"Real" Polls, as in elections, are good news for President Biden

https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/04/good-news-for-president-biden-in-real.html

Can polls be manipulated? I believe they can be. So does Jen Psaki and Nicole Wallace. So I am in good company.

At the moment, while I still believe there's been polling manipulation from somewhere on the Trump side of the campaign, because those numbers seem to be his personal nourishment and encouragement, and he exaggerates them as bragging points in his speeches, there is evidence that the polling data may be off by a fairly significant amount. Real polls are now showing up all over the place in the form of primary elections, and special elections.

It's hard to poll primaries, since candidates shift and things change quickly, but if I were going to take a look at primary results and get a perspective of "voter enthusiasm," if I were advising the Trump campaign right now, I would be panicking. In actual voter exit polls, and in the ballots Republican voters are casting, the presumptive nominee of the party, a former President and one who has been the clear front-runner since the start, is not getting anywhere close to the number of votes he needs to demonstrate a level of voter enthusiasm anywhere close to what the current President is getting.

The Trump campaign has obviously noticed it. He's now promising his Evangelical constituents the favored religion status they've always thought they deserved. Clearly, he thinks that's where he needs to shore up his support, and that's where he's leaking votes. So they believe the exit polls and are watching the primary results, in spite of claiming that they're huge victories. Haley is no longer running, and is not a threat to his nomination, but she got 12% of the vote in Wisconsin last night, in spite of his making an appearance and holding a rally at a half-filled venue in Green Bay.

I can read between the lines.