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jefferson_dem

(32,683 posts)
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:00 AM Feb 2012

POLL: Santorum 38, Romney 23, Newt 17, Paul 13. Hahahahahahaha...

Santorum surges into the lead

Riding a wave of momentum from his trio of victories on Tuesday Rick Santorum has opened up a wide lead in PPP's newest national poll. He's at 38% to 23% for Mitt Romney, 17% for Newt Gingrich, and 13% for Ron Paul.

Part of the reason for Santorum's surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney's favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he was +24 (55/31). Gingrich has fallen even further. A 44% plurality of GOP voters now hold a negative opinion of him to only 42% with a positive one. That's a 34 point drop from 2 months ago when he was at +32 (60/28).

Santorum is now completely dominating with several key segments of the electorate, especially the most right leaning parts of the party. With those describing themselves as 'very conservative,' he's now winning a majority of voters at 53% to 20% for Gingrich and 15% for Romney. Santorum gets a majority with Tea Party voters as well at 51% to 24% for Gingrich and 12% for Romney. And with Evangelicals he falls just short of a majority with 45% to 21% for Gingrich and 18% for Romney.

It used to be that Gingrich was leading with all these groups and Romney was staying competitive enough with them to hold the overall lead. No more- a consensus conservative candidate finally seems to be emerging and it's Santorum.

<SNIP>

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/santorum-surges-into-the-lead.html

40 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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POLL: Santorum 38, Romney 23, Newt 17, Paul 13. Hahahahahahaha... (Original Post) jefferson_dem Feb 2012 OP
That's rich! I love it. greatauntoftriplets Feb 2012 #1
I don't think they have a winner aaaaaa5a Feb 2012 #2
It's a race for the driver's seat. lpbk2713 Feb 2012 #3
LOL Johnny2X2X Feb 2012 #4
64% of voters don't know how to use the Google tabbycat31 Feb 2012 #11
What a great day for female Cessna pilots Blue Owl Feb 2012 #5
Am I the only person who's nervous about this? Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #6
I'm not too worried about it - with Newt I had some concern Douglas Carpenter Feb 2012 #9
Since we are talking about an electorate that (almost) elected W twice, MH1 Feb 2012 #15
I may be wrong angrychair Feb 2012 #22
I think you are right. The 64% fav is among GOP voters. DCBob Feb 2012 #25
Me too. This guy could inspire the base like Romney never could. DCBob Feb 2012 #24
I'm pretty sure that's only among Republican voters. boxman15 Feb 2012 #33
You're right. Republican voters. Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #39
Mr. Frothy has a solid lead in the "too fucking dumb to search the Internet" demographic. HopeHoops Feb 2012 #7
--which, you will note, appears to include 64% of the public. Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #12
I read the poll as "likely GOP" voters. Obama's held a lead in every "any part" poll. HopeHoops Feb 2012 #20
But it doesn't say that. Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #23
If you follow the link, the other numbers do say GOP voters. HopeHoops Feb 2012 #28
I know, but the fact that they distinguished Republicans Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #30
Bad reporting. We know better. HopeHoops Feb 2012 #36
It is GOP voters angrychair Feb 2012 #31
Thank you. Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #38
Looked...it is likely GOP voters angrychair Feb 2012 #32
I think it's time we all set aside our petty differences and unite behind Rick Santorum for the GOP Douglas Carpenter Feb 2012 #8
Flashback to 1980-- Jackpine Radical Feb 2012 #13
Or even a shorter trip, all the way back to 2000. nt MH1 Feb 2012 #16
I remember that very well - but Santorum is no Reagan and 2012 is very different than 1980 Douglas Carpenter Feb 2012 #21
The only reason Santorum has any favorables JNelson6563 Feb 2012 #10
Exactly! Palin had sky-high favorability ratings during her first few weeks on the national scene Douglas Carpenter Feb 2012 #14
Rick Rocks! flamingdem Feb 2012 #19
Come now angrychair Feb 2012 #26
I hope you're right and that they're effective. MH1 Feb 2012 #17
He's not as easy to attack as the others. He's relatively clean.. like a boy scout. DCBob Feb 2012 #29
I understand he was a key player in Pay to Play scandal JNelson6563 Feb 2012 #40
Ladies and Gentlemen we have a loser! Tennessee Gal Feb 2012 #18
Satonrum scares the hell outta me SaintPete Feb 2012 #27
The clown car steering wheel is being passed around inside from one guy to another aint_no_life_nowhere Feb 2012 #34
Within 3 weeks, Republicans will be attacking him as a liberal boxman15 Feb 2012 #35
The Republican Old Boy Network is probably a little worried taught_me_patience Feb 2012 #37

Johnny2X2X

(19,286 posts)
4. LOL
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:07 AM
Feb 2012

"Part of the reason for Santorum's surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one"

In other words, 64% of voters don't know the 1st thing about Rick Santorum yet, they just know he's "Not Romney".

Jackpine Radical

(45,274 posts)
6. Am I the only person who's nervous about this?
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:11 AM
Feb 2012

"Part of the reason for Santorum's surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one.

I'm pretty damn sure Obama's favorable/unfavorable ratings are much lower than this.

Since there is really good evidence that 2/3 of the electorate are ill-informed boobs, we'd better hope that the Newt Machine starts taking him down.

In the meantime, arm yourselves with this:

http://jillianbarclay.hubpages.com/hub/Rick-Santorum-Is-The-Jesus-Candidate-How-About-The-Lobbyists-Candidate-Or-The-Crook-Candidate

Santorum's Sleazy Side Is Just Below The Surface!

To hear Rick Santorum tell it, he is the 'Jesus' candidate. Poor Jesus! Santorum must be hoping that his actions while in the U.S. Senate will go unnoticed; that voters won't find out or won't care that when he was a Senator, he played a key role in The 'K' Street Project, where he was the point man in 'pay to play' politics that ended up with the imprisonment of Jack Abramoff. As a part of the K Street scheme, Rick Santorum was, by almost all accounts, the Senate liason who met with lobbyists every week and scheduled access to his Senate colleagues in the 'pay to play' scandal. A lesser known fact is that Santorum used those same lobbyists to his financial advantage, taking 'contributions' in exchange for promoting and sponsoring legislation favorable to their corporate interests. Maybe Santorum, ever Jesus-like, thought the 'contributions' were a modern method of tithing.

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
9. I'm not too worried about it - with Newt I had some concern
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:28 AM
Feb 2012

but Santorum is patently nuts. This will be played out - but hopefully only after he secures the nomination. Even Wall Street and the media doesn't want that kook anywhere near the White House.

MH1

(17,635 posts)
15. Since we are talking about an electorate that (almost) elected W twice,
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:44 AM
Feb 2012

I am very nervous.

Given that they are masters of stealing elections, they only have to come as close as they did in 2000 and 2004. And with redistricting, thanks to 'disappointed' (aka idiot or lazy) dems sitting out 2010, the map is worse for us this year.

As much as I despise everything he stands for, the frothy one has poise when he talks and is going to fake some people out if he gets a chance. I'm not convinced that Mittens has this thing sewn up yet. And Santorum is a bat shit insane fundy whackjob who would make this country a theocracy if he had the chance.

Ever since 2000, I no longer root for the 'least electable' republican. It didn't turn out so well that year. Give me the guy who will be the least disastrous to the country if he somehow gets in. Especially now, since they've all embraced 90% the same fanatic right-wing viewpoints.

angrychair

(8,758 posts)
22. I may be wrong
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:58 AM
Feb 2012

But I don't think its speaking specifically of the general electorate but his favorables for the wackjobs...I mean GOP. I would be shocked and extremely dishearted if 64% of the general electorate thought of him in a favorable way. I would find that hard to believe if that is what it were saying...Ricky hasn't said anything to endear himself to the general electorate. He is a red meat, social issues christian taliban wackjob and it would be the greatest gift the GOP could give Democrats to have him as their nominee. It would result in the greatest electorial landslide in the history of our country. 300+ would be a given. That cannot be understated...this guy has NO CHANCE AT ALL. As Dems would should strongly support the GOP making Ricky their nominee. Go Rick GO!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
24. Me too. This guy could inspire the base like Romney never could.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:05 PM
Feb 2012

However, he will alienate alot of moderates and independents with his extreme views. Its a much different game plan if he is the nominee. I think I would prefer Romney. He's predictable, boring and a gaffe machine.

boxman15

(1,033 posts)
33. I'm pretty sure that's only among Republican voters.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:25 PM
Feb 2012

I doubt enough people know enough about Santorum to have numbers that high on either side.

His numbers will soon collapse, too, just like every other candidate before him. I remember Republicans attacking him as he lost his Senate seat and earlier in the campaign as too liberal, God forbid. I'm sure they'll dig stuff up on him.

The establishment would kill for Romney. And in the process, they make him less and less electable.

Jackpine Radical

(45,274 posts)
23. But it doesn't say that.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:59 AM
Feb 2012

They say 64% of voters.

If they meant only Republican voters, then their phrasing is so negligent as to carry practically the opposite meaning from what they intended.


 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
28. If you follow the link, the other numbers do say GOP voters.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:09 PM
Feb 2012

It doesn't look like a basket of apples and oranges.

Jackpine Radical

(45,274 posts)
30. I know, but the fact that they distinguished Republicans
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:17 PM
Feb 2012

in the later sentences makes the absence of the modifier appear significant. First they talk about voters in general and then they talk about Republican voters.

 

HopeHoops

(47,675 posts)
36. Bad reporting. We know better.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:35 PM
Feb 2012

Oh, and don't get any santorum on you while you research this stuff. Nasty stuff, that.

angrychair

(8,758 posts)
31. It is GOP voters
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:18 PM
Feb 2012

If you go to the OP's link and then use the link at the bottom of the article to open the PDF of PPP's news release it states at the bottom "PPP surveyed 656 usual Republican primary voters nationwide on February 9th and 10th." Questions answered....Very happy to know that normal people are not that stupid...just repubs.

angrychair

(8,758 posts)
32. Looked...it is likely GOP voters
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:20 PM
Feb 2012

If you go to the OP's link and then use the link at the bottom of the article to open the PDF of PPP's news release it states at the bottom "PPP surveyed 656 usual Republican primary voters nationwide on February 9th and 10th." Questions answered....Very happy to know that normal people are not that stupid...just repubs.

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
8. I think it's time we all set aside our petty differences and unite behind Rick Santorum for the GOP
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:25 AM
Feb 2012

nomination - not for President, of course that would be insane and the public will know that's insane come November

Jackpine Radical

(45,274 posts)
13. Flashback to 1980--
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:41 AM
Feb 2012

when we hoped that the GOP would nominate their weakest candidate, that idiot ideologue Reagan.

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
21. I remember that very well - but Santorum is no Reagan and 2012 is very different than 1980
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:55 AM
Feb 2012

By the time of Reagan's successful 1980 bid Reagan had learned how to tone things down. He allowed his advisors to comb every word of his and develop broad based appeal while sounding reasonable, moderate and stateman like. Santorum is a raw and unvarnished right-wing nut. This will become obvious and frankly I don't believe America's power elite wants someone like him anywhere near the White House. They want the appearance of stability. The media will turn on him with a vengeance in time.

I would hate to compare a character like Santorum to a great man like George McGovern - one of the most moral, kind and intelligent persons to ever hold major office in the history of the United States. But what they do have in common is that Santorum like McGovern - Santorum is the candidate of the true believers - true believer - the candidate of the died in the whole grassroots activist. McGovern also did well in Iowa which caused him to be taken more seriously - but still considered a long shot. When the bigger players who were taken more seriously gradually faltered - McGovern came on strong and swept primary after primary after primary to the chagrin of the party establishment. But I do not believe this Santorum phenomena will last. I only hope it will last long enough for him to secure the Republican nomination.

JNelson6563

(28,151 posts)
10. The only reason Santorum has any favorables
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:34 AM
Feb 2012

is due to how few people know anything about him. The other clown car occupants will not go quietly into that good night, they will be firing up the shit-flinging machines and opening fire on Santorum.

That is going to be a thing of beauty to behold.

Julie

Douglas Carpenter

(20,226 posts)
14. Exactly! Palin had sky-high favorability ratings during her first few weeks on the national scene
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:43 AM
Feb 2012

Last edited Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:19 PM - Edit history (1)

I just hope they stay sky-high for Ricky long enough for him to secure the Republican nomination.



Shockwaves of delight!!

MH1

(17,635 posts)
17. I hope you're right and that they're effective.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 11:46 AM
Feb 2012

That would settle my stomach and could even become fun!

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
29. He's not as easy to attack as the others. He's relatively clean.. like a boy scout.
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:11 PM
Feb 2012

His biggest "weakness" is that he is too extreme conservative to win in a general election. But the GOPer primary voters will have none of that.

JNelson6563

(28,151 posts)
40. I understand he was a key player in Pay to Play scandal
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 05:02 PM
Feb 2012

It was a big enough scandal to bring Jack Abramoff down, it'll leave a mark on Ricky. throw in his fundy-like anti-women views...that may help a bit with the fundy crowd but he loses points for being only "fundy-like" Catholic (which of course is not part of the "real Christian" community).

Of course the majority of us out here, whether believers or not, are aghast at his views. Once these are better known we can all watch little Ricky's numbers swirl the bowl.

I for one am looking forward to it.

Julie

SaintPete

(533 posts)
27. Satonrum scares the hell outta me
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:08 PM
Feb 2012

Last edited Sun Feb 12, 2012, 02:05 AM - Edit history (1)

not so much because I think he can win the nomination, but because he might do well enough to get the VP nod. As he's the most likely (imo) to tear down the church/state wall should he ever get the chance, I don't want this fucker anywhere near the line of succession.




boxman15

(1,033 posts)
35. Within 3 weeks, Republicans will be attacking him as a liberal
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:29 PM
Feb 2012

God forbid.

He will collapse like the rest of them, because the GOP establishment has a hard-on for Mitt Romney. I hope this goes on for a long time, though. Each day that goes by, the more unelectable any of these assholes becomes.

 

taught_me_patience

(5,477 posts)
37. The Republican Old Boy Network is probably a little worried
Sat Feb 11, 2012, 12:36 PM
Feb 2012

but Romney will be the nominee. They will make sure of it. In the end, money will win this clown race.

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