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TexasTowelie

(112,417 posts) Mon Oct 16, 2023, 09:38 PM Oct 2023

Israel's Reaction/Overreaction Problem: Why Overcoming It Isn't Straightforward - William Spaniel

As Israel heads into Gaza, calls from across the political commentary spectrum warn of a trap. In particular, if Israel pushes too hard, it will radicalize many Palestinians, and it will make the problem ultimately worse than when the conflict started. Political violence researchers call this the "provocation" problem. However, overcoming it is not as simple as it may first appear.

0:00 Insurgencies and Overreaction
1:10 Israel's Current Overreaction Problem
2:58 The Hydra Effect
3:39 The Provocation Incentive
7:37 How Insurgencies Make the Problem Difficult to Solve
11:03 The Role of Intelligence
13:17 Flags, Dinosaurs, and Apollo 1

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Israel's Reaction/Overreaction Problem: Why Overcoming It Isn't Straightforward - William Spaniel (Original Post) TexasTowelie Oct 2023 OP

His comparison of Israel's was against Hamas wnylib Oct 2023 #1

wnylib

(21,606 posts)

1. His comparison of Israel's was against Hamas

Reply to TexasTowelie (Original post)

Mon Oct 16, 2023, 10:19 PM

Oct 2023

with the US was against Iraq does not hold up as an about.

Hamas carried out a terrorist attack against Israel. Iraq did not carry out an attack of any kind against the US.

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