Starting a war on the Korean Peninsula that leads to a collapse of the world economy ?

He could drop his pants and bend over in front of Putin.

Then he would be bumped repeatedly.

Trump's approval is inevitably going to vary from poll to poll. Think of Trump's real approval as a "cloud" of different poll numbers that float around the real number of people who love Trump. The center of that cloud represents the real number, which is about one out of three people that they poll: 33%.

What I don't think people take into consideration are the METHODS of polling. My understanding is that Gallup still calls people with landlines. I haven't had a landline in years. My very elderly family still uses them, though. I screen any calls that come to me unsolicited. I would hope that we all do that. I don't respond to calls from pollsters, because I didn't even know that they are calling.

I suspect they have the most sophisticated polling apparatus given their vast size and resources.

Maybe someone here can correct me, if I'm wrong.

Gallup Daily tracking is divided into two surveys: Gallup U.S. Daily and the Gallup-Sharecare Well-Being Index. Gallup interviews approximately 500 U.S. adults for each survey, 350 days per year with minimum quotas of 30% landlines and 70% cellphones. These large samples allow Gallup to examine extensive demographic breaks and unique cross-tabulations of the daily measures. The samples also allow Gallup to report results at state and community levels.

http://www.gallup.com/178685/methodology-center.aspx

This is very interesting to me. Do they only poll people who have given them their cell phone information?

That would defeat the purpose of a random sample:

Do not reflect the Americans that do not want to be bothered by polling. We may hate greed, pedophilia, racism, and everything else that the Republican party represents, but maybe we don't or can't respond to polls.

Pollsters are aware of selection bias and try to account for it.

Let's hope so.

... so it's not on you.

500 is on the low end for a poll.

Each result is based on a three-day rolling average.

Gallup tracks daily the percentage of Americans who approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president. Daily results are based on telephone interviews with approximately 1,500 national adults; Margin of error is ±3 percentage points.

http://news.gallup.com/poll/201617/gallup-daily-trump-job-approval.aspx

President Trump enthusiastically endorsed Roy Moore this morning, describing him as a “great guy” who will help to realize Trump’s goal of making America great:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2017/09/27/trump-just-endorsed-a-lawless-bigot-in-alabama-heres-how-democrats-will-run-against-him/?utm_term=.d964c9f2f174


Although I do suspect he'll throw him under the bus once he returns to the states.

Imitation is the highest form of flattery.....

They have the Democrats with a 13 pt lead for taking leadership of the house.

FIXED

Deplorables believe that is all you need to know about their level of awareness.

So, they can't even use suspiciously high results to their own advantage with a modicum of accuracy.

Neither does Mueller.

some say it is more like in the 50s. I guess he lied.

.. and then I think of that third of the country that either doesn't read or watch news or that gets it from Faux Snooze et. al. and I understand.

The percentage of unpopularity changes, depending on whether you look at likely/register voters vs. all adults because racist white people suck at life but are good at showing up on election day. Sigh.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/voters/

His numbers are also much lower than the economy would suggest.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-far-less-popular-than-the-economy-suggests-he-should-be/