General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsYea, I get the Convention Bounce thing but..
This is different. The Lunatic should never have gotten a bounce, hes a danger to to the USA and a danger to the world.. The fact that he got a bump and now to make matters worse Nate Silver has pissed fear all over the polls, Ive got to be honest...
This election looks as though it will be very tight and therefore if every Dem. doesnt do his or her part in working as hard as they can to rid ourselves of this peril, then we deserve what we probably will get,.
Remember how Brexit turned out... All the remorse and regrets..., well I hope Britain learned their lesson.
But there is a big difference.... Brexit has lead to an uncertain future for the people Great Britain, mostly financial... However if Trump wins the election it could and probably will bring peril into the world as we never could have imagined..
Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)newly released polls and Trump still trailed in the majority of them.
That's pitiful.
Considering Day One of the DNC >>>> Day One of the RNC, Mrs. Clinton's bounce should be higher.
busterbrown
(8,515 posts)Friends and Brother hard as nails ant-trump have been keeping me up on the days events..
Ive been depressed all day regarding these polls showing a Trump bounce..
Thanks for the bit of good news... took my temp down 3 degrees.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)Notice how he didn't link anything in support of his statement.
Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)busterbrown
(8,515 posts)if we win im sending ya a bottle... Seriously..
Im usually a pretty optimistic guy.. But I got down this am, went to work, im home tired and glad for your posts.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)Charles Bukowski
(1,132 posts)Still, his RCP bounce thus far is less than 3 points. It will most likely top out at 5 (roughly what Romney got) and then will quickly be erased by Hillary's bounce.
Concern level: 3/10
former9thward
(32,178 posts)It doesn't exist.
RAFisher
(466 posts)CBS - Trump +1%
CNN - Trump +3%
YouGov - Clinton +5%
LA Times/USC - Trump +4%
The other polls you cite are pre-convention and I don't know how useful that is.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls
uponit7771
(90,378 posts)... nationally and one poll showing ahead in OHIO with spread vote (not head to head)
I'll wait but I don't see a bump seeing all the polling that has come in so far
busterbrown
(8,515 posts)But I need to hear a bit of good news.. Thanks.
uponit7771
(90,378 posts)pstokely
(10,541 posts)they wouldn't know what a trainwreck it was
OhioBlue
(5,126 posts)But not everyone knows it. I've been shocked at some of my friends that are supporting Trump. This election IMO - is going to be completely unpredictable. I do think Trump is a master at branding and manipulation. I don't doubt that he had a hand in the timing of the leaked DNC emails. This could be a very close election and an October surprise could change everything. It could also be a landslide for Clinton. We don't know, so you are correct, all we can control is the things we can control which means working to turn out voters for Clinton/Kaine and downticket Dems.
vadermike
(1,417 posts)He unfortunately got one... what do you guys think Hillary will get out of this convention.. i think 6 or more points would be pretty good!
HereSince1628
(36,063 posts)I know the FEAR TRUMP meme is running all over this website, but .2% lead in the running avg of national polls at RCP half a week after his nominating convention doesn't look terribly imperiling.
The gap in the running average which was only around 3 percent has closed, but it wasn't much of a gap to begin with.
A lot of that is about popular support to his opposition to TransPacific Trade Pact. Opposition to TTP has widely shared popularity in both party bases and among independents.
The increased marketing the democratic convention will give to HRC's popular issues is very likely to raise her numbers and they may move a lot, because the emphasis on FEAR TRUMP has left many Dems unable to innumerate where HRC is coming from.
The convention, as it always does, will educate and convince many Americans that the nominee's proposed presidential mission is something they support.
The polls are very likely to move around quite a bit between now and Nov. if for no reason other than his often racially baited America-first know-nothingism regularly offends even members of the party that has nominated him.