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brooklynite

(94,974 posts)
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 07:07 AM Jul 2020

Extensive New Battleground Polling Shows Biden Gaining Ground

Source: Morning Consult

President Donald Trump faces an increasingly daunting electoral map according to new battleground state polling from Morning Consult Political Intelligence. Trump has seen his lead evaporate in certain must-win states, such as Florida and Texas, and he doesn’t hold a lead outside the margin of error in any of the 12 states included in this release.

The polling finds former Vice President Joe Biden has an outright advantage in four states Trump won in 2016: Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. He also leads within the margin of error in Florida and Texas, two other states Trump carried over Hillary Clinton.

Political Intelligence is conducting daily surveys with over 4,400 likely U.S. voters across the country. The latest results are based on a 10-day moving average of surveys taken between July 17 – July 26, with between 600 to 3,760 interviews per state, and margins of error ranging from 1.6 to 4 percentage points. The surveys in each state are weighted separately to reflect a representative sample of voters in that state.



Read more: https://morningconsult.com/form/july-presidential-battleground-state-polling/

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NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
6. Team Trump has put a lot of effort into Minnesota
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 08:37 AM
Jul 2020

over the past few years to try to flip the state. It is one of the whitest states in the country as well.

bucolic_frolic

(43,490 posts)
2. We need polling that measures cheating
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 07:17 AM
Jul 2020

Get on the ground and anticipate where and how cheaters will skew results. Poll Russian, Chinese, North Korean hackers on their targets. Read White House projection as virgin ore. Work sources from Hannity to Gaetz. There's a lot of action out there.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
3. democrats and DNC should be up in all 50 sates and placing GOP and trump under SEVERE
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 07:19 AM
Jul 2020

pressure. The coat tail effect of Biden will lead to a huge power swap at every level of government, When you got the opposition on the ropes YOU ATTACK EVEN HARDER

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
5. They need the funding to do that
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 08:36 AM
Jul 2020

The last I saw, they had pulled out of a few locations due to a lack of funding.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
9. I can't see it being a money issue, DNC makes some poor choices and the SuperPacs
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 09:29 AM
Jul 2020

have to be let lose

NewJeffCT

(56,829 posts)
12. DNC is always underfunded compared to the RNC
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 11:17 AM
Jul 2020

But, in the days leading up to the 2018 mid-terms, the Dems were projected to pick up 15-25 seats in the House. They picked up 40.

They were projected to lose as many as 5-7 seats in the Senate, but lost "only" two - and those two - Florida & Texas - were very close.

Plus, they flipped a ton of state level seats as well as governorships in Michigan, Wisconsin & Kansas.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
4. It's just astounding to me that he can maintain 40+% anywhere. Such stupid people.
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 07:24 AM
Jul 2020

This is proof to me that we're a country in decline. Racists, homophobes, bigots, misogynists, CT's, anti-vaxxers, anti-maskers, Karens... I never imagined it could get this bad.

cloudythescribbler

(2,586 posts)
10. note the huge swings in AZ and TX where CV has become rampant
Tue Jul 28, 2020, 09:41 AM
Jul 2020

It has for some time seemed to me that the GOP is really due as a party to go the way of the Whigs & the Federalists. Nevertheless they show amazing resilience -- as does Trump, maintaining over 40% in almost every red state and swing state. Can't understand why such a huge proportion of the population sticks to such obvious nonsense, and the total failure even to try to live up to their own standards

It is noteworthy that with the explosion of the Covid crisis that in TX and AZ, both GOP governed states where the crisis has gone from marginal to overwhelming, there has been such a shakeup of opinion. Maybe the Covid crisis will be at least one of the developments that leads to the end of the GOP as a national party (hopefully)

If & when that happens, the remains of the GOP won't go away, they wd probably mostly glom onto the Biden wing of the Democratic Party, while the relatively progressive wing (including me) wd hopefully get our act together enough to gain the upper hand within the party in lots of blue states. Clearly the collapse of the GOP (possibly with a much smaller protofascist party emerging to pick up the disgruntled ultra-right, but unable to compete almost anywhere) cd in this scenario lead to a splitup of the Democrats

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