Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsThe republican unskewing of polls has begun...
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-paul-manafort-general-election_us_574619eee4b0dacf7ad3e201?vqp8pviLatino Voters:
The conventional view, espoused by the Bush family and its retainer Karl Rove, is that a GOP presidential candidate needs 40 percent of the nationwide Hispanic vote to win. Trump is at roughly 20 percent.
The national polls are distorted, Manafort said. To get a national sample they rely too much on Hispanics from New York and California, which is where large populations are, but also where most of the radical Hispanics are.
But if you look at Hispanics in states such as Ohio, Pennsylvania and even Florida, you see a different picture. Were going to target Hispanic voters in those and other swing states.
The message is going to be jobs, national security, terrorism, family values and education, he said. In that order.
Their concerns are the same as the white working families.
So his candidate doesnt need 40 percent of Latino voters nationwide. If we get into the high 20s in those states with Hispanics, we will win them, and in Florida we can do even better if we do what we need to do in the Cuban community.
The Women:
Our numbers even now are not that far out of whack, Manafort said. Were down 12 among women, but up 20 among men.
Hillary is the one whos got a gender gap. And while we are behind among women over all, were ahead among white women even now. Well get some black and Hispanic women as we go along.
-----------------------
Because unskewing polls worked so well for Romney...
EDIT: Read the whole article. It's hilarious. For example: Trump has a team of advisors gathering info to brief him, but on top of that he is also gathering info on his own and HIS summaries are WAY more accurate than the summaries of people who do nothing else all day long.
InfoView thread info, including edit history
TrashPut this thread in your Trash Can (My DU » Trash Can)
BookmarkAdd this thread to your Bookmarks (My DU » Bookmarks)
4 replies, 720 views
ShareGet links to this post and/or share on social media
AlertAlert this post for a rule violation
PowersThere are no powers you can use on this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
ReplyReply to this post
EditCannot edit other people's posts
Rec (1)
ReplyReply to this post
4 replies
= new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight:
NoneDon't highlight anything
5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
The republican unskewing of polls has begun... (Original Post)
DetlefK
May 2016
OP
underpants
(183,070 posts)1. They're just like us! I'm assuming that everyone I'm talking to is white
C_U_L8R
(45,047 posts)2. Republican math
Seems to depend on them believing their own bullshit.
Proceed, cheeto-face.
madokie
(51,076 posts)4. Proceed, cheeto-face.
LOVE it
11 Bravo
(23,928 posts)3. Because that worked so well in 2012.
It actually makes it all the more enjoyable when these goofy fuckers lose a race they actually thought they were winning.
Mittens and Queen Ann went to bed on the night of November 6, 2012, just knowing that they were White House bound. BWAHAHAHAHA!