2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum5 Reasons Bernie Sanders Wins Big With Cruz Dropout
I can't find pro-Hillary arguments with this article's reasoning.
http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/05/03/5-reasons-bernie-sanders-wins-big-cruz-dropout
putitinD
(1,551 posts)Tarc
(10,478 posts)putitinD
(1,551 posts)Manifestor_of_Light
(21,046 posts)ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)Ash_F
(5,861 posts)Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)4. Sanders now has a greatly increased chance of winning all of the remaining Democratic primaries and caucuses.
Sanders was already looking strong in Oregon, West Virginia, Montana, South Dakota, Kentucky, North Dakota, and California, but given that hes within single digits in New Jersey (where Trump is very popular) and performed incredibly well with nonwhite voters in Indiana (meaning New Mexico could be in play), its not unthinkable that Hillary Clinton could lose all of the remaining primaries and caucuses and therefore as many as thirteen or fourteen contests in a row to finish the Democratic primary season.
This would send Clinton to Philly a deeply wounded front-runner, even if she maintains a strong (but much diminished) delegate lead over Sanders. So theres a chance that Clinton will go to Philly with a delegate lead but also having lost 22 or 23 of the final 30 contests in the Democratic primary.
If that happens, its tough to say how super-delegates will view a Clinton candidacy, especially now that the latest national polling (Rasmussen) already has her down by two points to Trump.
Tarc
(10,478 posts)Is that the same kind of single-digits he was projected to finish within in NY?
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Tarc
(10,478 posts)Sanders is like the tryhard high school boy, still pining for the girl after she's gone away to college.
We aren't even thinking much about the primaries anymore, it's a done deal.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Tarc
(10,478 posts)And still won 38 delegates? Yes, I remember it like it was only 5-6 hr ago.
There are certain types of people that I can't wait to see brought to heel.
Joe the Revelator
(14,915 posts)Stallion
(6,476 posts)Clinton's chances at nomination INCREASED tonite
Joob
(1,065 posts)CentralCoaster
(1,163 posts).
1. Now the news turns to Bernie.
2. Some Trump votes may go to Bernie, )but might Trump supporters want a Clinton win?)
3. Clinton has to fight two opponents now.
4. Sanders is a more viable candidate after tonight, could shift to more wins, higher margins.
5. Contested convention almost a certainty.
.........I think the news part is HUGE and some of the attention will shift to Hillary's weaknesses-- MSM might go nutty on that.
ancianita
(36,242 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)Two candidates bashing Trump is better than one.
ContinentalOp
(5,356 posts)1. True, good point.
2. I don't see how this is something for Sanders and his supporters to be proud of!
3. Same as above. As the article says, it's a nightmare scenario. Bad for democrats in general.
4. lol right
5. meaningless. if she has the most pledged delegates and is ahead in the popular vote she'll win the nomination regardless of 2383.
Hydra
(14,459 posts)This is an interesting twist, and could be a game changer on our side, for better or worst. The GOP split probably won't happen now...but the new options could be even more interesting.
jillan
(39,451 posts)Love Seth!