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Auggie

(31,251 posts)
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 12:18 PM Jun 2015

90 percent chance of El Niņo by autumn

San Francisco Chronicle / 6-11-15

Chances of an El Niño bringing a badly needed wet winter to California have gone up, the National Weather Service said Thursday.

According to scientists, there’s a better than 90 percent chance the weather pattern often associated with plentiful rain will hit in the fall, and an 85 percent chance it will hang around through the end of the year.

http://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/California-drought-Odds-of-an-El-Ni-o-rising-6321607.php?cmpid=gsa-sfgate-result

12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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90 percent chance of El Niņo by autumn (Original Post) Auggie Jun 2015 OP
I hope so! Iliyah Jun 2015 #1
that's good news barbtries Jun 2015 #2
Good. But we really need an El Niņo in winter to replenish Cleita Jun 2015 #3
What disturbed me is that Gman Jun 2015 #4
I think it lost strength. I hope ... Auggie Jun 2015 #5
Weak to moderate ENSOs are hit or miss for California - they increase the odds petronius Jun 2015 #7
I am optimistic... although alboe Jun 2015 #6
Let it be so mackerel Jun 2015 #8
It's gonna take a long time to recuperate. SoapBox Jun 2015 #9
Disconnected in December 2013 antiquie Jun 2015 #12
I hope so! I have 3600 gallons roody Jun 2015 #10
Cool. Wish I had that set-up. Auggie Jun 2015 #11

Cleita

(75,480 posts)
3. Good. But we really need an El Niņo in winter to replenish
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 12:37 PM
Jun 2015

the Sierra snow pack along with filling the reservoirs to really get back to some kind of normal. Let's hope we don't have an awful fire season first because a wet rainy season will be devastating.

Gman

(24,780 posts)
4. What disturbed me is that
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 01:27 PM
Jun 2015

There is now an ongoing El Niño that was declared to have started late last year. However, for the most part it did nothing it should have for the West Coast.

Hopefully it will be different in the fall.

Auggie

(31,251 posts)
5. I think it lost strength. I hope ...
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 02:14 PM
Jun 2015

this forecast doesn't make people think it's okay to go back to wasteful habits.

petronius

(26,614 posts)
7. Weak to moderate ENSOs are hit or miss for California - they increase the odds
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 11:03 PM
Jun 2015

of a wet season, but not by as much as is popularly believed. What we need is a strong ENSO, and a couple of good big plumes of moisture coming through the state during the winter...

alboe

(192 posts)
6. I am optimistic... although
Fri Jun 12, 2015, 07:20 PM
Jun 2015

I will wait to see if this actually happens. Boy do we need significant rain.

SoapBox

(18,791 posts)
9. It's gonna take a long time to recuperate.
Mon Jun 15, 2015, 02:25 AM
Jun 2015

And then I just saw that they want to drain the Silver Lake reservoir?

It better be a darned good reason...and they need to find a way drain that water to someplace it's needed.

 

antiquie

(4,299 posts)
12. Disconnected in December 2013
Tue Jun 16, 2015, 04:31 PM
Jun 2015
The Silver Lake Reservoir is about to go dry.

The reservoir will be temporarily drained this summer as part of a Los Angeles Department of Water and Power project to build a new water pipeline beneath it.

After more than a century of service, the Silver Lake Reservoir — the scenic centerpiece of the hilly neighborhood — was disconnected in December 2013 from the city's drinking-water system as part of a federal mandate to phase out open-air drinking-water reservoirs.
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