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NewHendoLib

(60,051 posts)
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:13 AM May 8

Guardian "World's top climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target"

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/article/2024/may/08/world-scientists-climate-failure-survey-global-temperature

Exclusive: Planet is headed for at least 2.5C of heating with disastrous results for humanity, poll of hundreds of scientists finds

‘Hopeless and broken’: why the world’s top climate scientists are in despair


Hundreds of the world’s leading climate scientists expect global temperatures to rise to at least 2.5C (4.5F) this century, blasting past internationally agreed targets and causing catastrophic consequences for humanity and the planet, an exclusive Guardian survey has revealed.

Almost 80% of the respondents, all from the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), foresee at least 2.5C of global heating above preindustrial levels, while almost half anticipate at least 3C (5.4F). Only 6% thought the internationally agreed 1.5C (2.7F) limit will be met.

Many of the scientists envisage a “semi-dystopian” future, with famines, conflicts and mass migration, driven by heatwaves, wildfires, floods and storms of an intensity and frequency far beyond those that have already struck.

Snip

“I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.”

Snip

Read it all. We should not be surprised.
17 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Guardian "World's top climate scientists expect global heating to blast past 1.5C target" (Original Post) NewHendoLib May 8 OP
judging by only the sheer numbers of new lighting systems going in everywhere Blues Heron May 8 #1
At least people have switched to LEDs Johnny2X2X May 8 #7
I think it's just the sheer numbers of new lighting systems going in Blues Heron May 8 #8
People go about their lives like climate change is a hoax Kaleva May 8 #11
You're right, we can't pretend to be surprised .. Think. Again. May 8 #2
Yep, denial ain't just a river in Egypt. Brenda May 8 #4
Love this... Think. Again. May 8 #9
The core problem is a global economic system dependent Voltaire2 May 8 #3
It is. nt 2naSalit May 8 #5
Partly... Happy Hoosier May 8 #6
China produces as much greenhouse gases as all the other industrial nations combined Kaleva May 8 #12
Yes, I absolutely agree... Think. Again. May 8 #10
Eh. We knew back in the early 70s that growth was unsustainable. Voltaire2 May 8 #13
Kick dalton99a May 8 #14
Kick redqueen May 11 #15
Cool. Nobody now cares. Why should we? Oneironaut May 11 #16
Oh, boy. LudwigPastorius May 11 #17

Blues Heron

(5,979 posts)
1. judging by only the sheer numbers of new lighting systems going in everywhere
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:20 AM
May 8

its just not on peoples radar screens. A walk through the neighborhood is like walking through a movie set or prison yard these days - security lights, strings of decorative lights (is it always a holiday these days?) Security lights shining out laterally, new street lights, Lit advertisements, electronic menus in restaurants, twenty tvs in every bar, LED displays everywhere, etc.

Johnny2X2X

(19,454 posts)
7. At least people have switched to LEDs
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:55 AM
May 8

I remember when the GOP was telling overyone how awful LEDs were, now they're all people would ever consider, they last so much longer and take much less energy. I think the colors were limited at the start, but now the coatings give the same soft light people were used to with incandescent bulbs.

Blues Heron

(5,979 posts)
8. I think it's just the sheer numbers of new lighting systems going in
Wed May 8, 2024, 09:05 AM
May 8

If it’s just a one to one replacement- great. But the LEDs have seemingly given people permission to not worry about lights at all - so they then tend to go hog wild. Throw in the security systems everybody seems to require these days and bye bye savings.

Our avenue had a lighting facelift and they replaced the old sodium lights with four times as many new LEDs. All of which are retro globe style instead of classic cobra head so they waste light sideways and up, lighting up the sky and causing massive light pollution.

Kaleva

(36,495 posts)
11. People go about their lives like climate change is a hoax
Wed May 8, 2024, 09:37 AM
May 8

Even if they post that they are very concerned

One can tell just how a person feels a out an issue by how they respond to it. If it's just talk, then they are t very concerned.

Think. Again.

(9,438 posts)
2. You're right, we can't pretend to be surprised ..
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:21 AM
May 8

...we've known this for decades, certainly long enough to have stopped using fossil fuels to avoid this.

To those who think it'll just take some some adjustments and adaption in our daily lives to get through the damage we continue to cause... You're wrong.

Brenda

(1,114 posts)
4. Yep, denial ain't just a river in Egypt.
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:32 AM
May 8

I used to have sympathy for people moving to or staying on the coastline - any coastline really, but especially Florida and Louisiana.

The writing on the wall has now become a 24 hour air raid siren with strobe lights.

Don't wait and see. Don't expect the government will be able to help you. Don't become a climate migrant which is basically living like a refugee.

Happy Hoosier

(7,535 posts)
6. Partly...
Wed May 8, 2024, 08:49 AM
May 8

... but I personally think we could support long term continued economic growth with a shift to an an economy based on sustainable consumtion. We just just need to embrace. We should embarking on a massive campaign to build modern, safe nuclear power right now. We should be developing a shift of our entire energy infrastructure to net neutral policies. The tech is there. We just have to embrace it. But entrenched interests are resisting it tooth and nail.

Kaleva

(36,495 posts)
12. China produces as much greenhouse gases as all the other industrial nations combined
Wed May 8, 2024, 09:41 AM
May 8

The US could go net zero in a few years and it won't prevent the calamity that is coming

Think. Again.

(9,438 posts)
10. Yes, I absolutely agree...
Wed May 8, 2024, 09:34 AM
May 8

...putting all of our efforts into continual growth on one planet with a definite limit on space, resources, and healing abilities is humanity's greatest mistake.

However, we COULD have transitioned to non-CO2 energy decades ago and probably only suffered a minor blip in the economic growth that will come to a screeching halt very soon whether it's by our choice, or not.

Voltaire2

(13,511 posts)
13. Eh. We knew back in the early 70s that growth was unsustainable.
Wed May 8, 2024, 02:04 PM
May 8

It isn't just fossil fuels, although they are certainly the driver of climate change. There are a whole set of critical resources that we have been squandering for more than 150 years. The Club of Rome laid the basics out in their 1972 report: the limits to growth.

Anyway we've been tracking the CoR's worst case scenario pretty closely, so somewhere around 2040-2050, the entire global economic system suffers a rapid unplanned degrowth event. All the elites who aren't brain dead know what is up ahead. This isn't a mystery, it isn't even complicated, nor is it particularly uncertain.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth

Oneironaut

(5,568 posts)
16. Cool. Nobody now cares. Why should we?
Sat May 11, 2024, 02:53 PM
May 11

(Not directed at OP)

It’s the next generation’s issue, not ours. We’ve decided to consume as many resources as we can, put out as much greenhouse gas as we can. Why? Because we’ll be dead when it begins to matter anyways.

No one is going to give a shit. We’re like ants chewing the log over a raging river, but, we’re halfway through. It won’t be us that fall in - we’re just enjoying the ride.

The young people will suffer. Why should we? Why sacrifice our quality of life for people who aren’t us? Do you really want to destroy our way of life? Hurt the corporate bottom line? All for what, so your kids won’t be miserable and live in a dying world? Pfffft.

I’m alive now. Why would I give a shit? It’s me that would have to suffer, not someone else. Me. Me. Me.

Me.



(Extreme Frustrated Sarcasm, if it wasn’t obvious)

LudwigPastorius

(9,386 posts)
17. Oh, boy.
Sat May 11, 2024, 02:56 PM
May 11


On the upside, whoever is president in 90 years will be able to go swimming on the south lawn of the White House.
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