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cali

(114,904 posts)
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:49 AM Jun 2015

Poll: New speed bumps for Clinton

More people have an unfavorable view of Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton now than at any time since 2001, according to a new CNN/ORC poll on the 2016 race.

While Clinton remains strikingly dominant in the Democratic field, the poll shows that her numbers have dropped significantly across several key indicators since she launched her campaign in April.

A growing number of people say she is not honest and trustworthy (57%, up from 49% in March), less than half feel she cares about people like them (47%, down from 53% last July) and more now feel she does not inspire confidence (50%, up from 42% last March).

In head-to-head match-ups against top Republicans, her margin is tighter than it has been at any point in CNN/ORC's polling on the contest.

<snip>

http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/02/politics/hillary-clinton-2016-poll-gop-field-close/

According to the poll, most of this is due to shifting views among independents.

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Poll: New speed bumps for Clinton (Original Post) cali Jun 2015 OP
Maybe the incessant and baseless attacks from the far left are actually having an effect. DanTex Jun 2015 #1
Impossible. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #5
Well, if the left trashing Hillary is causing her numbers to change, there's only 2 things to conclude whatchamacallit Jun 2015 #61
I just looked up all the various logical fallacies, and your post qualifies for about three. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #86
Obviously they're a subset of all possibilities whatchamacallit Jun 2015 #93
First, the comment wasn't mine. You just selected me to annoy. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #95
just what negative campaigning has Bernie done? ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #127
None! In fact, Bernie has pledged NOT to campaign negatively ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #134
a couple of issues with your hope there. ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #140
All you are accomplishing is making people wish you would stop. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #150
repetition is one of the best ways to drive home a message. ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #152
Yeah, well, I know a way to mute the sound. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #154
no skin off my nose. ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #171
My hope? ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #167
If only they would listen... Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #149
I never even mentioned him. Not once. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #144
Bernie Sanders is not immune to negative campaigning, cheapdate Jun 2015 #168
It's magic! Marr Jun 2015 #117
Maybe it's her behavior. cali Jun 2015 #7
+1 nt Javaman Jun 2015 #13
Ya think?!? Or, it could be that damn Bernie clan stirring up trouble again (not). InAbLuEsTaTe Jun 2015 #125
Occam's Razor at work. ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #130
maybe because of the email or the huge speaking fees karynnj Jun 2015 #15
Not sure that recalling her record qualifies as "incessant and baseless attacks" yet I'm libdem4life Jun 2015 #18
We can hope. morningfog Jun 2015 #19
Maybe her failure to clearly say where she stands on issues is hurting her? on point Jun 2015 #45
Yep DU has that effect on the US. L0oniX Jun 2015 #48
Hilarious, but predictable nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #53
I wasn't talking about DU. DanTex Jun 2015 #55
That is your first mistake nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #59
I never thought NYT was part of the communist party. Not sure what you are talking about. DanTex Jun 2015 #60
You know what is hilarious nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #64
You seem to find a lot of things hilarious. DanTex Jun 2015 #68
THere is no far left in the country... well what there is nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #72
Sure there is. It just depends on what you mean by "far". DanTex Jun 2015 #77
I prefer to work with facts nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #85
All evidence to the contrary... DanTex Jun 2015 #94
There is a total of ONE email regarding the embassy nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #101
Well, that's an interesting disclosure. Odd that you previously referred to that one email as DanTex Jun 2015 #112
These responses to you are full of facts nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #115
If you say so! I guess your definition of "facts" is different too. DanTex Jun 2015 #123
Actually those who I know who are interested in facts nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #124
Yes, the "loop": that's where Republicans would rather run against Hillary than Bernie DanTex Jun 2015 #132
Oh it is adorable nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #138
To be fair, it's kind of hard discussing the "facts" since you're not allowed to share them with DanTex Jun 2015 #156
I gave you the ORIGINAL Material nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #158
Wait! I thought I had the last word! DanTex Jun 2015 #164
For number 2 tune in to Hannity nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #169
Of course, an independent: "views differ on shape of planet" -- Paul Krugman. DanTex Jun 2015 #172
Well I got no idea what it has to do with Krugman nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #173
He's the one who made that statement, mocking "Very Serious" people who DanTex Jun 2015 #174
Well I don't think voting makes a tinkers damn of difference nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #175
Hmm, so voting doesn't matter, and yet I really need you because your vote is so DanTex Jun 2015 #176
Actually I am not on any fence nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #177
Adorable! zappaman Jun 2015 #147
Gratuitous reference to the "far left".. frylock Jun 2015 #104
I can't... I will get liver damage if I do nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #106
I found it concise and descriptive. But if you have other suggestions I'm DanTex Jun 2015 #113
Conservatives find that term to be concise and descriptive.. frylock Jun 2015 #116
You don't have to come out and say it. Rex Jun 2015 #135
How can you stand this, Dan? Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #153
Ah yes nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #157
Yeah. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #159
Well thank you nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #170
Yes, they are kind of out there, you certainly have a point. DanTex Jun 2015 #160
"Blow in my ear, and I'll follow you anywhere." Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #162
Yep, people claiming that a "far left" news organization allowed Judith Miller to work for them... cascadiance Jun 2015 #188
This is why this is so damn entertaining nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #189
Far left?? From where?? RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #63
Far left? That sounds like 'Republican Speak' to me. jalan48 Jun 2015 #75
Only because it is. frylock Jun 2015 #109
This message was self-deleted by its author jalan48 Jun 2015 #111
That one stirs the shit all day long here. Rex Jun 2015 #133
He's been stirring the shit, practically since HRC announced she was running. Rex Jun 2015 #131
Let's hope so! raindaddy Jun 2015 #82
"Baseless." Jester Messiah Jun 2015 #103
if by 'baseless attacks' you mean 'looking at her record' magical thyme Jun 2015 #137
We predicted her erosion with independents... Chan790 Jun 2015 #141
I would agree with you if there were a viable non-Hillary candidate like we had in 08. DanTex Jun 2015 #142
Let's be honest. Chan790 Jun 2015 #146
Yes it is. Still, we have to make sure we beat them. DanTex Jun 2015 #155
Maybe it's because now there are a couple of other candidates running for the Democratic Autumn Jun 2015 #163
Or maybe she's not the strongest candidate after all, and needs to come up with actual policy Warren DeMontague Jun 2015 #190
"baseless attacks from the left" -- you mean like noting she has the blood of 1,000,000+ KingCharlemagne Jun 2015 #193
Does that make you -- and the other swiftboaters -- dance with glee? Hoyt Jun 2015 #2
It makes me thankful we still have a chance to nominate Bernie GummyBearz Jun 2015 #3
The nomination might, watching a Tbagger take office, not so much. Hoyt Jun 2015 #6
That is if you can convince the 76% of Democrats for whom HRC... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #12
first, hoyt, being called names by a corporate cheering "democrat" cali Jun 2015 #10
In order for Hillary to lose she will have to lose a greater percentage of the white vote since... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #20
You're assuming people will vote in the same numbers. Calista241 Jun 2015 #47
I would never compare Hillary's skills to President Obama's political skills... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #51
I don't cheer corporations, but I've worked for small mom-and-pop businesses and was treated worse Hoyt Jun 2015 #39
lol. sure, hoyt. uh huh. cali Jun 2015 #126
It's not "swiftboating" LWolf Jun 2015 #17
Barring an act of God she will be our nominee... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #24
That is if they are as committed to her as you are. zeemike Jun 2015 #97
That's odd... Jester Messiah Jun 2015 #105
It is the same script nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #110
My buddy always talks about having skin in the game. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #114
Hah! That's the most overreactive overreaction I've seen in a while. Jester Messiah Jun 2015 #119
At least I didn't pull a Romney and offer to bet you $10,000.00 DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #120
This is the same rhetoric and air of entitlement as in '08 CANDO Jun 2015 #161
I am not instructing but predicting. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #166
I certainly hope we can LWolf Jun 2015 #182
They Have known her for twenty five years.... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #183
No. LWolf Jun 2015 #184
When you suggest that Democrats who like Hillary aren't smart enough to know why they do... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #185
I didn't suggest that. LWolf Jun 2015 #186
Polls indicate that 85% or so of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Secretary Of State Clinton DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #187
Try to get your numbers straight. LWolf Jun 2015 #191
Nothing but the truth... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #192
What a shitty goddamned thing to say!! Fuck that shit! nt ChisolmTrailDem Jun 2015 #83
Whataya call it? Hoyt Jun 2015 #87
It's a report on a CNN/ORK poll! That's ALL it is, here in the beginning of June, 2015 ... ChisolmTrailDem Jun 2015 #92
Are you being intentionally obtuse? I'm talking about the swiftboaters trying to bring her down Hoyt Jun 2015 #99
"I'm talking about the swiftboaters trying to bring her down with a bunch of fabricated criticism" ChisolmTrailDem Jun 2015 #102
All the 'Not Hillary' Party is interested in is tearing down. nt onehandle Jun 2015 #4
bullshit cali Jun 2015 #11
Not at all. LWolf Jun 2015 #21
Agreed. All they want to do is tear down ... JustABozoOnThisBus Jun 2015 #25
Yep. eom MohRokTah Jun 2015 #34
as they and their predecessors have wanted for the last 80 years wyldwolf Jun 2015 #180
She is a rockstar in the party and just keeps going. Such a fighter. NCTraveler Jun 2015 #8
You may want to post a link, or else people will think you are plagiarizing. n/t demmiblue Jun 2015 #9
One poll makes you larger. OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #14
poll after poll is indicating the same trend cali Jun 2015 #23
But the ones that cali gives you... OilemFirchen Jun 2015 #26
LOL Jefferson Airplane, good one. bahrbearian Jun 2015 #31
Go ask Skinner MohRokTah Jun 2015 #35
HaaaHaaaHaaa..!!! On a roll this morning..LMAO misterhighwasted Jun 2015 #52
She's a weak campaigner. 2008 suggested that, this time it's becoming clear. nt Romulox Jun 2015 #16
She is not very good at all. earthside Jun 2015 #33
Nixon was a lousy politician and he owns the largest pop vote EC vote landslide DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #40
Great comparison. earthside Jun 2015 #42
I should have been more precise. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #57
You made the comparison with Nixon. earthside Jun 2015 #65
Neither Nixon or Hillary would win a Mr. or Ms. Congeniality contest DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #70
You're a piece of work. earthside Jun 2015 #121
I thought I was being magnanimous. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #122
I think the call from Clinton operative from Bernie's crowds, "Some things in your mirror libdem4life Jun 2015 #22
For all the size of the crowds... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #27
Just quoting one of her operatives. It was in the MSM. libdem4life Jun 2015 #28
Link? eom MohRokTah Jun 2015 #37
I'm sure it will pop up...I don't keep links on Every Detail I Read. Not to worry. I don't lie. libdem4life Jun 2015 #43
Okay, so it wasn't reported the way you claim. MohRokTah Jun 2015 #44
Well, I don't think it was Sanders who said "Get Mrs. Clinton here." Where is your link, BTW? libdem4life Jun 2015 #46
. MohRokTah Jun 2015 #50
Thanks...that's the one. libdem4life Jun 2015 #54
it also speaks volumes about her "haughty, I am entitled" approach ChairmanAgnostic Jun 2015 #143
Good catch...I missed that...just saw the mini-panic in the wording. libdem4life Jun 2015 #148
She lost a >30% lead in 2008. I'm confident she can do better this time. (nt) jeff47 Jun 2015 #29
Did they repeal the 22nd Amendment ? DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #30
Obama isn't superman. jeff47 Jun 2015 #32
She went on to win nearly 50% of the primary and caucus vote DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #38
Which demonstrates that Obama was not superman. jeff47 Jun 2015 #41
I don't understand the argument DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #49
That's 'cause you're busy trying to teleport Sanders to 2008. jeff47 Jun 2015 #58
You completely ignored her DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #66
I ignored them because they are not that important. jeff47 Jun 2015 #71
"She had the same advantages in 2008." DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #73
Did you know that spending on science and technology is killing people with their bedsheets? jeff47 Jun 2015 #90
We are arguing on parallel tracks. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #118
The difference is you're believing polling that is wrong 90% of the time. jeff47 Jun 2015 #178
May i just correct you for a second nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #179
We are at an impasse... DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #181
But Obama had an organization and money that Bernie does not have hack89 Jun 2015 #79
No, Obama eventually had an organization and money that Bernie does not currently have. jeff47 Jun 2015 #96
By the end of May he had raised $61M. HRC had raised $63M. hack89 Jun 2015 #108
<snip> 23% of those polled said they want to be a fire truck underpants Jun 2015 #36
I doubt these results. Orsino Jun 2015 #56
Come on all you hard-working white Americans! She needs your help!! RufusTFirefly Jun 2015 #62
President Gohmert will be entirely your fault MannyGoldstein Jun 2015 #76
We are making a sort of progress DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #81
Alternate headlines for this story wyldwolf Jun 2015 #67
I don't like to sow discord among brethren. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #84
Hahaha. She won't speak to the press so she's being hammered for it. Laser102 Jun 2015 #69
Thanks you for posting Cali, I just heard this reported on ABC radio news Purveyor Jun 2015 #74
Out with the old guard, and in with the new! NorthCarolina Jun 2015 #78
Bernie Sanders is the new guard? No, he's just a different old guard than Clinton. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #88
And Oh Man What a Difference That Is.... NorthCarolina Jun 2015 #98
Sure. I love New England accents. Buzz Clik Jun 2015 #100
Well, I'm more policy driven NorthCarolina Jun 2015 #107
Sigh! HassleCat Jun 2015 #80
It's their modus operandi DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2015 #89
But, she has a whopping 1% lead against Rand Paul! And, 3% over Rubio and Walker! Tierra_y_Libertad Jun 2015 #91
And DU cheers ... loudly ... 1StrongBlackMan Jun 2015 #128
RW radio has really been on the offense in Hillary-bashing DrDan Jun 2015 #129
You might want to point this to DanTex nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #139
Polls don't mean shit plus we don't know who the nominee is on the clown car side bigdarryl Jun 2015 #136
it's funny... quickesst Jun 2015 #145
Well as I do not give a shit nadinbrzezinski Jun 2015 #151
Regarding some of the replies I`ve read here, this is what I`d like to know..... democrank Jun 2015 #165

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
1. Maybe the incessant and baseless attacks from the far left are actually having an effect.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:55 AM
Jun 2015

I don't think so, though. She's still "strikingly dominant" in the Democratic field.

whatchamacallit

(15,558 posts)
61. Well, if the left trashing Hillary is causing her numbers to change, there's only 2 things to conclude
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:06 AM
Jun 2015

1. There are a LOT of left wing Hillary Haters out there
2. A large and impressionable portion of the country is reading DU

Which one best suits your delusion?

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
86. I just looked up all the various logical fallacies, and your post qualifies for about three.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:54 AM
Jun 2015

Rather than choose one, let's just say that the conclusions you present represent just a tiny subset of reality.

As for my delusion: I have this unfulfilled fantasy that posters at DU are capable of having a discussion without resorting to juvenile insults.

whatchamacallit

(15,558 posts)
93. Obviously they're a subset of all possibilities
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:01 PM
Jun 2015

But I have yet to see an explanation for how "the left wing" grousing about Hillary could directly effect her numbers. Can you describe the process?

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
95. First, the comment wasn't mine. You just selected me to annoy.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:06 PM
Jun 2015

Second, though I agree in principle with the idea that endless spewing of anti-Clinton bullshit will hurt her, I don't agree that all of it comes from left wing opponents. It is disconcerting, however, how gleefully that self-declared left wingers so gleefully repeat that bile here at DU.

Finally, is negative campaigning effective? Hell yes it is, and unless you just arrived in the US this morning, you know that's true.

So, kindly quit the phony naivete routine; it's disingenuous at best.

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
127. just what negative campaigning has Bernie done?
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:11 PM
Jun 2015

The fact that there is serious, broad and deep mistrust of her should be instructive, except to those who think their chosen one can do no wrong.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
134. None! In fact, Bernie has pledged NOT to campaign negatively ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:18 PM
Jun 2015

would that pledge filter down to his DU supporters.

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
140. a couple of issues with your hope there.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:41 PM
Jun 2015

1. Some people have serious reservations about her. I know I do.
2. Not everyone reads DU religiously and not everyone understands the subtle issues and differences between the candidates. (Hell, I have a bunch of neighbors that don't even get a paper delivered, and I have never seen a book in their homes.)
3. If we don't point out our concerns, we do a disservice to several entities
a. we do a disservice the the not well informed voter, who has no way to learn the problems with a candidate
b. we actually do a disservice to Hillary, because without that criticism, she has no chance to learn, grow, and improve as a candidate
c. we do a disservice to ourselves and our country. There were people who thought that W would actually govern from the Center, much like other pols who tacked right or left just to get elected. If they knew in advance just how scary his ideas actually were, how horrible his advisors (Cheney and so many others) would be, and how we would drop our defenses, allow a terrorist attack on the country, then lie and dissemble our country into a war that cost trillions, I doubt that W would have been elected.

No, we have a job to do, even if Bernie stays above the fray.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
150. All you are accomplishing is making people wish you would stop.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:54 PM
Jun 2015

You make comments to people that make no sense; attack them for imagined reasons.

You think that is helping?

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
152. repetition is one of the best ways to drive home a message.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:57 PM
Jun 2015

Repeating the flaws and the dangers about a Clinton WH is important, especially because of her ties to Wall Street.

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
167. My hope? ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:17 PM
Jun 2015

I have said, repeatedly, that I do not have a preferred candidate in this race ... and won't until after the debates, and possibly, after the primaries. But my "hope" is that Democrats will show their support FOR a/the candidate(s), of their choice; rather than, AGAINST the candidate(s) they don't like.

Now to my "Issues""

1) Irrelevant to positive campaigning.
2) Cheering unfavorability numbers for a Democratic candidate, does nothing to explain the subtle issues and differences between the candidates.
3) See 2, for responses to 3a, b and c.

cheapdate

(3,811 posts)
168. Bernie Sanders is not immune to negative campaigning,
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:18 PM
Jun 2015

as I was reminded in another thread. For example, in a televised CNBC interview last week, Sanders said that Hillary "hustles money."

“When you hustle money like that, you don’t sit in restaurants like this. You sit in restaurants where you’re spending—I don’t know what they spend—hundreds of dollars for dinner and so forth. That’s the world that you’re accustomed to, and that’s the world view that you adopt. You’re not worrying about a kid three blocks away from here whose mom can’t afford to feed him.” - Bernie Sanders on CNBC, 5/26/15

One could argue, "But it's true! She does hustle money! That's not negative campaigning, that's just truth!"

But that would be bullshit. That's negative campaigning plain and simple. Essentially calling your opponent a pimp who doesn't feel any concern or compassion for hungry children is not only negative, it's a good ways down the scale of negative.

I admire Bernie and negative campaigning is not characteristic of his style. It's one of the things I admire about him. But he's not immune to going negative against his competition.

 

Marr

(20,317 posts)
117. It's magic!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:33 PM
Jun 2015

When voters complain about corporate politicians, it's like saying the word "cancer", or remarking on what a lack of traffic there is on the freeway. It makes negative things happen.

You should only ever cheer for these corporate shills, because that's how we get Incremental Progress©!

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
130. Occam's Razor at work.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:15 PM
Jun 2015

Past, present behavior.

This listening campaign - Seriously? Really? She expects us to believe that by sitting in a staged setting, smiling, looking human and humane, that her mind will be changed?

Or when a huge hedge fund donor threatens her about saying nasty things about his profession? Which group will have a bigger impact on her decision-making?

karynnj

(59,511 posts)
15. maybe because of the email or the huge speaking fees
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:37 AM
Jun 2015

The email issue has not really gone aeay. The dilemma for her is that, while not illegal, it seems like she was intentionally hiding types of records that the FOIA should have applied to. There were information requests going back to when she was in office.

The annoying thing is that once the records were put out, they showed nothing bad. She really should have passed the emails when she left office.

On the fees, there are examples where Bill spoke to countries she was dealing with. Here, there is an appearance of conflict of interest.

These are both self inflicted wounds that hurt her , even when there was no real wrong.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
18. Not sure that recalling her record qualifies as "incessant and baseless attacks" yet I'm
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:39 AM
Jun 2015

clear that she'd rather talk about something else...say something Progressive or non-corporate funding.

on point

(2,506 posts)
45. Maybe her failure to clearly say where she stands on issues is hurting her?
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:30 AM
Jun 2015

Maybe her waffling strategy to straddle the fence, 'hear our pain', but have no real policy position or ideas about it is hurting her?

Maybe her deference to the wealthy 'grass roots' is hurting her?

So far her campaign seems all staged, scripted and lacking any genuine purpose. maybe that is hurting her?

I don't see any incessant and baseless attacks from the left at all. I see plenty form the right. From the left what I see is a quest for honest answers, and we are getting none.

Where does she stand on TPP, yes or no?

She still hasn't explained her Iraq war vote.
What was the nature of the 'mistake' she made?
Was she conned by Bush's lies? Did she give in to the war band wagon and just went along with it, too afraid to stand up and oppose it? Did she think it was a good strategy and now knows that was a crazy idea? Did she back the war to advance her career to appear 'tough' so she could use it later on to position herself in her political ambitions? Just saying it was a mistake is not enough. She has to explain herself.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
53. Hilarious, but predictable
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:54 AM
Jun 2015

given the media is hardly liberal and most folks, even independents, gasp I know...do not read DU.

And as an independent. Yup, I am one of those mythical creatures, both sides are doing this shit. I can almost tell who's shift it is.

Let me tell you, that is highly entertaining. Pass the popcorn.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
59. That is your first mistake
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:03 AM
Jun 2015

thinking the New York Times is the main organ of the communist party. It is a center right paper...most of US press leans center right to far right.

Take my word on this. If you think they are left...I wonder what will be your view of the lacks much distribution, is an actual Marxist paper, Workers World. Now, that is a left wing paper.

American education, or to be frank, lack of it as far as politics goes, strikes again.

By the way, be proud, the meme of liberal media came out of the Nixon White House. Glad you have now chosen to use a nixonian term, not that this surprises me.

Back to the entertainment. This is a hoot. (Actually I need to work on an update on a regional story)

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
60. I never thought NYT was part of the communist party. Not sure what you are talking about.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:05 AM
Jun 2015

The article was about how right-wingers are baiting the left to attack Hillary.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
64. You know what is hilarious
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:12 AM
Jun 2015

some of those so called attacks are very valid criticisms of the candidate.

No candidate is the second coming of Christ.

Now here is a question for you...will tell me a lot...what Do the State Department emails, released so far, reveal at a policy level?

Because very few media actually did the exercise of figuring it out. Which leads to my first point...center right papers.

By the way, huge clue. Republicans want Hillary as the candidate in the general. Oh the oppo research heaven!!!! And that is not a lefty talking, that is a political reporter talking.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
68. You seem to find a lot of things hilarious.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:20 AM
Jun 2015
some of those so called attacks are very valid criticisms of the candidate.

Maybe, but they are very minor, and the hyperbolic frenzy that the far left goes about into is way over the top.

No candidate is the second coming of Christ.

Good point. That's why I prefer not seeing the only candidate that has a chance of preventing the GOP from controlling both chambers and the White House torn down by supposed allies over minutia.

Now here is a question for you...will tell me. A lot...what the State Department emails, released so far, reveal at a policy level?

Nothing that I know of, nor that I care about.

By the way, huge clue. Republicans want Hillary as the candidate in the general. Oh the oppo research heaven!!!! And that is not a lefty talking, that is a political reporter talking.

This is obviously false. They can read the polls and fundraising numbers. You really think they wouldn't prefer to run against a self-described socialist with crazy hair, no fundraising ability, from a tiny all-white liberal enclave?

that is a political reporter talking.

Wait, now you're a political reporter? Whoddathunkit?!
 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
72. THere is no far left in the country... well what there is
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:30 AM
Jun 2015

is so small and insignificant that they are quite powerless. Tough the country is center left (by American standards, not center right.) It might even go further left since the pendulum IS swinging.

As to the emails, I am not surprised you do not care about POLICY, hard core partisans rarely do. But what they reveal is a continuity in foreign policy, regardless of who is in charge, all the way to the Reagan WH in some tings, others to Bush Sr, Clinton and Junior. The haws are very much in charge, the CENTER RIGHT you seem to adore, with an interventionist policy is in charge.

Why our media did not go there. Less the NYT commit some journalism after they catapulted the propaganda that led to a war of aggression. One that by the way, is a continuum of policy at State. We used to be more careful about that, like when we mined the Nicaraguan Harbors. By the by, we did lose at the International Court, one reason we still refuse to formally join it.

Moreover. if you think any of this will change at State, regardless of who gets elected... I got a bridge for sale in New York City... hell, I will give it you you. Let's make sure is near the NYT.

And yes, we run a non partisan paper. We report on all this crap. I am personally endorsing BIG MONEY. At the end of the day, that is the big winner. But what I wrote about oppo research, is well known outside of partisan lands. It also makes the job for media that much easier. I will only have to find the dirt on one side... half the work. And given I got a city council race... with at least two open seats.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
77. Sure there is. It just depends on what you mean by "far".
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:44 AM
Jun 2015

That I don't care about policy is, what, the third false accusation you've tossed at me today? What I said is that I don't care about the content of the emails. Why should I? It's just another Republican witch hunt. Granted, if the emails said something like "let's execute all black people" then I would care, but obviously they don't. The emails are just a game, they have nothing to do with policy.

After that your post gets a bit nonsensical. Are you claiming that foreign policy won't be different under a Dem versus a Rep administration? If so, then you're wrong. If not, I can't figure out your point.

Finally, about opposition research, I have no idea who you are or whether you are a reporter or anything. But if you sincerely think that the GOP would rather run against Bernie than Hillary, the one thing you most certainly are is wrong.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
85. I prefer to work with facts
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:54 AM
Jun 2015

not ideology.

And as to the emails, you do not care about policy... if you did, you would have done the due diligence and gone though them. Trust me, the only Benghazi in them (and not all of them) is the location of origin.

The content, which you seem not to understand, has to do with what actions we are going to take regarding the revolution, things like when Stevens first came in, threats to the hotel they were staying, and lengthily reports on conditions.

As I said, you do not care. You are a partisan. My original training is as a historian. I knew what I was reading.

Though I have a question for Issa... why the hell did he NOT go after the only document in there that could have kept the scandal somewhat alive? Shallow, yes, but most Americans don't know about the policies we have in place when diplomatic vehicles get into an accident, especially when people die. Of course, that is what is called in the business a gotcha question. (And I am sure Issa would be surprised any reporter actually read that email... if in proper earshot to local RW radio host that will get Issa in trouble with the base.... but likely Issa will just run away AGAIN.)

As to oppo research, you actually do get that. They have been planning and got their knickers in a twist when they did not get this in 2008, to run against Clinton. This is like the second coming of the 1990s. They are salivating. They have reams of oopo research on HRC... some is crap, some is not, wheat chaff kind of a problem.

The name alone conjures images of BJs in the Oval Office for some hyper partisans among Republicans. Some are looking forwards to dig out Vince Foster all over again. I fear for some they would like to exhume the body for real.

Their worst nightmare is that anybody BUT Clinton gets the nomination. They might have some on Bernie, O'Malley is completely unknown

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
94. All evidence to the contrary...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:03 PM
Jun 2015

Really, I don't care about policy because I don't want to personally dig through thousands of emails? This is your argument? Maybe, you know, I have other things I'd rather do, and I have a pretty good sense of where Hillary stands on policy issues because, umm, she's one of the most visible political personas in the entire world. Nah, couldn't be.

Sure, if by "policy" you mean details about how they secure an embassy and respond to an attack, then, no, I don't care. I'm sure it's interesting and important, but I'm more concerned about, for example, not losing the Supreme Court for a generation.

The oppo research thing, if you could find any credible analyst or even an anonymous source that said that the GOP would rather run against Hillary than Bernie, that would be a start. Until then, these are just nonsensical ramblings. Yeah, they have oppo research. They always do. They had it on Obama. They had it on Bill. They will find some on Bernie or O'Malley if it comes to that. A billion dollars buys a lot of dirt.

Hillary's dirt is out there. Everyone knows about Benghazi and BJs and whitewater and "hail of gunfire" and so on. There's so much that it gets monotonous. And still she outpolls the whole field.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
101. There is a total of ONE email regarding the embassy
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:13 PM
Jun 2015

which was useless due to structural damage. Yup, a total of ONE email. I see you did pay inordinate attention to the hearings though. And you keep admitting you care shit for policy while saying you do. This is actually funny.

And you will not find that document in the NYT... you literally have to overhear heads of local republican parties, or hopefully Rience Priebus will say it with a hot mike. But if you missed the 1990s cottage hate industry, you must be too young.

Every person I know who is somewhat connected (or well connected) to BOTH parties, knows this. It is like the worst kept secret in DC.

You know it is bad when you can hear this away from the beltway. Which we have.

And I am not talking about the polls, which at this point, for all sides are meaningless. I am talking about facts once again. I am sorry, but we are not partisan, and we work with facts. The fact is... Republicans are salivating, becuase it gets the base really activated. It is not just red meat, it is filet mignon al tartar to the base.

On the bright side, if she gets the nom, unlike you, they are aware of this. And I am writing IF, because we still have a primary to go through.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
112. Well, that's an interesting disclosure. Odd that you previously referred to that one email as
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:26 PM
Jun 2015

"emails" and excoriated me for not going through "them." I guess not all journalists/historians/wonder-what's-nexts are as familiar with plurals as I had once assumed.

As far as policy, again, we are have definitional issues. Your definition of policy is "operational details regarding how the state department secures an embassy". My definition of policy is along the lines of taxes, healthcare, etc. So I guess by your definition I don't "care" about policy, although I'd be curious as to how you define the words "care" and "about".

Every person I know who is somewhat connected (or well connected) to BOTH parties, knows this. It is like the worst kept secret in DC.

Aha. So this is like one of those logic puzzles: the answer is that you don't know anybody connected to either party. Or else you're just making it all up. Or maybe both.

And I am not talking about the polls, which at this point, for all sides are meaningless. I am talking about facts once again. I am sorry, but we are not partisan, and we work with facts. The fact is... Republicans are salivating, becuase it gets the base really activated. It is not just red meat, it is filet mignon al tartar to the base.

Well, no, you're obviously not talking about facts, because you haven't presented a single one. Sure, polls aren't everything, but they are a great deal more than the zero evidence that you have brought to support your case. There's also things like fundraising, the fact that Hillary's already been vetted for the last 20 years, the fact that Republicans can learn to hate people really quickly (Obama, Kerry, etc.), that Bernie is a self-described socialist lacking in charisma, etc.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
115. These responses to you are full of facts
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:29 PM
Jun 2015

have fun with the straw there, and I will close by giving you a link to the State Department server

http://foia.state.gov/Search/Results.aspx?collection=Clinton_Email

I will not bother with my reporting, because we do policy and that is not fit for kinder underground

Oh and one last thing Dan. you personally attacking me, or what we are doing, is like Tuesday for some in Democratic Underground. Personal attacks are expected. Keep it up



They are quite adorable.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
123. If you say so! I guess your definition of "facts" is different too.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:57 PM
Jun 2015
I will not bother with my reporting, because we do policy and that is not fit for kinder underground

Yes, that's great, don't confuse us lowly DUers with those complicated facts of yours. So considerate. And they say noblesse oblige is dead!

This might be the best excuse I've heard yet for failing to produce any evidence to back an argument. Kind of reminds of Trump in a way -- he knows how to easily defeat ISIS, but he just doesn't want to tell anyone about it... good times!
 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
124. Actually those who I know who are interested in facts
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:00 PM
Jun 2015

are in the loop. I am sorry but you are not.

And you got quite a bit of facts including a bunch of emails from an actual government source you can take the pleasure to go though. It is mostly procedural and some of the emails are quite repetitive, but they quote the email within it.

keep throwing straw. With that cute flame you posted though, be careful.



It is adorable, but you really should watch it.

By the way I do not expect you to read Foreign Policy either. Or any other high policy journal. I just don't.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
132. Yes, the "loop": that's where Republicans would rather run against Hillary than Bernie
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:17 PM
Jun 2015

Dangit, that elusive "loop", I never manage to find my way into it. Which is too bad, sounds like a wild party.

It is adorable

I must be seriously adorable, because that's the second time you've called me that. And I think I also scored 2 "hilarious"es and at least one "cute." I'm not above a little vanity, but you're making me blush here!
 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
138. Oh it is adorable
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:26 PM
Jun 2015

how you are trying to make this about me... and not the facts. And you were given more than a few.

Don't worry, hyper partisans on both sides suffer from cognitive dissonance often. Also they reject facts that do not support their particular story line In the case of the emails for republicans it is the lack of an actual scandal that they cannot accept. You seem to be unable to comprehend that those emails reveal interventionist policies going back to the Reagan White House. Of course you need to look at them in a continuum.

Hyper partisans are also quite allergic to actual policy. This is a problem since some make it to legislative bodies where ideology should give way to pragmatism. When you got a few, all is well.They are the colorful characters we all get a chuckle from. When you have a bunch, you get government gridlock.

Feel free to have the last word.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
156. To be fair, it's kind of hard discussing the "facts" since you're not allowed to share them with
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:06 PM
Jun 2015

me because I'm not part of the "loop", which I guess would kick you out of it if you lowered yourself to the point of posting them on DU.

But if at some point these "facts" get reclassified from "top secret" to "OK to share with adorable people", you know where to find me!

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
164. Wait! I thought I had the last word!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:13 PM
Jun 2015

Here's the thing. This is kind of complicated, so buckle up. We were discussing two different items in parallel.

#1) the emails and Benghazi. This, as I said, is something that I couldn't care less about.

#2) whether the GOP would rather run against Bernie than Hillary. This is where your claims rely on those magical "loop facts" that you're not allowed to share with DUers without violating the secret covenant.

So, because of my indifference to the Benghazi witch hunt, and the regulations of your "in the loop" secret society, it looks like we're at an impasse. But like I said, if they change the rules, I'll still be here, adorable as ever.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
169. For number 2 tune in to Hannity
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:27 PM
Jun 2015

trust me. Tune in to Hannity.

This is not a secret. Except apparently on DU.

This is red meat to the base. And if she gets the nom, Hanity and the rest of the crew have not even gotten warmed up yet.


And you are backpedaling some of your statements now.

Which is kind of funny.

But when people try to misrepresent I tend to answer, for fun mostly, because you are still trying to make it about me.

Realize I really could care less who wins the nomination for either party. In the end, big money is the big winner here. OK. I will make my decision on who to vote for, just becuase I need to remain in practice, not becuase it really matters, not on polls, nor on talking points at places like Democratic Underground. Or scoring sheets from ALL parties (as independent you get ALL the shit from ALL sides... it has it's advantages. When they are 180 from each other, that can be discounted easily).

I will make my decision on the FULL candidate and their policies, and if they happen to have a government, voting record, that too. And if they have speeches, yup. You know, GASP I know, make an informed decision.

As I said, the full public record we can find on these clowns. Fiorina will be more of a challenge, Carson less so... he has been leaving bird droppings all over the internets. (They are both polling under 0 in the MoE though, and I gotta take a limit to who we look at for actual reporting) So far the three dems have those records, some larger than others, but all three do.

And as to A, that is where you show your lack of interest in foreign policy as policy. It is NOT about HRC, it is about foreign policy. It is what it reveals about that foreign policy. These are discussions that in a rational country, we are not one of them, we would be having.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
173. Well I got no idea what it has to do with Krugman
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:52 PM
Jun 2015

but thanks for that comparison. I respect Krugman a lot. I consider him down to earth and all that.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
174. He's the one who made that statement, mocking "Very Serious" people who
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 03:54 PM
Jun 2015

pretend that being "independent" gives them the intellectual high-ground. You see, views don't actually differ on the shape of the planet...

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
175. Well I don't think voting makes a tinkers damn of difference
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 04:01 PM
Jun 2015

but as an independent, you are making your whatever candidate a disservice.

You need us. We don't need you. That is not a threat, that is a statement of fact.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
176. Hmm, so voting doesn't matter, and yet I really need you because your vote is so
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 04:09 PM
Jun 2015

important. I think I'm starting to understand why you are on the fence between Carly Fiorina and Ted Cruz.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
177. Actually I am not on any fence
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 04:27 PM
Jun 2015

More misrepresentation.

I gave up the ghost. The U.S. is an oligarchy, elections are for show. One votes to remain practice.

In oligarchies there are certain policies, see foreign policy for example, that do not change in any fundamental fashion regardless of who is the figure head. Where it "matter" a little more, the debate is how much, is in internal policy.

This is the kind of discussion not had on partisan sites though. But I am back to the zen state I had at 18 when I first voted in Mexico. It makes really...no difference.

That could change of course. But Oligarchies are only put out of their misery when most people realize there is a problem. I cannot say we are at most yet, but more folks are realizing this is just for show.

I am kind of flattered you are actually "listening" though I doubt you really are. After all you keep calling me all kinds of things I am not.



And with that, have an excellent day. I do not think a hyper Partisan and a non partisan can see eye to eye. I will keep working with facts though. Reality based community and all that.

I gotta say, autocorrect got some cute correctly spelled misspellings.

frylock

(34,825 posts)
116. Conservatives find that term to be concise and descriptive..
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:29 PM
Jun 2015

and that's as concise and descriptive as I'm going to get.

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
135. You don't have to come out and say it.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:19 PM
Jun 2015

It is quite obvious what that poster is doing here on DU.

 

Buzz Clik

(38,437 posts)
153. How can you stand this, Dan?
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:58 PM
Jun 2015

The responses to you are the most unhinged I've witnessed at DU, and the unhinged bar is set very, very high.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
157. Ah yes
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:06 PM
Jun 2015
that is another personal attack

Will not report it, mostly there is no use in using the alert system Just point out how adorable and cute the attack is.

Ducks... they are so nice... water comes off their back.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
160. Yes, they are kind of out there, you certainly have a point.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:09 PM
Jun 2015

But I'm a sucker for flattery, so anyone who calls me "adorable" in three consecutive posts wins my eternal allegiance.

 

cascadiance

(19,537 posts)
188. Yep, people claiming that a "far left" news organization allowed Judith Miller to work for them...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:53 PM
Jun 2015

... when she's so off the right wing deep end are making quite hilarious statements!

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
189. This is why this is so damn entertaining
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:58 PM
Jun 2015

We work hard, in our reporting to be fair to all, and not take sides. The NYT hardly does that.

RufusTFirefly

(8,812 posts)
63. Far left?? From where??
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:12 AM
Jun 2015

This country has no far left.

The heroic Joe McCarthy took care of them back in the 1950s. And Nixon did a mop-up job in the 60s. They are long gone.

Response to frylock (Reply #109)

 

Rex

(65,616 posts)
131. He's been stirring the shit, practically since HRC announced she was running.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:17 PM
Jun 2015

That one is just a sad joke of a username. Yeah, the 'far left'. The folks here that say that love them some GOP! How they are still posting here, is a sad testament to how far DU has fallen over the years.

raindaddy

(1,370 posts)
82. Let's hope so!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:48 AM
Jun 2015

The playing field is rapidly changing. Fewer people identify themselves as Democrats every year.. Down to 32%, the Republicans are down to 23%.. The Democratic party has failed the poor and middle class economically so it's not surprising the numbers are so low.. And the blame falls directly in the lap of the "new" Democrats who control the party...

Let's hope Bernie can pull this off before the Democratic party becomes a fringe party like the 23% Republicans...

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
141. We predicted her erosion with independents...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:42 PM
Jun 2015

I just don't think she's a viable GE candidate and should get out now while it's early to clear the field so we can get the strongest non-Hillary nominee possible.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
142. I would agree with you if there were a viable non-Hillary candidate like we had in 08.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:43 PM
Jun 2015

But we don't.

 

Chan790

(20,176 posts)
146. Let's be honest.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:48 PM
Jun 2015

The GOP is a fucking clown car.

If Hillary dropped out tomorrow...the new front-runner in polling would one of Marty or Bernie. I don't think Hillary is viable though...I think we're past her high-water mark where she does nothing but decline from now to Election Day and if she were to secure the nomination, it would be a disaster roughly-equivalent-or-actual to President Ted Cruz.

DanTex

(20,709 posts)
155. Yes it is. Still, we have to make sure we beat them.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:01 PM
Jun 2015

And let's be honest again. Bernie is a pipe-dream. Can O'Malley go from obscure governor to president in such a short time? I don't know. I don't want to risk it.

Autumn

(45,120 posts)
163. Maybe it's because now there are a couple of other candidates running for the Democratic
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:12 PM
Jun 2015

nomination. For the last 7 years she's been the only one mentioned as a candidate for the 2016 primary.

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
190. Or maybe she's not the strongest candidate after all, and needs to come up with actual policy
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:02 PM
Jun 2015

Related reasons to convince people to support her - instead of running on name recognition, inevitability, and "you have no other choice"

 

KingCharlemagne

(7,908 posts)
193. "baseless attacks from the left" -- you mean like noting she has the blood of 1,000,000+
Wed Jun 3, 2015, 09:19 AM
Jun 2015

dead Iraqi civilians dripping from her hands? That kind of 'baseless attack'? Her vote on Iraq should permanently disqualify her from holding any high elected office.

 

GummyBearz

(2,931 posts)
3. It makes me thankful we still have a chance to nominate Bernie
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:00 AM
Jun 2015

Which then makes me dance with glee. No more lesser of 2 evils for me

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
12. That is if you can convince the 76% of Democrats for whom HRC...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:30 AM
Jun 2015

That is if you can convince the 76% of Democrats for whom HRC is their first and second choice to be their nominee to abandon her.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
10. first, hoyt, being called names by a corporate cheering "democrat"
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:27 AM
Jun 2015

like you, is as hollow as it comes. but to answer you, no. It confirms my worry that she's weak in a general election campaign, and that she's running the same lousy primary campaign. yes, she'll likely be the nominee, and I think odds are she'll lose us the presidency. That will be her fault, and the fault of people like you.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
20. In order for Hillary to lose she will have to lose a greater percentage of the white vote since...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:39 AM
Jun 2015

Due to rapidly changing demographics in order for Hillary to lose she will have to lose a greater percentage of the white vote than every Democratic presidential candidate since Walter Mondale. That includes Mike Dukakis, Al Gore, John Kerry, and Barack Obama, and of course Walter Mondale.

I am not remotely convinced there is a Republican on the horizon that can duplicate Ronald Reagan's feat or that the percentage of white voters who will vote for Ms. Clinton will be driven that low.


Hillary gets 90% of the African American vote, 70% of the Latino vote , and 70% of the Asian vote, she can win the presidency with only 35% of the white vote. That is easily doable.


I eagerly look forward to my thesis being tested and ultimately vindicated.

Calista241

(5,586 posts)
47. You're assuming people will vote in the same numbers.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:34 AM
Jun 2015

Say she gets 90% of the African American vote, but 10% fewer African Americans vote in 2016 as opposed to 2012. She'll have to make up that number in white voters.

The problem with an uninspiring candidate, is that people don't show up to the polls for them. Barack Obama could've inspired aliens from Jupiter to vote for him, and I don't believe Hillary has that same cult of personality.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
51. I would never compare Hillary's skills to President Obama's political skills...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:50 AM
Jun 2015

I would never compare Hillary's political skills to President Obama's political skills... He is one of the most charismatic figures in American political history.

I am betting that Hillary is charismatic enough. Coupled with Republican cupidity that will alienate people of color she will do just fine


 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
39. I don't cheer corporations, but I've worked for small mom-and-pop businesses and was treated worse
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:15 AM
Jun 2015

than any corporation has treated me.

My guess is the vast majority of Democrats have the sense to know that well regulated/taxed corporations are important to our country.

I get that you are happy to see Clinton bashed, even if it costs us the White House. Dance.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
126. lol. sure, hoyt. uh huh.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:08 PM
Jun 2015

If Hillary loses us the WH, because she blows it, and that's the only way that will happen, it's her fault and the fault of her see-no-reality supporters. And yeah, I'll be blaming you lot.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
17. It's not "swiftboating"
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:39 AM
Jun 2015

to point out a candidate's flaws.

This makes me happy, yes, because it increases the chances that we can nominate a better candidate.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
24. Barring an act of God she will be our nominee...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:42 AM
Jun 2015

Unless you can convince the 76% of Democratic primary voters who indicate she is their first or second choice to be our nominee to abandon her.


zeemike

(18,998 posts)
97. That is if they are as committed to her as you are.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:07 PM
Jun 2015

But up until Sanders she was the only choice...Now we have 3 and 2 are still unknown to most of them...but that will change and so will the numbers.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
114. My buddy always talks about having skin in the game.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:28 PM
Jun 2015

Instead of having skin in the game how about a kidney?

Hillary loses the nomination I put my kidney on a donor list. Bernie loses the nomination you put your kidney on a donor list.


Consider it a service to your fellow human being.

We can work out the logistics.

 

Jester Messiah

(4,711 posts)
119. Hah! That's the most overreactive overreaction I've seen in a while.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:34 PM
Jun 2015

I think I'll let you win this round of "Quien es mas macho." Well played indeed.

 

CANDO

(2,068 posts)
161. This is the same rhetoric and air of entitlement as in '08
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:09 PM
Jun 2015

And by God, there surely was an act of God, because we Dems by and large resent being told for whom to vote because it is their due.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
166. I am not instructing but predicting.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:15 PM
Jun 2015

And it's not DemocratSinceBirth who is starting threads by the barrel subtly or not so subtly denigrating other Democratic candidates.


LWolf

(46,179 posts)
182. I certainly hope we can
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:01 PM
Jun 2015

convince a big part of that group that supports her based on name recognition and poll numbers to switch as they hear about better candidates.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
184. No.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:23 PM
Jun 2015

SOME have known her for 25 years. I have, and that's why I don't support her. I've got 25 years of her record backing my choice.

Not every Democrat who say they support her NOW, a full year before many primaries, have known her for 25 years. If they've been Democrats for a few years, though, they certainly know that she gets talked about a lot, and she's familiar to them.

Of course, they are going to get familiar with others before any votes are cast, as well, and that can easily change minds.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
185. When you suggest that Democrats who like Hillary aren't smart enough to know why they do...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 08:42 PM
Jun 2015

When you suggest that Democrats who like Hillary aren't smart enough to know why they do you are patronizing a lot of people and I suspect that will become apparent to you in the fullness of time.


LWolf

(46,179 posts)
186. I didn't suggest that.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:14 PM
Jun 2015

Those are your words, not mine.

I said they didn't know enough about the rest of their options yet. That has nothing to do with intelligence.

That dog won't fly.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
187. Polls indicate that 85% or so of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Secretary Of State Clinton
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:18 PM
Jun 2015

You are suggesting that people will learn of other candidates and consequently have a less favorable opinion of her...I meet lots of women and that has never led me to have a less favorable opinion of my girlfriend.

LWolf

(46,179 posts)
191. Try to get your numbers straight.
Wed Jun 3, 2015, 07:45 AM
Jun 2015

Last edited Thu Jun 4, 2015, 07:42 AM - Edit history (1)

Is it 76 or 85 "or so?"

I am suggesting that people will learn more about other candidates and find that they prefer them to Clinton.

And, of course, if people are choosing a candidate the way they choose a girlfriend, we've got bigger problems than Clinton.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
192. Nothing but the truth...
Wed Jun 3, 2015, 09:16 AM
Jun 2015

Most of the things I read on DU piss me off but your missive gave me a chuckle. When my buddies and I were sixteen years old or so we literally smoked weed every fucking day. I can remember when four of us would just sit in a car and go through a nickel bag in one sitting... We had a friend named Andy...He was really, really, really... fat. Today we would call him ample...He also had some unusual habits. He would leave his porn stash in clear sight in his bedroom. Most of us hid ours...He also would have his grandmother who he was living with make him food by the pot. You would come into his room and there would be a half eaten pot of mac and cheese there... He also was gaseous and wore funky sweaters...

We used to talk about his habits behind his back , of course and call it "Nothing but the truth." Sometimes we would be stoned and he would be around and we started cryptically chanting " NBTT, NBTT. ... NBTT."

Thanks for reminding me of those great days.

Nothing but the truth:

Latest CNN poll-

HRC Democratic Favorability Rating

84%


PG 18

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/06/01/2016.poll.pdf




Latest ABC poll

HRC Democratic Favorability Rating

77%

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/06/02/National-Politics/Polling/question_15680.xml?uuid=kJXdsAkVEeWVHo4VCQ1krg



Latest quinnipiac poll

HRC Democratic Favorability Rating

85%


PG 19

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2228



NBTT

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
92. It's a report on a CNN/ORK poll! That's ALL it is, here in the beginning of June, 2015 ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:00 PM
Jun 2015

1 1/2 years BEFORE the election and more than a year before the convention.

Where is the fucking "swiftboating", hoyt???

The term swiftboating (also spelled swift-boating or swift boating) is an American neologism used pejoratively to describe an unfair or untrue political attack. The term is derived from the name of the organization "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth" (SBVT, later the Swift Vets and POWs for Truth) because of their widely publicized—and then discredited—campaign against 2004 U.S. Presidential candidate John Kerry.[1][2][3][4]

Since the political smear campaign[2][5][6][7][8] conducted by the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth against John Kerry, the term "swiftboating" has come into common use to refer to a harsh attack by a political opponent that is dishonest, personal, and unfair.[9][10] The Swift Boat Veterans and media pundits objected to this use of the term to define a smear campaign.[11][12]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiftboating


How is the results of a poll this early constitute "swiftboating", hoyt??

 

Hoyt

(54,770 posts)
99. Are you being intentionally obtuse? I'm talking about the swiftboaters trying to bring her down
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:11 PM
Jun 2015

with a bunch of fabricated criticism, having an impact as evidenced by the poll.

There's plenty that Sec Clinton could say about Sanders, if she wanted.

Truthfully, if I thought Sanders had a real chance to win, I'd be behind him. I really like his ideas. But, he won't win the General Election. I think he'd get blown out, maybe worse than Dukakis.

 

ChisolmTrailDem

(9,463 posts)
102. "I'm talking about the swiftboaters trying to bring her down with a bunch of fabricated criticism"
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:13 PM
Jun 2015

Please cite examples comparable to what Kerry exerienced in 2004...I'll be waiting.

JustABozoOnThisBus

(23,387 posts)
25. Agreed. All they want to do is tear down ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:43 AM
Jun 2015

... unwarranted wars
... banks that are too big to fail
... corporate influence in elections

 

NCTraveler

(30,481 posts)
8. She is a rockstar in the party and just keeps going. Such a fighter.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:11 AM
Jun 2015

Gowdy and his ilk hate her with a passion. From email gate to the fabricated Blumenthal crap. All they do is foment hate. It's no secret why she is beloved by democrats and progressives in such strong numbers.

Working to raise the minimum wage. Throughout her Senate career, Hillary Clinton was a staunch supporter of increasing the minimum wage and voted repeatedly to protect and increase it. She was an original cosponsor of the Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007, and authored the 2006 and 2007 Standing with Minimum Wage Earners Act to tie Congressional salary increases to an increase in the minimum wage. As she said at the time, her bill would have ensured “that every time Congress gives itself a raise in the future that Americans get a raise too. This is the right and fair thing to do for hardworking Americans.”

Advocating for out-of-work Americans. Hillary Clinton has a record of working across the aisle to help out-of-work Americans. In what the New York Times called “a case study of how legislative objectives can trump ideology,” Clinton teamed up with Republican Senator Don Nickles of Oklahoma at the beginning of 2003 “to help deliver added unemployment benefits to millions of Americans.” Senator Clinton continued fighting to extend unemployment benefits for Americans who were out of work, cosponsoring amendments and bills to extend benefits through the end of 2003 and into 2004, and voting to provide emergency unemployment benefits during the 2008 financial crisis.

Getting equal pay for equal work. The Paycheck Fairness Act, which Hillary Clinton introduced in 2005 and 2007, would have amended the Fair Labor Standards Act to prevent employer retaliation against workers who claim wage discrimination, or workers who inquire about or discuss their wages. This concept was adopted, in part, by President Obama’s April 2014 Executive Order prohibiting federal contractors from retaliating against employees who discuss their wages. Clinton also cosponsored the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009, which became the first law signed by President Obama. The Act, which expanded workers’ rights to take pay discrimination issues to court, was also introduced in 2007 and was cosponsored by Clinton.

Fighting for middle-class tax cuts. As a Senator, Hillary Clinton supported progressive tax policies that required millionaires to pay their fair share. She opposed the Bush tax cuts in 2001 and 2003, and she supported a variety of middle-class tax cuts, including tax credits for student loan recipients, and keeping in place the tax cuts for those who make under $250,000 a year. Clinton has said “that inherited wealth and concentrated wealth is not good for America,” and she has consistently voted against repealing the estate tax on millionaires, doing so in 2001, 2002, and 2006.

Strengthening health care for millions of children. In the Senate, Hillary Clinton looked for ways to strengthen the State Children’s Health Insurance Program, introducing bills to allow states to expand the program that she helped create as First Lady. The program, created in 1997, has increased health coverage for millions of children in low-income and working families. Ted Kennedy, one of the lead sponsors of the bill, said the program “wouldn’t be in existence today if we didn’t have Hillary pushing for it from the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue.”

Fighting poverty as a private citizen. Hillary’s first job out of law school was for the newly-formed Children’s Defense Fund, an organization she would later chair. The CDF has “partnered with numerous organizations and worked with policy makers to build bipartisan support to enact laws that have helped millions of children fulfill their potential and escape poverty because they received the health care, child care, nurturing, proper nutrition and education they deserve.” Today, as part of the Too Small to Fail Initiative to improve the health and well-being of children five and under, Hillary Clinton is working to close the “word gap” for kids in low-income families who often have smaller vocabularies than their classmates. Clinton points out that “this disadvantage leads to further disparities in achievement and success over time, from academic performance and persistence to earnings and family stability even 20 and 30 years later.”

Expanding access to early childhood education for children in lower-income families. Senator Clinton introduced the Ready to Learn Act with Republican Senator Kit Bond of Missouri to award competitive matching grants to schools, child care providers, and Head Start providers for voluntary full day pre-K for lower-income four-year olds. Clinton also joined with Bond on his Education Begins at Home Act to provide competitive grants for early childhood home visitation, including for families with English language learners. The Act also called for revisions to Early Head Start programs, including training in parenting skills and child development. Hillary Clinton also introduced her husband to the HIPPY program, which expanded early childhood education to economically disadvantaged families. As Newsweek reported in 1990, “the Clintons became enthusiastic supporters of the program, helping to sponsor and gain funding for programs throughout the state.” Newsweek also noted that, at the time, “Nineteen of the 33 HIPPY programs in the United States” were in Arkansas.

Strengthening healthcare for rural Arkansans. As the New York Times wrote in 1993, “Her public involvement in policy issues began only a few months after her husband was inaugurated to his first term as Governor on Jan. 10, 1979, when he appointed her to be the chairwoman of the 44-member Rural Health Advisory Committee. Her work with that board in developing programs to expand health care in the state’s isolated farm and mountain country began a career of committee work on health and education issues.” And as a board member of Arkansas Children’s Hospital she was credited with starting a process “that has trained a generation of pediatricians to work in poor rural areas, and has made emergency care available for children across the state through a network of ambulances and helicopters.”

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
23. poll after poll is indicating the same trend
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:42 AM
Jun 2015

She's strong in the primary, weakening in the general

earthside

(6,960 posts)
33. She is not very good at all.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:03 AM
Jun 2015

When Barack Obama waded into the crowds in 2007-08, he did so with relish and joy.

You're seeing that in Bernie Sanders, too.

Hillary just is what she is: a lousy campaigner.
Even when she is sitting "listening" with average people she looks uncomfortable; she gives that cheeky smile, raises her eyes and then looks to left and right ... she doesn't know what to do!

A second Clinton presidency is just not going to happen. Hillary is too encumbered by too long and controversial a past. Her time out of office, the last couple of years, has been a disaster for a good nomination strategy and we are going to see that in the polls as we move along.

The pursuit of money is going to be the millstone around her neck -- I don't trust her or Bill anymore -- they should have modeled Bill Clinton's post-presidential work on Jimmy Carter, not let it become some super billionaire lobbying concern.

But this can be over thought -- bottomline is that Hillary Clinton will fail because she doesn't have it in her as part of a natural talent to be a good enough candidate to get the top job.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
40. Nixon was a lousy politician and he owns the largest pop vote EC vote landslide
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:17 AM
Jun 2015

Nixon was a lousy politician and he owns the largest pop vote/ EC vote landslide in the history of the republic.

Demographics being what they are she is in a commanding position regardless of her current small to significant leads against her Republican rivals in the polls.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
42. Great comparison.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:22 AM
Jun 2015

Tricky Dick and Hillary.

And you are incorrect anyway -- Nixon was a masterful politician -- he was a terrible human being.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
57. I should have been more precise.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:02 AM
Jun 2015

Nixon was a great politician. He had a great feel for the zeitgeist, was manipulative, and extraordinarily cunning. He probably slept with Machiavelli's The Prince under his bed. But for all that he had the charisma of a palm tree and all the likability of castor oil...

But he proved to be charismatic and likable enough.

Nixon was fundamentally a bad guy tho. I don't believe HRC is a saint, the only saint was my mom, but she's okay.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
65. You made the comparison with Nixon.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:13 AM
Jun 2015

Now you're trying to infer that I hold some sort of belief that Clinton is "... racist, a homophobe, a bigot, and an anti-semite."

Cheap. Cheap Cheap.

All I argued was that Hillary is not a good campaigner.

That sort of rhetorical tactic is beneath you.
You must have made a mistake, I'm sure.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
70. Neither Nixon or Hillary would win a Mr. or Ms. Congeniality contest
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:24 AM
Jun 2015

But both proved to be likable and charismatic enough and more importantly they were able to identify the sweet spot among American electoral choices and occupy it.

Nixon was hated by the left and those furthest to the right in his own party. Hillary is hated by the right and those furthest to the left in her own party.

I see some parallels...Hell, I see parallels between Grant and Lee, both were great generals, except the former was fighting for a cause that was righteous.


P.S. I edited my post to remove the remarks you found hurtful.

earthside

(6,960 posts)
121. You're a piece of work.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:51 PM
Jun 2015

You edited your remarks because you made yourself look foolish.

I never indicated in the slightest that anything was "hurtful".

Do you do this in all discussions? Turn everything around and cast malicious inferences on those who disagree with you?

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
122. I thought I was being magnanimous.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:54 PM
Jun 2015

I will say as far as discourse on this board my post barely casts a blip on the toxicity scale. BY DU standards it's Mr. Rogers fare.


I like me . I like me a lot. But I rather discuss issues than me.



P.S. What I deleted is there for anybody to read. I compared Nixon's and Clinton's political skills. I'm not the poster that made it larger than that.

If I compared the military skills of Erwin Rommel and George Patton and concluded they were stellar generals that doesn't mean I don't realize the former fought for an odious cause and the latter fought for a noble one.
 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
22. I think the call from Clinton operative from Bernie's crowds, "Some things in your mirror
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:42 AM
Jun 2015

are larger than they appear. Get Mrs. Clinton out here." says a lot. (No, that's not candidate bashing...it's a paraphrased quote.)

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
27. For all the size of the crowds...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 09:47 AM
Jun 2015

For all the size of the crowds, according to the poll Cali cited, Senator Sanders is trailing Hillary by fifty two points and trailing somebody who isn't even running by four points.

 

libdem4life

(13,877 posts)
43. I'm sure it will pop up...I don't keep links on Every Detail I Read. Not to worry. I don't lie.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:24 AM
Jun 2015

And if I run across it today, I'll be extra careful to post the link.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
44. Okay, so it wasn't reported the way you claim.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:29 AM
Jun 2015

I heard the same thing about objects in your mirror, but it was a County party official who arranged the rally, not some Clinton operative.

So until I see a link that contradicts that account, I cannot believe you.

 

MohRokTah

(15,429 posts)
50. .
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:46 AM
Jun 2015
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/01/us/politics/challenging-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-gains-momentum-in-iowa.html?_r=0

Kurt Meyer, the county party chairman who organized the event, sent a text message to Troy Price, the Iowa political director for Hillary Rodham Clinton. Mr. Price called back immediately.

“Objects in your rearview mirror are closer than they appear,” Mr. Meyer said he had told Mr. Price about Mr. Sanders. “Mrs. Clinton had better get out here.”


There's nothing in the story about Mr. Price's response.

ChairmanAgnostic

(28,017 posts)
143. it also speaks volumes about her "haughty, I am entitled" approach
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:44 PM
Jun 2015

despite this ridiculous listening campaign.
If her campaign had to be warned about Bernie, that means that she rehired the same kind of idiots that charged her millions, but failed to do their jobs 6 years ago. It also means that that lead of hers is really soft, as CNN's poll is pointing out.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
32. Obama isn't superman.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:03 AM
Jun 2015

He's good, but Clinton left gaping holes for him to exploit in 2008. Clinton lost as much as Obama won.

For example, she kept going with inevitability after losing several states in the primary.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
38. She went on to win nearly 50% of the primary and caucus vote
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:11 AM
Jun 2015

She went on to win nearly 50% of the primary and caucus vote against the first Democrat to be elected and re-elected president with popular vote majorities since Franklin Delano Roosevelt.




jeff47

(26,549 posts)
41. Which demonstrates that Obama was not superman.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:20 AM
Jun 2015

If he was, Clinton wouldn't have won as many votes in the primary.

Again, Clinton lost the 2008 primary as much as Obama won it.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
49. I don't understand the argument
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 10:40 AM
Jun 2015

I don't understand the argument. Senator Sanders is not a proxy for Barack Obama. Barack Obama was young, vital, Hollywood handsome, and charismatic with a great life story. Even his enemies would concede he is a very charismatic man. He was identified as a rising star in the Democratic party and was given the opportunity to deliver the keynote speech , the speech that is reserved for the party's rising stars:




I may not be as smart as the denizens of this board but I am smart enough to compare like things to like things. I am going to compare the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Golden State Warriors to one another and not to the Sacramento Kings and the Philadelphia Seventy Sixers.

I don't know why we are dwelling in the past...

Hillary has a commanding leads in the polls:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary

Hillary has a commanding lead in endorsements including the governor and senior senator from Senator Sanders' home state:


http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/238912-2016-hillary-endorsement-list

Oddsmakers make her a prohibitive favorite to win the nomination:

http://www.predictwise.com/politics/2016DemNomination

She has a massive fundraising apparatus:

http://www.cnn.com/2015/04/21/politics/hillary-clinton-fundraising-2016-primary/


The money shot.

Can she lose the nomination ? Of course, lots of things are possible, but is it likely or even remotely likley she will lose the nomination? would someone bet their hard earned money she will lose the nomination?

I will leave it to others to answer.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
58. That's 'cause you're busy trying to teleport Sanders to 2008.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:03 AM
Jun 2015

The entirety of my point is Clinton screwed up in 2008. She lost a massive lead via a poorly-run campaign.

Another candidate was able to exploit her mistakes, and his own positive attributes, and won the primary.

Now we're in 2016. Clinton is running in another primary. It is way too early to measure if she is making mistakes. Currently, she's not connecting as well with large numbers of voters, but it's way too early to know if this will be a continuing problem. Also, she's running on inevitability again, which is not a terribly good idea after losing 2008 - recent history dismantles the primary argument for your candidacy.

There's attempts to justify the inevitability strategy like your claim about Obama's superhuman powers, but you turn around and undermine that by talking about the massive number of votes she got.

Hillary has a commanding leads in the polls:

Polls this early are wrong >90% of the time. The important thing to watch will be the deltas between the polls.

Those high poll numbers mean Clinton really doesn't have any room to do better. She can only go down. If she can lose support at a slow enough rate, she will win the primary. If she loses support too quickly, she has a large problem. Her response to that problem will determine whether or not she wins.

In 2008, her response was inept until it was too late to matter - she did much better than expected in the later primaries because she had jettisoned the "inevitability" strategy and started running as a candidate, not the default choice. Starting 2016 with an inevitability theme is concerning. It would be much better for her to be behaving as if she were the underdog - that version of Clinton did much better in the 2008 primary than inevitable Clinton.

I don't know why we are dwelling in the past...

The past is how we identify our mistakes and learn from them. If you ignore the past, you will make the same mistakes over and over again. If you want to see what happens, go take a look a Coakley's failed Senate and Governor campaigns. She flopped in an easy race against Scott Brown for Senate. She decided not to "dwell in the past", and flopped again in her race for Governor.

You either learn from your past, or you keep failing the same way.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
66. You completely ignored her
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:15 AM
Jun 2015

You completely ignored her

-fund raising advantages

- organizational advantages

-her endorsements

Political scientists call this the "invisible primary" and she is doing better in the invisible primary than any non incumbent of either party in modern political history:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-hillary-clinton-steamroller-rumbles-to-life/

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
71. I ignored them because they are not that important.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:29 AM
Jun 2015

She had the same advantages in 2008.

Obama did not out-raise her until after the first few primaries. And early fundraising is WAY more important than late fundraising. Especially for a relative unknown.

Clinton started 2008 with a large organizational advantage. Passionate volunteers quickly created one for Obama in 2008. Does "passionate volunteers" sound familiar?

Clinton started 2008 with way more endorsements than Obama.

And as you keep going back to, she got nearly as many votes as Obama, so he wasn't a superhuman figure that completely dominated the campaign.

"Inevitable" does not sell that well, especially on our side of the aisle. Culturally, we like underdogs. Instead of running on inevitable, Clinton should treat this as a tight race she has to fight for. It would work better and actually make her inevitable. We'll see where she goes when she starts seriously campaigning.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
73. "She had the same advantages in 2008."
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:35 AM
Jun 2015
She had the same advantages in 2008.






Clinton has pretty much already won the endorsement primary, the all-important pre-voting race to lock up party establishment support. Last time she ran for president, Clinton lost the endorsement primary. By this point in the 2008 campaign, she had only one senator endorse her publicly. According to a CNN count in February, Clinton has already secured endorsements from 27 of 46 Democratic senators. That’s a ton of support so early in the campaign.


?w=1024



http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-hillary-clinton-steamroller-rumbles-to-life/

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
90. Did you know that spending on science and technology is killing people with their bedsheets?
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:59 AM
Jun 2015
http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

Restricting your list to endorsement by Senators is a fantastic way to lie with statistics. You're also picking the most meaningless endorsements. "Oh, a Senator from CA likes Clinton? Well that totally changes my vote in IA!"

How about total party endorsements? Might not tell the same story you want to tell.

Again, inevitability is not a good strategy once the race has started. It can be helpful in restricting the number of people who decide to run against you, but once you have opponents, "inevitable" does not work as well.

All of our heroic epics are one person or small band fighting against inevitability and winning. The Nazis victory was inevitable until Indiana Jones showed up. The Empire was crushing all opposition until Luke Skywalker showed up. Skynet was slaughtering humans until one human (or reprogrammed T-101) showed up over and over again. Those plucky hobbits destroyed Sauron's inevitable victory. There's no way a small band of people driving cars out of a plane can win, but they did it anyway in all the "The Fast and The Furious" movies. Jesus was one god-man fighting against the entire Roman Empire.

Culturally, we like underdogs. Especially on our side of the aisle. Running as inevitable means you are running on the opposite side of that. It helps energize your opponents and their volunteers. It's the exact opposite of what you want in a campaign.

Doing it after you already lost is even worse. Because there is proof you are not inevitable. "Nevermind the last Death Star got blown up. We're totally going to win with this new one!!"

Run as "this is going to be tough" even when you think you are inevitable. Start running against the Republicans early if your primary opponents are laughably inept.

Want proof? It's exactly what Clinton did in 2008 late in the campaign. And she did surprisingly well even though it was too late for Obama to lose. I have no idea why she didn't learn that lesson, but not learning from 2008 is one of my concerns about her as a candidate in 2016.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
118. We are arguing on parallel tracks.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:33 PM
Jun 2015

She has a massive lead in the polls, endorsements, and cash. Could she lose? Anything is possible, however part of being a sentient human being is being able to distinguish between what is possible and what is probable.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
178. The difference is you're believing polling that is wrong 90% of the time.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 04:40 PM
Jun 2015

Early polls are always wrong. You're basing a great deal of your argument on them.

Now, what's that about probable again?

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
179. May i just correct you for a second
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 05:36 PM
Jun 2015

it is not that early polls are wrong. This is a common problem. Polls are a picture of a moment in time. We are 18 months out. Why this early they tend to evolve. as more information becomes available. And by evolve I mean, they will go all over the map before they tell us anything actually useful.

They start to really matter 6 weeks out, and a month out from an election they really matter.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
181. We are at an impasse...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 07:53 PM
Jun 2015

When Sanders wins the nomination please send me a private message to show me how I was wrong.


Thank you in advance.


hack89

(39,171 posts)
79. But Obama had an organization and money that Bernie does not have
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:46 AM
Jun 2015

Obama had his campaign organization up and running in January of 2007 - passionate volunteers did not quickly create one for him. He raised over $100 million in 2007 alone as the fund raising juggernaut he built quickly kicked into action - the gap between him and HRC throughout 2007 was not as big as you make it out to be. More to the point, Obama outspent HRC three of the four quarters in 2007.

You cannot look at Obama's accomplishment and extend it to Bernie in any form.

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
96. No, Obama eventually had an organization and money that Bernie does not currently have.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:07 PM
Jun 2015
Obama had his campaign organization up and running in January of 2007

That organization was nothing compared to Clinton's organization. It was a tiny shell of what became a very large group. That large group was built out of the efforts of passionate volunteers.

He raised over $100 million in 2007 alone as the fund raising juggernaut

Great. How much had he raised by the end of May? Hint: It wasn't anywhere close to $100M.

the gap between him and HRC throughout 2007 was not as big as you make it out to be.

Boy, the last 6 months of 2015 must have just flown by.

You cannot look at Obama's accomplishment and extend it to Bernie in any form.

Then Clinton supporters wouldn't be reacting with fear to other candidates, as you do here.

Yet loyalty pledge threads were all the rage in March on DU. And any questions of Clinton's record are a right-wing smear - "What did she do in the Senate to work against the Hyde Amendment" is apparently a terrible question to ask, based on the reaction it got.

It's most definitely an uphill battle for anyone other than Clinton. That doesn't make it an impossible battle. Ironically, if Clinton does not treat it as impossible, it will actually be impossible. She campaigns much better when she isn't running as inevitable.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
108. By the end of May he had raised $61M. HRC had raised $63M.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:19 PM
Jun 2015
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_for_the_2008_United_States_presidential_election#Democrats_5


His organization was large and full of experienced political operatives:

On January 14, 2007, the Chicago Tribune reported that Obama had begun assembling his 2008 presidential campaign team, to be headquartered in Chicago.[20] His team included campaign manager David Plouffe and media consultant David Axelrod, who were partners at the Chicago-based political consulting firm AKP&D Message and Media.[21] Communications director Robert Gibbs was previously press secretary for John Kerry's 2004 presidential campaign.[22] Penny Pritzker headed the campaign's finance team.

Other members of the campaign staff included Deputy National Campaign Director Steve Hildebrand,[23] New Media Director Joe Rospars,[24] speechwriter Jon Favreau,[25] national press secretary Bill Burton, traveling press secretary Dan Pfeiffer, policy development Cassandra Butts, finance director Julianna Smoot, research director Devorah Adler, and pollsters Paul Harstad and Cornell Belcher.[26]

Obama's economic advisors included chief Austan Goolsbee, who has worked with him since his U.S. Senate campaign, Paul Volcker, Warren Buffett,[28] health economist David Cutler and Jeffrey Leibman.[29] His foreign policy advisors included a core of nine people: Greg Craig, Richard Danzig, Scott Gration, Anthony Lake, Denis McDonough, Samantha Power, Ben Rhodes, Susan Rice, and Daniel Shapiro[30] until March 2008 when Samantha Power stepped down. A larger group of 250 advisers is divided into subgroups of about 20 people, each focusing on a specific area or topic.[31] His legal affairs advisors include Martha Minow, Ronald S. Sullivan Jr., Christopher Edley Jr., Eric Holder, and Cassandra Butts.[32]

Among his field staff, Paul Tewes and Mitch Stewart led Obama's winning Iowa caucus campaign, and one or the other of them directed field operations in many other crucial states, including Nevada, Minnesota, Texas, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Indiana


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama_presidential_primary_campaign,_2008#Campaign_staff_and_policy_team

He had those people lined up well before January 2007.

Orsino

(37,428 posts)
56. I doubt these results.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:01 AM
Jun 2015

Polling on such nebulous things as trustworthiness has never told us much.

 

MannyGoldstein

(34,589 posts)
76. President Gohmert will be entirely your fault
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:43 AM
Jun 2015

First of all, that line is taken out of context somehow I'm sure. Don't bother providing context, I don't care.

Second, if you didn't keep bringing that line up the Republicans would have forgotten about it, and wouldn't be able to use it in the general election.

All. Your. Fault.

Regards,

TWM

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
81. We are making a sort of progress
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:48 AM
Jun 2015

The hero of " hard-working white Americans" is hugely popular among people of color:


But if you look at what the polls are telling us so far, Democrats seem quite happy to have Clinton as their presidential nominee. In the latest Pew poll, 77 percent of Democrats see her favorably, and she has strong approval across ages, incomes, and races. (African-Americans, the most important Democratic sub-group, rate her particularly highly, at 87 percent favorable.}

http://theweek.com/articles/556175/hillary-clinton-fewer-problems-democratic-base-than-might-think



My goal of seeing Bubba and the Brother sitting under the same tree might be coming to fruition.

wyldwolf

(43,873 posts)
67. Alternate headlines for this story
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:18 AM
Jun 2015

"Media finds Clinton negatives rise after Media publishes slander."

or...

"Hillary Clinton gets beat up by the media, but still manages to beat every republican and democrat in the race."

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
84. I don't like to sow discord among brethren.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:53 AM
Jun 2015

I don't like to sow discord among brothers but you should cite the internals of the poll that shows HRC is the first and second choice of 79% of Democratic primary voters.

Somebody has roghly 60% to make up.

Laser102

(816 posts)
69. Hahaha. She won't speak to the press so she's being hammered for it.
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:22 AM
Jun 2015

Let's let them and people here on DU. punch themselves out. People are shrugging because there is so much crap being thrown at her that no one believes it anymore. She will emerge from this looking like the only adult in the room. So, have your little fits while she becomes our next President. See you on the other side.

 

Purveyor

(29,876 posts)
74. Thanks you for posting Cali, I just heard this reported on ABC radio news
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:37 AM
Jun 2015

at the bottom of the hour and came here to make sure it was posted.

I continue to maintain that she is not electable in the general. Too many people just don't like her and they haven't even been reminded why yet...

 

NorthCarolina

(11,197 posts)
107. Well, I'm more policy driven
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 12:19 PM
Jun 2015

than "accent" or "hairdo" driven. I could care less if he spoke Swahili as long as he keeps speaking to all the issues I care about.

 

HassleCat

(6,409 posts)
80. Sigh!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:48 AM
Jun 2015

I wish we could refrain from posting these things. Let's stick to polls that show people like Sanders for his honesty and integrity. If Sanders succeeds, it will be because he appeals to people in a genuine way, not because people are frightened of his opponent.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,719 posts)
89. It's their modus operandi
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:58 AM
Jun 2015

BTW, in the poll the seminal poster cited Senator Sanders is trailing by fifty points among Democratic primary voters and if you factor in second choices he's nearly sixty points behind.

 

Tierra_y_Libertad

(50,414 posts)
91. But, she has a whopping 1% lead against Rand Paul! And, 3% over Rubio and Walker!
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 11:59 AM
Jun 2015

Unbeatable in the General???

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
128. And DU cheers ... loudly ...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:13 PM
Jun 2015

Wait ... what? Polling this far out means nothing? ... Okay.

A growing number of people say she is not honest and trustworthy (57%, up from 49% in March), less than half feel she cares about people like them (47%, down from 53% last July) and more now feel she does not inspire confidence (50%, up from 42% last March).


Gee, I wonder what could account for those declines in numbers? Could it be the day in and day out attacks on her credibility/honesty, and all by republicans AND (those claiming to be) "Democrats"? ...

Imagine ... if "Democrats" spent half the energy spent on talking down republicans as they spend talking down HRC. And I suspect, if that segment of "Democrats" spent half the energy talking UP Bernie (and/or O'Malley) as they spend talking down HRC; Bernie (and/or O'Malley's) "Unsure" numbers would flip to favorable.

But clearly, the mission for a segment of DU "Democrats" is not to elect Democrats; but rather, to NOT elect the front-running Democrat.

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
129. RW radio has really been on the offense in Hillary-bashing
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:14 PM
Jun 2015

seems as though hannity devotes his entire 3 radio hours to attacking her

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
139. You might want to point this to DanTex
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:39 PM
Jun 2015

I tried to point out that they are salivating to get her in the General. They are truly looking forward to the return of the 1990s.

I might have to do due diligence and turn into Rush, but I got an article to write on San Quintin and my blood pressure medication does not need to be upped in dosage.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
136. Polls don't mean shit plus we don't know who the nominee is on the clown car side
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:20 PM
Jun 2015

If it's someone like my Governor Christie I'll take Mrs.Clinton's trustworthiness over this guy.Christie is as CORRUPT!!! as they come

quickesst

(6,285 posts)
145. it's funny...
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:46 PM
Jun 2015

Last edited Tue Jun 2, 2015, 05:00 PM - Edit history (1)

...that polls don't really mean anything, unless of course they're in one's favor. Then they're a big deal.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
151. Well as I do not give a shit
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 01:57 PM
Jun 2015

they mean butkus at this point for anybody. Will show trends, that is important, to a very small degree at this point of the game, but will become more important as we come close to the first primary. I have been to this rodeo enough to tune them out until about two months before an election.

I know most voters do not clue themselves in to an election until six weeks before. Alarms will truly go off at the month to election point.

We do a lot of reporting. We look at the polls, only to know which in the both clown cars need a little more tender loving care. With now 9 republicans I do not have the time to do this equally for all.

democrank

(11,115 posts)
165. Regarding some of the replies I`ve read here, this is what I`d like to know.....
Tue Jun 2, 2015, 02:14 PM
Jun 2015

Why in hell is it "bashing" Hillary to say we don`t agree with one or more of her positions....or behaviors? Are we supposed to all act like Dubya Bush followers and constantly nod in the affirmative, no matter what? Last I knew, at least some Democrats had the courage to think for themselves and decide what values and principles they honored and what candidate best represents those.

I agree with many of Hillary`s positions, but there are some I don`t agree with and I have no plans to sacrifice my own values just to march in lockstep with corporate headquarters. So, we should give this "bashing" crap a rest and understand that this is a process we`re all working through before we make that final decision about who gets our ONE PRECIOUS VOTE!

~PEACE~

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