely not go to stick around if I am used as a proxy target for my age cohort.

…for the demographic groups usually targeted by the GOP.

Males' associated qualities [generalization alert] like extreme selfishness (not caring that women are being treated like third-class shit) and need-to-compensate-for-deep-seated-insecurities continue to show themselves like a giant inflamed baboon's ass. [Yes, "not all men, plenty of exceptions, blah blah blah, but still...]

...when I see a fellow member of my own demographic group that there's such a damned high chance I'm looking at a Trump supporter.

We all owe a great deal of thanks especially to black women for providing the edge that gave us Biden, and the reprieve from Trump that we'd better take full advantage of while we still have the chance.

Biden is up only 8 points among all young adults.

In 2020, he was up 23 points in this poll at the same point according to the article.

The trend-lines are in your favor!

His lead among young women should be 90+ points.even if you don't believe in abortion we can't have women dying in emergency rooms because they need an abortion for an ectopic pregnancy or miscarriage.