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Laura PourMeADrink

(42,770 posts)
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 01:22 PM Feb 2012

We were right. R-Money back on top in Michigan

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/michigan/2012_michigan_republican_primary

Friday, February 24, 2012

True to a primary season already marked by sudden and surprising ups and downs, Mitt Romney has jumped back into the lead in Michigan’s Republican Primary race. The vote’s on Tuesday.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Romney with 40% of the vote and former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum with 34%. The poll was conducted on Thursday night, following the last scheduled debate among the GOP candidates. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
13 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies

corkhead

(6,119 posts)
1. automatically blasting an audio ad like they do on Rasmussen's page is bad form
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 01:30 PM
Feb 2012

Warning: be sure your speakers are turned down or muted when you click the link

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
2. yet, it will not be a FL style blow out--
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 01:48 PM
Feb 2012

and really not all that impressive given it's one of his home states. Still a weak front runner.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
3. Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan: Romney 36% - Santorum 33% - Paul 12% - Gingrich 9%
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 06:20 PM
Feb 2012

EAST LANSING, Mich. Fueled by a strong debate performance Wednesday night, Mitt
Romney continues to lead Rick Santorum in the latest Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan
conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service) the night after the CNN Debate.
The two front runners are still in a statistical dead heat, although Romney (36%) has increased
his lead by 1% over Rick Santorum (33%) while Ron Paul (12%) replaced Newt Gingrich (9%) in
third place. Undecided voters dropped in half to 11%.

The telephone survey of 430 likely 2012 Republican Presidential Primary voters was conducted
jointly by Mitchell Research & Communications, Inc. of East Lansing, Michigan and Rosetta
Stone Communications of Atlanta, Georgia on Thursday, February 23, 2012, and has a margin
of error of + or - 4.7%. It was an automated IVR (Interactive Voice Response) Poll.

Romney has made big inroads with conservatives over the past ten days: Santorum's 16% lead among
Tea Party voters has been erased and he is now tied with them; his 16% lead with Evangelical
Christians has now been cut in half to 8%, and Santorum's 31% lead with self-identified
conservatives has now been cut to 13%.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Mitchell_Rosetta_MI_0223.pdf

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
5. Ras is not the most reliable poll and Romney opened his mouth with a terrible speech.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:10 PM
Feb 2012

Romney had it and then he opened his mouth and let Santorum in (eeeeech).

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
6. I don't think we can really question that Romney is slightly ahead right now.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:15 PM
Feb 2012

However if he faces the turnout problems he's had again he may lose anyway.

grantcart

(53,061 posts)
7. As Michigan is a completely open primary no one knows what is going to happen. If the UAW mobilizes
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:16 PM
Feb 2012

people to vote then we could get a very interesting result.

vaberella

(24,634 posts)
9. Exactly and that has been mentioned on the board and in the media a lot.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:18 PM
Feb 2012

Santorum can steal it just because a few Dems want to manipulate the vote.

Mr.Turnip

(645 posts)
10. if the UAW or the Michigan Dem party manage to get a 10,000 plus or something.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:29 PM
Feb 2012

I do think Romney has the advantage going into the primary but Santorum has outperformed his polls before, South Carolina was a big example of that he got I think 16-18 percent he was polling around 10-11. And in Colorado he was polling 27-30, he got 40.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
13. Romney hurts himself every time he speaks.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 08:09 PM
Feb 2012

If I were his adviser I would tell him to get larengitis.

vaberella

(24,634 posts)
8. Polls mean nothing and Rasmussen is one of them.
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 07:17 PM
Feb 2012

I'll wait for the actual vote count. I think Santorum has it.

quaker bill

(8,225 posts)
11. I think Rmoney
Fri Feb 24, 2012, 08:01 PM
Feb 2012

needs a small win. Just to keep the game on. Sanctorum should notch a few on super tuesday to keep it in flux. This needs to play out until we get to the big states.

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