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BooScout

(10,406 posts)
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 06:53 AM Jul 2016

History tells us what may happen next with Brexit & Trump

If this has been posted for, I apologize for the repeat.....but please read! The link is one of those wonky links that I can't get to post here, but if you C&P it to your browser it should work.

https://medium.com/@theonlytoby/history-tells-us-what-will-happen-next-with-brexit-trump-a3fefd154714#.yh9ge8swc

History tells us what may happen next with Brexit & Trump

It seems we’re entering another of those stupid seasons humans impose on themselves at fairly regular intervals. I am sketching out here opinions based on information, they may prove right, or may prove wrong, and they’re intended just to challenge and be part of a wider dialogue.

My background is archaeology, so also history and anthropology. It leads me to look at big historical patterns. My theory is that most peoples’ perspective of history is limited to the experience communicated by their parents and grandparents, so 50–100 years. To go beyond that you have to read, study, and learn to untangle the propaganda that is inevitable in all telling of history. In a nutshell, at university I would fail a paper if I didn’t compare at least two, if not three opposing views on a topic. Taking one telling of events as gospel doesn’t wash in the comparative analytical method of research that forms the core of British academia. (I can’t speak for other systems, but they’re definitely not all alike in this way).

So zooming out, we humans have a habit of going into phases of mass destruction, generally self imposed to some extent or another. This handy list shows all the wars over time. Wars are actually the norm for humans, but every now and then something big comes along. I am interested in the Black Death, which devastated Europe. The opening of Boccaccio’s Decameron describes Florence in the grips of the Plague. It is as beyond imagination as the Somme, Hiroshima, or the Holocaust. I mean, you quite literally can’t put yourself there and imagine what it was like. For those in the midst of the Plague it must have felt like the end of the world.

But a defining feature of humans is their resilience. To us now it seems obvious that we survived the Plague, but to people at the time it must have seemed incredible that their society continued afterwards. Indeed, many takes on the effects of the Black Death are that it had a positive impact in the long term. Well summed up here: “By targeting frail people of all ages, and killing them by the hundreds of thousands within an extremely short period of time, the Black Death might have represented a strong force of natural selection and removed the weakest individuals on a very broad scale within Europe,“ …In addition, the Black Death significantly changed the social structure of some European regions. Tragic depopulation created the shortage of working people. This shortage caused wages to rise. Products prices fell too. Consequently, standards of living increased. For instance, people started to consume more food of higher quality.”

(more) https://medium.com/@theonlytoby/history-tells-us-what-will-happen-next-with-brexit-trump-a3fefd154714#.yh9ge8swc

9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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History tells us what may happen next with Brexit & Trump (Original Post) BooScout Jul 2016 OP
and we wonder why aliens wont talk to us. MFM008 Jul 2016 #1
If they have any sense.... BooScout Jul 2016 #2
Suspect you are correct liberal N proud Jul 2016 #3
We evolved on a planet... Buckeye_Democrat Jul 2016 #4
'Life rests upon the debris of ages and feeds on a dying generation' HereSince1628 Jul 2016 #5
Thanks Buckeye_Democrat Jul 2016 #6
"Us vs. Them" seems hard-wired into our brains - particularly conservatives' - despite pampango Jul 2016 #7
Us vs Them seems hard wired into our brains The2ndWheel Jul 2016 #9
I wouldn't consider it a true self imposed destruction. duncang Jul 2016 #8

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,860 posts)
4. We evolved on a planet...
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 07:13 AM
Jul 2016

... in which killing other life has become necessary for survival. Even vegans consume their distant relatives.

I keep wondering if there's some planet or moon in which all life survived from consuming inorganic material and energy? Natural selection would favor the life that could more easily locate such resources, providing an advantage for senses and intelligence.

Once they're intelligent enough to travel the cosmos, they can peer down at Earth and pity us all.


I'm sort of joking. At least humanity has the ability to cooperate, possess empathy and imagine greater things than just survival. Well, most of humanity.



HereSince1628

(36,063 posts)
5. 'Life rests upon the debris of ages and feeds on a dying generation'
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 08:26 AM
Jul 2016

At one of the Liberal Arts colleges I taught at I was assigned to teach in a required multi-discipline course that replaced many general studies courses including Western Civilization. We had to use excerpts from 'great' works.

I had to put together a unit that considered human interactions with the environment and that required incorporating, in a general studies/humanities sort of way, some vary basic ecology.

The above snippet was my attempt at a 'catchy', yet truish, sub-heading to the on-line support materials for that unit.

With respect to your comment on chemotrophic planetary ecology, evolution is a process that 'evaluates' attempted novel variations on resource exploitation. Each species node in an ecological community represents a concentration of resources, neatly packaged and potentially available for use. What is useful to support life, and what isn't used when it's incorporated in a living body is often used when it's living 'mobile home' is dead.

Seems to me that as soon as a planet has chemotrophs concentrating resources, the potential resources that will fund a new niche of life forms that consume chemotrophs begin to collect. They become in sense a 'living target', biotic reservoirs of potentially essential life-support awaiting the emergence in some group the physiognomic novelties of a species that will exploit them.

It sort of seems to be a "life-eats-life and everything else" type of universe. The world you imagine did have an existence, but it was subsumed by the roll-out of phylogeny.

Buckeye_Democrat

(14,860 posts)
6. Thanks
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 08:38 AM
Jul 2016

My post wasn't totally serious anyway.

Perhaps all life on another planet would be poisonous for other life to consume? That would be very poor in terms of resource recycling, at least if it persisted very long beyond natural death somehow.

It's mostly pointless speculation on my part.

pampango

(24,692 posts)
7. "Us vs. Them" seems hard-wired into our brains - particularly conservatives' - despite
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 08:42 AM
Jul 2016

all the historical evidence that "We're all in this together" actually produces better results for the most people.

Liberals do a better job of appreciating and respecting diversity and cooperation versus competition but we are not always perfect either.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
9. Us vs Them seems hard wired into our brains
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 10:53 AM
Jul 2016

Especially them over there. Us over here, we're better(as in a competition?) at cooperation. Competition too apparently.

duncang

(1,907 posts)
8. I wouldn't consider it a true self imposed destruction.
Thu Jul 28, 2016, 10:25 AM
Jul 2016

More of a combination of self imposed, ignorance and the right conditions

To me a man kind self imposed destruction of people would be any eras which have autocrats. The ones in power did not feel it, but others did. Even times when there wasn't a true autocrat in power. Using the tools of fear for some and greed for others they fulfilled their want of power. The history of the world is littered with the dead and enslaved. In the Americas it was the native Americans both south and north, the Africans brought over. For them it was not a time of enlightenment but a time of horror. To some it may seem like a blip in time, something unfortunate in the past. To others a killing off of culture and history. The numbers of dead in the days of the plague may show more then some times of history. But the lives taken from those affected by others with no regard to those different then themselves is just as potent a reminder of the lengths some will go for their own gain. Whole groups of people have been wiped out, people enslaved, culture, and history lost.

This sadly has been the legacy of mankind through out time.

Going even further back in time past the recent history of the last 1,000 years. There may have been gains which most people know about or think of where this applies. A instance would be the roman days. Even though there were advances which is what is considered in a positive light by most people of European ancestry from how it has been taught for generations in history lessons. People think of it almost romantically. And it was for some it was. For others no. Some people say history was written by the winners. Again true to a point. History was written with one hand and erased with the other.

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