2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWe were right. R-Money back on top in Michigan
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/michigan/2012_michigan_republican_primaryFriday, February 24, 2012
True to a primary season already marked by sudden and surprising ups and downs, Mitt Romney has jumped back into the lead in Michigans Republican Primary race. The votes on Tuesday.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Romney with 40% of the vote and former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum with 34%. The poll was conducted on Thursday night, following the last scheduled debate among the GOP candidates. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
corkhead
(6,119 posts)Warning: be sure your speakers are turned down or muted when you click the link
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and really not all that impressive given it's one of his home states. Still a weak front runner.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)EAST LANSING, Mich. Fueled by a strong debate performance Wednesday night, Mitt
Romney continues to lead Rick Santorum in the latest Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan
conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service) the night after the CNN Debate.
The two front runners are still in a statistical dead heat, although Romney (36%) has increased
his lead by 1% over Rick Santorum (33%) while Ron Paul (12%) replaced Newt Gingrich (9%) in
third place. Undecided voters dropped in half to 11%.
The telephone survey of 430 likely 2012 Republican Presidential Primary voters was conducted
jointly by Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. of East Lansing, Michigan and Rosetta
Stone Communications of Atlanta, Georgia on Thursday, February 23, 2012, and has a margin
of error of + or - 4.7%. It was an automated IVR (Interactive Voice Response) Poll.
Romney has made big inroads with conservatives over the past ten days: Santorum's 16% lead among
Tea Party voters has been erased and he is now tied with them; his 16% lead with Evangelical
Christians has now been cut in half to 8%, and Santorum's 31% lead with self-identified
conservatives has now been cut to 13%.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_Rosetta_MI_0223.pdf
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)Romney had it and then he opened his mouth and let Santorum in (eeeeech).
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)However if he faces the turnout problems he's had again he may lose anyway.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)people to vote then we could get a very interesting result.
vaberella
(24,634 posts)Santorum can steal it just because a few Dems want to manipulate the vote.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)I do think Romney has the advantage going into the primary but Santorum has outperformed his polls before, South Carolina was a big example of that he got I think 16-18 percent he was polling around 10-11. And in Colorado he was polling 27-30, he got 40.
vaberella
(24,634 posts)Hence the reason I'm also so weary of the polls.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)If I were his adviser I would tell him to get larengitis.
vaberella
(24,634 posts)I'll wait for the actual vote count. I think Santorum has it.
quaker bill
(8,225 posts)needs a small win. Just to keep the game on. Sanctorum should notch a few on super tuesday to keep it in flux. This needs to play out until we get to the big states.