.

and this is actually shocking. I assure you Robby Mook is not brushing this off.

This media is a joke.

She leads in 49 states (Im guessing not VT) but obviously the media is out to get her. And btw, I think framing it this way isn't good for Bernie as well. It can never just be about Bernie. The headline should've been 'Good news for Bernie' or something.

"About half of Warren's support from liberals went to Clinton, a little more to Sanders. But about half of Warren's support among men went to Sanders -- and the other half to Biden."

She has an army of campaign staffers there. Her resources on every possible level swamp his. She's been there frequently. This poll is after her big speech. I think this is every bit as much about being bad news for the Clinton campaign as it is about being good news for the Sanders campaign.

It is intereting to me that Bernie has gathered such support. But if he can't win New Hampshire, he can't win at all, IMO. But he is still about 10 points behind.... We'll have to see if he has a support ceiling.

Despite the proximity to Vermont, NH trends far more conservative (which I know is not news to you). I still think he has a great chance there, but I expect that to remain tight.

I think Iowa is where Bernie will make great hay. His no nonsense authenticity will shine with that electorate.

by 10 pts?

I want to get excited but not by a week old poll.

I also wish to hell this board could be supportive of both candidates, and we wouldnt have to wade thru negative comments to get to the facts depending on which candidate and poster is involved.

Gets annoying, it is almost as if some folks here dont realize the VAST and TREMENDOUS difference between ANY of our candidates and ALL of theirs.

a repetition suggests otherwise.

The real question is do a majority of NH independents vote in the gop or Democratic primary.

The last three presidents have lost the New Hampshire primary. The last six presidents have won the South Carolina primary.

Off the top of my head


IA
NH
NV
SC


It's seems like an artifact but the SC primary seems to have awesome predictive value when it comes to predicting winners.

1. PPP (D)*

1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP*

3. YouGov*

4. Ipsos/Reuters*

5. Purple Strategies

6. NBC/WSJ

6. CBS/NYT

6. YouGov/Economist

9. UPI/CVOTER

10. IBD/TIPP

11. Angus-Reid*

12. ABC/WP*

13. Pew Research*

13. Hartford Courant/UConn*

15. CNN/ORC

15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA

15. Politico/GWU/Battleground

15. FOX News

15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics

15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics

15. American Research Group

15. Gravis Marketing

23. Democracy Corps (D)*

24. Rasmussen

24. Gallup

26. NPR

27. National Journal*

28. AP/GfK

"About half of Warren's support from liberals went to Clinton, a little more to Sanders. But about half of Warren's support among men went to Sanders -- and the other half to Biden."

Per this poll, Bernie and Biden split Warren's male supporters. As a result, Bernie got more than half of Warren's supporters.

this upcoming round - as they were last time. They pulled her campaign up out of the grave in 2008 after she lost Iowa. That was the primary in which she got choked up while talking to a group of women and it got a ridiculously large amount of coverage.

HRC is carrying Democratic POC primary voters by 72% -5%...No opponent can overcome those numbers in the primaries.

with an overwhelmingly white population. It's no surprise he would do well in New Hampshire.

Bernie seems to be doing well among liberal whites, but he's getting his clock cleaned when it comes to minority voters.

If he wants to win the nomination, he will have to do a better job of reaching minority voters.

And he needs to highlight his record, which is better on those issues, in many aspects, than HRC's.

But HRC needs to convincingly win both NH and Iowa. And again, I think this demonstrates that her support could be weaker than most thought.

reading an article about very good poll results for Bernie. It talks about his 20 point jump from the previous two weeks. I get down to the last sentence, tying the article together. I know the press wants to see Clinton bush again even though most voters do not, but can you lay off the declarations.

"Clinton will still win the nomination, almost certainly. After winning that nomination, her team better hope support from those voters gets stronger."

"Good for him, I like Bernie."

Trying to explain these polls any other way than his message is resonating with voters is akin to this:

and want to make sure the market launch goes according to plan.

That assumption is racist, no?

We are not a monolith and HRC is not a shoe-in.

has too much baggage and can't be trusted.