General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsHow Romney could be denied the nomination.
Could Romney Be Denied the Nomination?
Philip Klein says that it's "conceivable to craft the following general scenario: Romney wins states in the west and northeast, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum combine to dominate the south, Midwest and Appalachia, and Ron Paul siphons off a chunk of delegates. If such a scenario plays out, it's possible to see how Romney could have problems getting over the top, even if analysts are broadly correct that his money and organization give him the edge."
In fact, "if Romney were to win all of the delegates in all of the states that I identified above as solid or lean states, it would only get him to 1,008 delegates, according to the CNN calculator -- still short of the required 1,144."
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/09/could_romney_be_denied_the_nomination.html
Hawkowl
(5,213 posts)But unlikely. All those contests that Santorum won this week yielded no delegates. Zero. Nada.
I think Romney is the throwaway candidate who wins by virtue of his vast fortune, and then loses the general because he can't motivate any substantial turnout.
surfdog
(624 posts)Then the superdelegates could just throw it his way their votes would put him over-the-top
Pab Sungenis
(9,612 posts)If the Democratic superdelegates had thrown it to Hillary despite Obama having a good sized lead, it would have destroyed any chance we would have had at keeping the party together. The same will happen if the party bigwigs (who are already hated by the Teahadists) anoint Romney despite his not having a majority.