Exit polls in Australian election predict tight contest with slight Coalition lead
Source: The Guardian
Early exit polls on Saturday mirrored those taken in the final days of the 2016 election campaign, predicting a tight contest with a slight advantage to the Coalition.
But most voters surveyed listed Medicare or health policy as their key motivators, suggesting Labors strong focus on the issue had cut through.
A Nine-Galaxy poll taken in the 25 most marginal seats showed a 3.4% swing to Labor.
If reflected across the electorate, that swing would take Labor to 68 seats eight short of forming government in its own right.
Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/jul/02/exit-polls-in-australian-election-predict-tight-contest-with-slight-coalition-lead
Live Results
iandhr
(6,852 posts)It appears no one has enough to from a majority.
Violet_Crumble
(35,990 posts)I think the liberals will be able to do a deal with independents which means an unstable govt which probably won't last a full term
Matilda
(6,384 posts)because it will be a tough road for whoever is PM.
Either way, Malcolm's finished - his campaign was lacklustre, and he achieved nothing in office except giving us higher medical bills.
And the RW of his party can't stand him anyhow.
Violet_Crumble
(35,990 posts)I zoned out of the election campaign except for watching the Chaser. Neither him nor Shorten rose above bland, and I agree with you that faced with a really tough road, I'd rather it fall into the Libs lap for it all to come crumbling down around them.
What made me wonder about the intelligence of some voters was the vote for Pauline Hanson. Hating Muslims and Asians while turning round and whining that it's not hate, blah blah, must be the thing to do in some parts of Queensland.
Nice to see you again
Matilda
(6,384 posts)He'll probably feel free now to accuse all and sundry of various crimes and misdemeanours all under Parliamentary Privilege.
Apparently the high numbers for Pauline are due to the double dissolution - I don't understand exactly how it all works, but according to the experts, one result is that minor parties and independents can be elected on lower numbers. So the percentage of voters might still have been small, but they have more impact on the outcome. I guess they're the same kind of people who voted for Brexit on racist grounds, and the same who support Trump. We are living in strange times.
And Queensland is another country - they've given us George Christensen, Wyatt Roy, Peter Dutton, Mal Brough, and Clive Palmer, just to name a few! We won't think about the late unlamented Joh! Mr Matilda thinks it's the sun ...
forest444
(5,902 posts)The Green Party, which elected one MP, may coalesce with Labour if need be. Not familiar enough with Australian politics to be able to speculate as to where they go from there, sorry to say.
Also of note: the Labour Party elected Australia's first Aboriginal MP: Linda Burney. Congrats!!