Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumNAS, Royal Society Agree: We Are More Certain Than Ever Of Rapid, Manmade Climate Breakdown
The speed of global warming is now 10 times faster than at the end of the last ice age, which represents the most rapid period of sustained temperature change on a global scale in history - and there is no end in sight if carbon emissions continue to increase, the Royal Society and the US National Academy of Sciences have warned.
Concentrations of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere are the highest for at least 800,000 years and 40 per cent higher than they were in the 19th century. They are set to increase even further without a binding global agreement on significant cuts in industrial emissions, the scientists said.
Average global surface temperatures have increased by 0.8C since 1900 and the last 30 years have been the warmest in 800 years. On the current carbon dioxide trajectory, global warming could increase further by between 2.6C and 4.8C by 2100, which would be about as big as the temperature difference between now and the last ice age, they said.
Detailed analyses have shown that the warming during this period is mainly the result of the increased concentrations of CO2 and other greenhouse gases. Continued emissions of these gases will cause further climate changes in regional climate, says a joint report by the two academies.
In a foreword to Climate Change Evidence and Causes, Ralph Cicerone, president of the National Academy of Sciences, and Sir Paul Nurse, president of the Royal Society, say that climate change is now more certain than ever and that many lines of evidence point to human activity as the cause.
EDIT
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/now-the-two-most-famous-scientific-institutions-in-britain-and-the-us-agree-climate-change-is-more-certain-than-ever-9155396.html
GliderGuider
(21,088 posts)It's straight to the point, and not as self-conscious as "climate chaos".
And while "there is no end in sight as long as carbon emissions continue to increase", the situation is of course far worse than that. Stabilized carbon emissions at any level will still cause temperatures to increase. Worse, even a complete cessation of carbon emissions will leave the planet warming for another half-century. So even if we completely stop burning carbon, making cement, deforesting the planet, and changing land use the temperature will keep climbing.
How fucked are we?
hatrack
(59,602 posts)Mojorabbit
(16,020 posts)CRH
(1,553 posts)Bigmack
(8,020 posts)Response to hatrack (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
kristopher
(29,798 posts)We've been certain of the nature and relative degree of the problem for more than 20 years now.