CBO: Shutdown cost economy $3 billion
Source: The Hill
BY NIV ELIS - 01/28/19 10:00 AM EST
The five-week partial shutdown that ended Friday cost the U.S. economy $3 billion, according to a new report by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office.
The economy lost $11 billion during the course of the shutdown, which began Dec. 22, but some $8 billion of that will be recovered as the government reopens and workers receive back pay.
Although most of the real GDP lost during the fourth quarter of 2018 and the first quarter of 2019 will eventually be recovered, CBO estimates that about $3 billion will not be, CBO director Keith Hall said Monday in a prepared statement.
All in all, that amounts to a 0.2 percentage point drop in economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2018, followed by a 0.4 percentage point decline in growth during the first quarter of 2019.
Read more: https://thehill.com/policy/finance/427230-cbo-shutdown-will-cost-economy-3-billion
CBO primarily looked at the economic cost of leaving 800,000 federal workers unpaid, reduced government spending on goods and services and lower demand resulting from the shutdown. The report did not take incorporate possible effects on the business sector from the inability to access certain loans, permits and certifications during the downturn.
ProudLib72
(17,984 posts)Wait until the middle of April at least. Then we will know more about what happened this quarter.
Major Nikon
(36,827 posts)As in government projects that were suspended during the shutdown resulting in lost profits and wages.
The actual costs associated with all the indirect effects are going to be far higher.
C_U_L8R
(45,040 posts)The fastest route to ruin and bankruptcy
Honeycombe8
(37,648 posts)at least.
Iliyah
(25,111 posts)CountAllVotes
(20,884 posts)And yes, you'll be a bit closer to the REAL #!
IronLionZion
(45,666 posts)Some art of the deal
Javaman
(62,540 posts)Im peachy keen
(15 posts)elleng
(131,410 posts)As replacement $$$ won't be provided to federal employees until Friday, some of us are still contributing today.
jmowreader
(50,601 posts)One I heard: craft brewers lost a lot on this shutdown because they couldnt get new beers approved through BATF.
Also consider the plight of the air traveler, which many of us relish because screw the rich, right?
Trump totally screwed the pooch on this one.
Hey Rocky, watch me pull a government shutdown out of my hat!
Again? That trick never works!
sandensea
(21,720 posts)That would be just 0.015% of U.S. GDP - the equivalent of 1.3 hours' worth.
The $6 billion figure is much more credible - but then, coming from Cheeto's CBO, what wouldn't be.
Kensan
(180 posts)I know its too much to hope this gets some pushback before repetition causes this to be accepted. The lost income from just government sources is just a grain of sand on a huge beach. What about business failures, financing costs (both in additional interest on new debt or on defaults/foreclosures), infrastructure damage caused by delayed repairs, etc? Hell, what about the irreversible damage to some of our national parks and public lands?
This is a blatant attempt to whitewash the true cost of the longest shutdown in our history. The true cost is likely closer to $50B than it is to a mere $3B.
EarthFirst
(2,906 posts)The true cost and impact will still be coming in for weeks, months and in some cases; years.
meadowlander
(4,413 posts)for non-essential federal employees on furlough who were ordered to sit around doing nothing for a month. I would still count that in the loss column.
Pointless frickin' waste...
kiri
(802 posts)I read on a real estate newsletter that more than 2000 federal employees suddenly unable to meet income requirements on their new home purchases and/or who failed to make their existing mortgage payment LOST their new homes.
Families planning to buy became unable to complete the closing.
"...failure to report a change in your financial situation is grounds for denial..."
matt819
(10,749 posts)Quadruple it and then add in the effects on the economy.
We are at the zero level in faith that any numbers coming from this regime are anywhere close to accurate. When Paul Krugman or other world-class level economists come up with a number, I'll believe that one. And if it's $3 billion, fine. But I would put money on the likelihood that it's closer to $12 billion. In a post a few weeks ago I threw out $75 billion, mainly for shits and grins. The point, overall, is that there are real financial costs, to say nothing of the social and emotional costs.
duforsure
(11,885 posts)The over all damage to it will be closer to 8-10 billion when everything is considered who it hurt. The threat of another one is also hurting the economy from people being scared to spend from not knowing what he'll do next to us.