General Discussion

Doodley

(9,124 posts) Wed Apr 24, 2024, 07:32 PM Apr 24

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This message was self-deleted by its author (Original Post) Doodley Apr 24 OP

No single poll at this stage should terrify anyone. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 24 #1

This isn't looking at one single poll, but most recent polls. Doodley Apr 24 #5

The most recent polls dating back to last fall? Fiendish Thingy Apr 24 #8

Some polls show Biden up and some show Trump up... WarGamer Apr 24 #2

Election is almost half a year away. Most voters aren't paying serious attention. Too early emulatorloo Apr 24 #3

Gee! Thanks. I'm deleting this thread! Doodley Apr 24 #9

JFC, some of those polls are from LAST FALL Fiendish Thingy Apr 24 #4

If they terrify you then don't look at them. -misanthroptimist Apr 24 #6

Those polls are old. Also look at the MOE Yavin4 Apr 24 #7

Yup. Nt Fiendish Thingy Apr 24 #10

Fiendish Thingy

(15,656 posts)

1. No single poll at this stage should terrify anyone. Nt

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:29 PM

Apr 24

Doodley

(9,124 posts)

5. This isn't looking at one single poll, but most recent polls.

Reply to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #1)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:34 PM

Apr 24

Fiendish Thingy

(15,656 posts)

8. The most recent polls dating back to last fall?

Reply to Doodley (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:37 PM

Apr 24

See my other posts.

WarGamer

(12,483 posts)

2. Some polls show Biden up and some show Trump up...

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:31 PM

Apr 24

With around 6 months to go... polls are important.

But they'll be MORE important mid summer.

emulatorloo

(44,182 posts)

3. Election is almost half a year away. Most voters aren't paying serious attention. Too early

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:33 PM

Apr 24

to doom over polls.

Not too early to think about what we’re going to do to get our voters out when the election comes though.

Doodley

(9,124 posts)

9. Gee! Thanks. I'm deleting this thread!

Reply to emulatorloo (Reply #3)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:38 PM

Apr 24

Fiendish Thingy

(15,656 posts)

4. JFC, some of those polls are from LAST FALL

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:34 PM

Apr 24

Reuters tracked three pollsters:

WSJ - Murdoch owned, RW bias
Emerson/The Hill- leans right
NYT/Siena - shown repeatedly to use deeply flawed methodology

In Most of the polls, especially the most recent ones, the margin is within the MOE, meaning the two candidates are STATISTICALLY TIED.

P.S. Biden is NOT going to lose PA.

-misanthroptimist

(819 posts)

6. If they terrify you then don't look at them.

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:34 PM

Apr 24

It's not like they matter. Hell, there's not much chance that they'll even be vaguely correct come November.

(My early prognostication is Biden by 8% or more nationally.)

Yavin4

(35,445 posts)

7. Those polls are old. Also look at the MOE

Reply to Doodley (Original post)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:34 PM

Apr 24

Basically, they're tied. The election comes down to turnout.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,656 posts)

10. Yup. Nt

Reply to Yavin4 (Reply #7)

Wed Apr 24, 2024, 08:38 PM

Apr 24