Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
 

cali

(114,904 posts)
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 09:56 AM Apr 2015

Opinion: TPP Is A Mistake

Some interesting info in here that I haven't seen:

The proposed Trans Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal is a mistake.

For starters the conventional view that TTIP (Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership) is about Europe, whereas TPP is about Asia is wrong.

TTIP is indeed a proposed agreement between two parties, the US and the EU. It does not include other Atlantic nations such as Canada and Mexico, which are both members, with the US, of the North Atlantic Free Trade (NAFTA). Nor does it include non-EU member European states such as Iceland, Norway, Switzerland or Turkey. By currently common consent, TTIP negotiations appear to have got bogged down in bureaucratic technicalities and would seem to be going nowhere. There are hopes however that TPP might be concluded if President Obama can secure Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) from Congress.

Yet TPP is a really strange mélange of 12 members (see map below), including five from the Americas (Canada, Chile, Mexico, Peru and the US), five from Asia (Brunei, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam), along with Australia and New Zealand. In terms of populations the total American contingent which stands at 535 million, more than half the total population of the Americas (947 million), is significantly larger than the Asian population figures which amount to no more than 256.6 million (285 if you add Australia and New Zealand), compared to Asia’s total population of 4.3 billion: almost half of the Asian contingent is accounted for by one member, Japan. Missing are large Asian economies, notably South Korea, India and Indonesia, all three members of the G20.


Also missing of course is China; but that would seem to be deliberate, the economic arsenal of Washington’s (supposedly) strategic pivot to Asia, the fundamental aim of which is to contain China. Thus TPP is above all a geopolitical ploy with trade as a decoy.

Supporters and defenders of TPP argue that the reason China is excluded is not geopolitical but that TPP aims to achieve a very high standard trade agreement. Hence, they say, other Asian nations, including China, can apply and qualify for membership once they commit to meeting these high standards. Whether some of the current members, Vietnam, for example, are in a position to meet the high standards is for now an unresolved question. Though there is opposition to TPP in all member states, including in the two heavy-weight industrialized countries, Japan and US, a key question for developing countries, leaving aside the geopolitics, is whether TPP is what they need at this particular stage of their development.

<snip>

http://www.forbes.com/sites/jplehmann/2015/04/09/tpp-is-a-mistake/

16 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

djean111

(14,255 posts)
1. Money shot -
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 10:13 AM
Apr 2015
Thus TPP is above all a geopolitical ploy with trade as a decoy.


Actually, looks to me like the corporate version of a geopolitical ploy.
But yeah, the defense is mostly "Don't you guys care about the poor foreign workers?" and "CHINA!!!!!".

I am fascinated by how many other countries - TPP or whatever signatories - have eagerly jumped on board the new China bank. I will assume that the Chinese bank, in time, may be just as rapacious and austerity-loving as the IMF and World Bank.

SidDithers

(44,228 posts)
2. Small correction. It's not a Forbes Op-Ed...
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 10:17 AM
Apr 2015

It's an opinion piece written by a blogger who blogs at the Forbes "sites" server.

Anytime you see a Forbes address with "sites" in it followed by a name, then it's a blog entry and not an edited and vetted piece from Forbes.

Literally anyone can blog at Forbes sites.

Sid

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
4. Nothing that you've snipped indicates WHY it's a mistake.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 10:27 AM
Apr 2015

From what I can see, the only objections are to which nations are part of the treaty and that it might benefit America more than these other countries. Hard to see that as a rallying cry against it.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

ronnie624

(5,764 posts)
7. “the strongest campaigner of TPP is America …
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:00 AM
Apr 2015
[which seeks] … to contain China and to safeguard its own economic interests [by] exploiting all resources from small but growing independent nations such as Malaysia”.

More exploitation of resources for profit, to the detriment of working-class people, all over the world. Human economics needs to be reformed. You may not realize it, But the last thing we need at this point in our history, is further entrenchment of the wasteful, exploitative and unjust capitalist/consumerist economic model. It is high-time we got our affairs in order, with the hope of mitigating a clearly impending climate disaster.
 

randome

(34,845 posts)
8. I agree that exploitation of less developed economies should not be a central feature.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:11 AM
Apr 2015

But the net effect of the TPP will be -admittedly hopefully- to raise the standards of those other countries as they learn to compete with American firms.

There are advantages as well as disadvantages is all I'm saying. And yes, climate change is a much more pressing matter but try selling that to our current Congress.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

ronnie624

(5,764 posts)
9. We need to cooperate, not compete.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:21 AM
Apr 2015

The geopolitical aspect is troubling, as well, because we are, essentially, setting the stage for future conflict over resources.

And just because we have a bunch of greedy idiots in Congress, doesn't mean I should stop advocating for a more logical and just political/economic system.

 

randome

(34,845 posts)
10. You're right, none of us should stop trying to change the system.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:24 AM
Apr 2015

Maybe, if we're 'lucky', climate change will get us to cooperate more, sort of like an alien invasion would theoretically unite us.
[hr][font color="blue"][center]No squirrels were harmed in the making of this post. Yet.[/center][/font][hr]

ronnie624

(5,764 posts)
12. Agreements between rich people all over the world
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:47 AM
Apr 2015

to exploit resources and labor for the sake of profit, to the detriment of the environment and working-class people, is NOT trying to change the system. It is actually just further entrenchment of the political status quo, as well as our foolish, wasteful economic system.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
11. The giant hole in your thinking is that the US does not provide a floor.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:40 AM
Apr 2015
But the net effect of the TPP will be -admittedly hopefully- to raise the standards of those other countries as they learn to compete with American firms.

Except the US does not provide a "floor" to our standards. In fact, the parts of the TPP that have leaked would weaken regulations that provide what little floor there is in the US.

As a result, raising those countries up will drag our country down. Much like NAFTA sent a lot of factory jobs to Mexico.

ronnie624

(5,764 posts)
13. One of the main goals for US corporations, in my opinion,
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:54 AM
Apr 2015

is to force wages in the US down. The sole purpose of a corporation, is to generate profits for rich people. Never in all of human history, have society's elites been motivated to create a better world for the working-class.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
5. You say Forbes, I say Bloomberg.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 10:31 AM
Apr 2015
In a way, critics of the agreement are right: Lowering barriers to trade is disruptive. Jobs get destroyed and new ones take their place. But this is a criticism of capitalism itself, and of economic growth. And it ignores the central fact about open markets: Globalization has transformed living standards everywhere and, in the developing world, is lifting hundreds of millions of people out of poverty.

To its great credit, the U.S. has for decades led the effort to build an orderly system of international trade. The traditional multilateral approach, proceeding by consensus, worked well for years. Sadly, it has all but come to a stop.


To see why that matters, consider the goals of the TPP. It aims for "comprehensive" removal of tariff and nontariff barriers. It covers not just manufacturing but also services and agriculture, intellectual property, state-owned enterprises, dispute settlement, foreign investment and regulatory cooperation. It's a complex and far-reaching agenda -- proof that creating a truly open trading system is unfinished work.

Granted, the U.S. is already a relatively open economy, so its direct gains (and the disruption that comes with them) wouldn’t be dramatic. Making assumptions about how the deal could turn out, one study puts the net benefit at about $80 billion a year. Still, that's $80 billion a year better than nothing, and the gain would rise to more than $250 billion a year if the agreement eventually took in China and others. And these figures don't capture the (potentially much larger) intangible benefits of further global integration, including faster productivity growth and innovation -- to say nothing of the geopolitical benefits of deeper economic ties.


http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-03-22/give-obama-the-authority-he-needs

CK_John

(10,005 posts)
14. TPP is about trying to sell our stuff to the 5billion people that we buy their stuff from.
Fri Apr 10, 2015, 11:57 AM
Apr 2015

TPP is sort of hostage negotiation. The 5 billion people are saying if you want us to buy your stuff, quit whining.

Quit bugging us about our lack of environment laws, out lack of human rights laws, our lack of any copy right laws, our lack of royalty payments.

You need our stuff but we no longer need your stuff. Have a nice day.

Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Opinion: TPP Is A Mista...