Rep. Lauren Boebert’s campaign sent three emails to supporters last week expressing concern over polling that showed the second-term congresswoman trailing her potential 2024 Democratic opponent, former Aspen City Councilman Adam Frisch, by 2 percentage points. --snip--

“If we don’t turn things around quickly, we could lose this seat to the Democrats. I can’t believe I’m saying those words, but I need you to understand how dire this situation is. [Frisch’s] latest internal polls have him beating us by two points,” read an email sent by Boebert’s campaign on Aug. 29.
The email from Wednesday, Aug. 30, written by former Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway, stated that Boebert was being “pummeled” by Frisch. “If the Election were held today … Lauren would lose,” the email read. --snip--

The recent poll, completed by Keating Research and released Aug. 22, had 50% of respondents saying they would vote for Frisch in 2024, while 48% said they would vote for Boebert. The remaining 2% said they either didn’t know or had no opinion. The poll involved a live-interviewer phone survey of 801 likely November 2024 voters, completed between August 8-15. The margin of error was 3.5%

The poll showed more respondents holding a negative perception of Boebert than a positive one. Among Boebert, Frisch, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, Frisch was the only 2024 candidate who received a net positive opinion among respondents. --snip--

Though a Democratic firm, Keating Research was the only pollster to accurately predict the results of Boebert’s and Frisch’s first race in 2022. Boebert beat Frisch by 546 votes. It was the closest congressional race of the year.