2016 Postmortem

NAO

(3,425 posts) Sat Feb 11, 2012, 01:23 PM Feb 2012

Didn't a small number of people vote for Santorum in his "surge"

forget the percents and the point spreads, in terms of actual ballots cast it look to me like a few religious nuts in went to the polls as instructed by their small town pastors and cast fewer total votes than Newt got in JUST South Carolina.

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Didn't a small number of people vote for Santorum in his "surge" (Original Post) NAO Feb 2012 OP

that's the point grantcart Feb 2012 #1

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

1. that's the point

Reply to NAO (Original post)

Sat Feb 11, 2012, 01:30 PM

Feb 2012

Even with lower turn out numbers Romney's percent fell even lower.

There were some caucuses in Minnesota where he didn't pick up a single vote.

The most telling thing that the polls are showing is that there has been a sea change in Romney's favorability.

Gingrich's favorability is also down.

The only option for Mitt is to bring Santorum down.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/02/santorum-surges-into-the-lead.html

Part of the reason for Santorum's surge is his own high level of popularity. 64% of voters see him favorably to only 22% with a negative one. But the other, and maybe more important, reason is that Republicans are significantly souring on both Romney and Gingrich. Romney's favorability is barely above water at 44/43, representing a 23 point net decline from our December national poll when he was +24 (55/31).

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