General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region Forums11 possible tracks for Irma. 9 are on the east coast. 9/3/17
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/09/03/hurricane-irma-could-strike-u-s-east-coast-by-next-weekend-or-it-could-curve-out-to-sea/?utm_term=.d864741c4af3
malaise
(269,324 posts)next weekend
underpants
(183,042 posts)Home games for Miami Washington and Buffalo. New England Thursday night. Other than that everything is more inland.
malaise
(269,324 posts)OneBlueDotBama
(1,386 posts)malaise
(269,324 posts)VMA131Marine
(4,159 posts)I'm in CT so the storm may be extratropical by then but so was Sandy. Thankfully I'm not on the coast.
George II
(67,782 posts)....no significant damage.
My sister has a house one block from the ocean in central New Jersey, about 10 miles from where it hit land. She wasn't allowed to go to the house for a month. It was harrowing, spending a month wondering about the damage. When she got there, the only damage was that a light fixture next to the front door was blown off, nothing else!!
I'm rooting for the orange track to the far right of that picture. The only time I'll be rooting for anything "far right".
tblue37
(65,552 posts)George II
(67,782 posts)NutmegYankee
(16,207 posts)Sandy did more damage to roof shingles on my neighbors house, but Irene took down many more trees and knocked power out far longer.
annabanana
(52,791 posts)Liberty Belle
(9,540 posts)Hoping the damage won't be as terrible as this looks like it could be, wherever it strikes.
enid602
(8,678 posts)I'm sure tRump will graciously offer housing for those left homeless. At mar-A-Lago. Free of charge.
Kleveland
(1,257 posts)WinkyDink
(51,311 posts)underpants
(183,042 posts)WinkyDink
(51,311 posts)aikoaiko
(34,186 posts)Good luck to all.
alfredo
(60,082 posts)Honeycombe8
(37,648 posts)But that's a longshot. So is Mar-a-Lago. You never knoe about a hurricane. Unpredictable.
Grammy23
(5,815 posts)after crossing south Florida and restrengthening over the GOM. Even if we don't get a direct hit in the Florida Panhandle, a cat. 3 storm scraping by us can destroy our dunes (that are just getting back in shape), chew up the beach and give the newly paved road out to Ft. Pickens a test. High winds won't do our trees and roofs in town any good, either. My hope is that Irma proves to be a fickle hag and meanders off to the North Atlantic and fizzles into a fish storm.
It takes many, many years for a community to get fully restored after a major hurricane. The satellite trucks leave, the reporters go away and the locals are left to deal with the swarms of insurance adjusters, FEMA, tree cutters, roofers and contractors that descend on the community. Houston and all the towns impacted by Harvey have a long road ahead of them. Please don't forget them. They will need our help for a long, long time.
Ligyron
(7,645 posts)You know, 'cause that's what she did.
misanthrope
(7,436 posts)Katrina didn't strafe the central Gulf Coast from east to west, she stopped and turned northward from the middle of the Gulf of Mexico. Check out the map for yourself.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Katrina
Ligyron
(7,645 posts)"...making landfall at Hallandale Beach and Aventura on August 25." (from the article you posted) where it moved across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf where it strengthened intro a CAT 5 hurricane.
misanthrope
(7,436 posts)She mentioned a storm crossing the peninsula and entering the Gulf of Mexico -- what you deemed "pulling a Katrina." Then she wrote of a storm "scraping by" the Florida Panhandle, which is what I thought you referenced. I've seen other storms dawdle off the coast in that manner, like 1985's Elena and Juan.
Ligyron
(7,645 posts)now it looks like I have to go put shutters up for Irma, dammit. They have it coming right up the spine of Florida.
left-of-center2012
(34,195 posts)Baclava
(12,047 posts)Irma is being pushed to the south of west by a strong area of high pressure to its north.
Irma has made the expected turn to the west-southwest, and the next few days will be very important in determining where the storm goes next.
The hurricane is expected to turn back to the west on Monday. How far south it is when it makes that turn will determine if it strikes the Leeward Islands, and, further down the road, any potential impact on the U.S
http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/09/hurricane_irma_2017_strengthen.html
misanthrope
(7,436 posts)into the central Atlantic where it naturally wanted to go, another system should affect the storm in the coming days. There's a cold front expected to sweep across the southeast in the next couple of days. If it plays out as forecast, the influx of cool, dry air will rob Irma of some strength and could steer her further from the Atlantic Coast.
Warpy
(111,464 posts)that it will hit between Miami and the southern part of the NC coast. A couple of tracks go right over Mar-a-Loco, dare we hope?
Unfortunately, I have friends up and down the coast, including in Palm Beach, so I fear for all of them. I would love to see the beach eroded out from under that particular edifice, though.
jberryhill
(62,444 posts)garybeck
(9,942 posts)Goonch
(3,623 posts)nitpicker
(7,153 posts)Scroll down and click on the SFWMD and Clark Evans model plots.
As of 5 am EST Monday, the models had shifted south and west. Most of them show approaches to Bahamas/FL by Saturday, but this could all change again by Thursday.