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stockholmer

(3,751 posts)
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 05:44 PM Jun 2012

150 mph Super Typhoon Guchol Sets Aim at Japan: Fukushima near center of forecast track

“Expected to intensify” and already the highest category storm.

http://enenews.com/accuweather-150-mph-super-typhoon-sets-aim-at-japan-fukushima-near-center-of-forecast-track-expected-to-intensify-and-already-the-highest-category-storm

Guchol, a tropical cyclone in the western Pacific, rapidly strengthened Saturday afternoon, local time. Winds are now in excess of 150 mph, making Guchol a super typhoon, the highest classification for tropical cyclones in the western Pacific.

If Guchol were an Atlantic Hurricane, it would be considered a Category 5 storm.

[...]

the storm is also expected to intensify further over the next day or two.

[...]

Guchol will still likely be a very powerful tropical cyclone upon reaching the Ryukyu Islands of Japan. Powerful winds, torrential rain and intense surf will be among some of the problems expected for the islands.

[...]

In fact, the main threat the storm poses to the main island of Japan will be its torrential rains. Heavy rain could lead to mudslides and flash flooding, especially in the mountains just west of Tokyo.

[...]


snip

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/1204l.html

33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
150 mph Super Typhoon Guchol Sets Aim at Japan: Fukushima near center of forecast track (Original Post) stockholmer Jun 2012 OP
OMG that looks bad. bluedigger Jun 2012 #1
The Fukushima reference is scaremongering. Odin2005 Jun 2012 #2
I hope you are right siligut Jun 2012 #4
It will only be a TS when it makes landfall. Odin2005 Jun 2012 #6
I resent scaremongering siligut Jun 2012 #13
You're welcome! Odin2005 Jun 2012 #17
Thats is the latest on Weather Underground muriel_volestrangler Jun 2012 #9
Three meltdowns in-progress for over a year now.... DeSwiss Jun 2012 #8
It will be a weak TS by the time it gets to Fukushima. Odin2005 Jun 2012 #12
According to the map you posted, the storm won't go near the reactor areas Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #22
The official forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #23
Even at TS winds could be trouble nadinbrzezinski Jun 2012 #27
This is why Japan is a nation that makes movies about giant monsters destroying everything... MrScorpio Jun 2012 #3
My prayers will be with them, Tommykun Jun 2012 #5
That area can't handle even a tropical storm malaise Jun 2012 #7
Tracking map from Weather Underground... SidDithers Jun 2012 #10
they appear to have it tracking slightly east of the OP map magical thyme Jun 2012 #16
I would like to hope it starts vering left (pun) towards the Yellow Sea. Left Coast2020 Jun 2012 #11
Glad I'm not in Okinawa d_r Jun 2012 #14
I was thinking the same thing. Odin2005 Jun 2012 #18
Good lord help us if Spent Fuel Pool #4 keels over flamingdem Jun 2012 #15
Hey flaming dem... CoffeeCat Jun 2012 #19
I started up with milk a long while ago flamingdem Jun 2012 #20
Lord have mercy as if Japan didn't already have enough on its' plate. Uncle Joe Jun 2012 #21
I've been watching NHK News Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #24
My heart goes out to the people there. nt nanabugg Jun 2012 #26
There have been several injuries so far (32 confirmed as of this writing) Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #29
Kick. Any updates?...nt SidDithers Jun 2012 #25
updates stockholmer Jun 2012 #28
The heaviest rain/winds are currently in the reactor area Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #30
Updates Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #31
Thanks n/t malaise Jun 2012 #32
Before this typhoon reached my area, they were making very dire predictions Art_from_Ark Jun 2012 #33

Odin2005

(53,521 posts)
2. The Fukushima reference is scaremongering.
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:06 PM
Jun 2012

The storm will be rapidly weakening and transitioning into a temperate system by the time it gets to northern Japan.

siligut

(12,272 posts)
4. I hope you are right
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:08 PM
Jun 2012

Japan is so vulnerable now. They sure don't need radiation swirled around in a wide circle.

Odin2005

(53,521 posts)
6. It will only be a TS when it makes landfall.
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:45 PM
Jun 2012

The waters around Japan are still too cool to sustain a tropical system

 

DeSwiss

(27,137 posts)
8. Three meltdowns in-progress for over a year now....
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:50 PM
Jun 2012

...a cooling pond with over 1500 fuel rods exposed to air and below that one is another one with in excess of 11,000 fuel rods in it. A leak in the #2 reactor that they can't figure out where it is and which now only has a few centimeters of water in the ''containment'' vessel. The latest radioactivity readings of which were over 880 milliseverts per hour.

- But yeah, you're right. What's to be scared of???? A storm with hurricane level winds will probably cool things off quite a bit......



Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
22. According to the map you posted, the storm won't go near the reactor areas
Mon Jun 18, 2012, 07:19 PM
Jun 2012

And you're right, this storm is going to weaken once it gets over land, and the waters in northern Japan are still relatively cool, so it will be nowhere near as strong in eastern and northern Japan as it is in the subtropical waters between Okinawa and Kyushu.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
23. The official forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency
Mon Jun 18, 2012, 08:02 PM
Jun 2012

predicts heavy rain and strong winds for the reactor area (Fukushima Hamadori) late tonight and extending into tomorrow:

http://www.jma.go.jp/jp/yoho/313.html

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
27. Even at TS winds could be trouble
Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:07 AM
Jun 2012

for Reactor Four... so no, it is not that scaremongering. The structure is greatly weakened.

MrScorpio

(73,631 posts)
3. This is why Japan is a nation that makes movies about giant monsters destroying everything...
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:08 PM
Jun 2012

Those "monsters" are metaphors about things like atomic bombs, earthquakes, tsunamis and typhoons.

Tommykun

(81 posts)
5. My prayers will be with them,
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 07:18 PM
Jun 2012

as well as any spare cash I have to send for disaster relief. I hope it weakens exponentially as soon as it hits land.
Japan, you may be the home of some of the most insane things to ever be invented, but damn it I love you.

Left Coast2020

(2,397 posts)
11. I would like to hope it starts vering left (pun) towards the Yellow Sea.
Sun Jun 17, 2012, 08:03 PM
Jun 2012

Give China a soaking instead of Japan.

CoffeeCat

(24,411 posts)
19. Hey flaming dem...
Mon Jun 18, 2012, 11:05 AM
Jun 2012

Are you still keeping vigilant track of the happenings in Fukushima? I read a bit but
have to admit that I have tuned out. I know...I'm weak. We're still off milk for the
most part and I am still very concerned.

The media blackout is just unbelievable. Hang in there!

flamingdem

(39,342 posts)
20. I started up with milk a long while ago
Mon Jun 18, 2012, 06:54 PM
Jun 2012

Can't deal with Almond milk in my coffee! It's hard to be vigilant when we can't get reliable information.

I guess the current amounts pale in comparison to what will waft our way if fuel pool 4 goes.

Uncle Joe

(58,597 posts)
21. Lord have mercy as if Japan didn't already have enough on its' plate.
Mon Jun 18, 2012, 06:57 PM
Jun 2012

Thanks for the thread, stockholmer.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
24. I've been watching NHK News
Tue Jun 19, 2012, 04:39 AM
Jun 2012

THe typhoon has made landfall on Honshu at about the spot shown on the map (follow the dotted line). Strong winds with waves up to 9 meters / 30 feet in height.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
29. There have been several injuries so far (32 confirmed as of this writing)
Tue Jun 19, 2012, 12:03 PM
Jun 2012

and a few people have had to be evacuated, but no known fatalities. The eye is passing over my area as I write this (1:00 a.m. Japan time), so the winds and rain have died down somewhat but they will be picking up again.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
31. Updates
Tue Jun 19, 2012, 09:38 PM
Jun 2012

One confirmed fatality-- a man died when the prefabricated building he was in collapsed. 55 confirmed injuries. 61 houses partially damaged, more than 100 partially flooded in scattered parts of the country. No reports of injuries or major damage from Fukushima.

http://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20120620/k10015958081000.html

This storm is simply known as Typhoon #4 in Japan. There is also Typhoon #5 which is currently affecting western Japan.

Art_from_Ark

(27,247 posts)
33. Before this typhoon reached my area, they were making very dire predictions
Wed Jun 20, 2012, 12:13 AM
Jun 2012

Winds reaching up to 65 mph, up to 10 inches of rain, some intensive lightning-- but none of that came to pass around here, 30 miles from the Pacific Ocean. It was more like a moderately intensive thunderstorm, without the thunder. Just after daybreak, I looked around the neighborhood and saw a few branches and leaves scattered in the streets, a few bicycles were knocked over, but nothing major. The air seemed particularly fresh, hoverver, and now the day seems especially bright and hot.

And looking at the local Fukushima news, it seems as though there was no major damage there, either, and the only news regarding the Daiichi nuclear complex that I have found is that sea-based containment work has been cancelled for today, presumably due to choppy waters.

http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/e-japan/fukushima/news/20120619-OYT8T01194.htm

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