Will dirty tricks have role in Mexico's presidential election?
Will dirty tricks have role in Mexico's presidential election?
A drug war is raging, a party once known for brazen vote-rigging has a telegenic front-runner, and all parties now offer voters perks — but election officials say they are 'armored against fraud.'
By Tracy Wilkinson and Ken Ellingwood, Los Angeles Times
July 1, 2012
MEXICO CITY — Sunday's presidential election represents a difficult test for Mexico's wobbly democracy: Can it hold a fraud-free national vote in the midst of a raging drug war?
The country's top election official conceded recently that violence in parts of the country prevented election officials from completing some preparations. But the official, Leonardo Valdes, insisted that safeguards are firmly in place to prevent the kind of brazen electoral fraud once notorious in Mexico. And, he said, most of the strong-arming, threats and payoffs by drug traffickers remain limited to local politics and less influential in the national race.
"Mexican presidential elections today are armored against fraud," Valdes said. More than 1 million trained poll workers will be deployed in 143,151 voting stations, nearly all of which will also have monitors from at least three political parties.
The specter of fraud looms especially large this year because the party that perfected the buying of votes and rigging of elections, the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), is favored to return to the presidency with its telegenic candidate Enrique Peña Nieto. The PRI held on to power for seven decades through repression, coercion and co-opting opponents, until it was ousted in 2000. It is staging a hard-fought comeback.
More:
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-mexico-election-20120701,0,7611507.story
= new reply since forum marked as read
Here is where it begins to go...strange.
"The specter of fraud looms especially large this year because the party that perfected the buying of votes and rigging of elections...," the PRI, "...is favored to return to the presidency...".
I expected the sentence to read, "The specter of fraud looms especially large this year because" millions of Mexicans protested the vote rigging of the last presidential election, when leftist Lopez Obrado was denied the presidency by only 0.05% of the vote. Indeed, the country almost came apart because of that fraud, which apparently was engineered at the top with electronic tabulators that were brought in allegedly with the help of the Bush Junta (which desperately wanted an administration in Mexico that would welcome the ruination of Mexico--an overly democratic people who have stubbornly resisted 'privatization' of their oil--by the corrupt, failed, murderous U.S. "war on drugs."
Uh, it ain't the PRI's "old ways" (corruption, cronyism) that is the main problem in Mexico these days--the problem is NEW; it is ELECTRONIC; and, just as here, control of the electronic tabulation makes it EASY, not only to steal elections but also to write pre-election "narratives" that fit the fraudulent results.
"Narratives" like this one--alleged news articles that slip in the corporate editors/owners view of leftist Lopez Obrador as "an unreformed erratic" by attributing this opinion to "numerous Mexicans" as follows:
"Numerous Mexicans have expressed near-existential dismay over the choices they have in this election; they chafe at the prospect of the PRI's return, can't stomach more of the current, discredited government, and see Lopez Obrador as an unreformed erratic." --from the OP
These are the 1%-ers having cocktails in their villas--these so-called "numerous Mexicans" in their "near-existential dismay." They (the rich, the corporate) have no candidate. PAN/Calderon (the Bush Junta's choice) has been discredited and was a disaster for Mexico on many fronts. The vast majority of Mexicans (the real "numerous Mexicans" nominated the two candidates that THEY wanted to choose between--the PRI representing the old system that was corrupt but worked versus the Left (Lopez Obrador) representing the new leftist democracy movement that has swept through South America into Central America and avows social justice and independence from the U.S. and its corporate/war profiteer masters.
What is odd is that the L.A. Times would dwell on election fiddling of long ago and ignore much more recent, massive and massively disruptive election theft--against Lopez Obrador! They describe Lopez Obrador's (and multi-millions of Mexicans') objection to that fraudulent count as "political grandstanding." But, by God, if those millions of people had been able to get their votes counted, Mexico would never have allowed the Bushification of the "war on drugs" and the horrible, bloody disaster that it has been and would be making progress on social justice to catch up with Brazil, Venezuela, Argentina, Ecuador, Bolivia, Uruguay, Peru, Nicaragua and other countries with leftist governments.*
And this is the problem with this article. The rich and the corporate have no candidate and they are going through paroxysms of no doubt drunken "existential" angst at the parties that corporate reporters attend. These parties are crammed with Mexicans of a particular type (thus, "numerous Mexicans" (was it at the embassy in L.A.?) And the corporate reporters SHARE their "near-existential dismay." The old corrupt regime or good leftist government on behalf of the 99%. Such a regrettable choice!
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*(This list would include two more countries with leftist governments--Honduras and Paraguay--but for the U.S.-supported rightwing coups in those countries--Honduras in 2008, Paraguay recently. Though the U.S. has not been nailed yet on the coup in Paraguay, I think we can be sure that it will be. It's what the U.S. does--supports 1%-er rule in Latin America by whatever means--election fraud, USAID funding of rightwing causes and candidates, CIA dirty tricks, vast propaganda and/or outright coup d'etats. The U.S. even personally conducts rigged elections, as in Honduras and Haiti. And when it can't bust a democracy, it sends in the DEA to smash up and bloody the society and make it more malleable.)
that the website set up to take voting trouble reports was under continuous attack AND logged hundreds of trouble reports. 
And second, this professor at the University of Texas, El Paso, says that the PREP count is being manipulated because their correlations were perfect for 41 data points, for hours, and that shouldn't be possible.
lunes, 2 de julio de 2012
PREP está manipulado: Físico de la Universidad de Texas
El PREP está manipulado, afirma el profesor de Física de la Universidad de Texas en El Paso, Jorge López Gallardo (@J_LopezGallardo).
De acuerdo con López Gallardo, el PREP muestra correlaciones perfectas en 41 datos del PREP mantenidas por 3 horas, lo cual, señala, es indicatorio de fraude.
"Los numeros estan manipulados, tambien ya se establecio 4.7% invariable para quadri+nulos+noReg", indica el matemático.
López Gallardo publica en su cuenta de Twitter una gráfica en la que señala que la correlación de los resultados del PREP ha sido perfecta durante horas, lo cual no debería ser posible.
http://www.blogdeizquierda.com/2012/07/prep-esta-manipulado-matematico-de-la.html
The post says it is the same method that was used to manipulate 2006. I don't think I understand. They are talking about a graphic mirror of results that should be statistically impossible?
Reportan gráfica espejo entre JVM y AMLO en el PREP; Sugiere fraude
Tal y como ocurrió en 2006, el PREP arrojó una gráfica espejo entre Josefina Vázquez Mota y Andrés Manuel López Obrador, reportan internautas.
