2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWashington Post opinion: Sanders is selling a fantasy agenda
* http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/publications/analysis-senator-bernie-sanderss-tax-and-transfer-proposals
The analysts found that Sanderss program is very progressive, jacking up taxes massively on the rich and providing a range of new benefits to the poor. Though every working person would face higher payroll taxes, the value of these benefits would leave 95 percent of households better off.
But there is a massive catch. Sanderss assurance that he has a plan to pay for every spending program he has introduced to date is wrong. And not just wrong, but extravagantly so. Even with his large tax increases, Sanders would fall $18 trillion short over just 10 years. Factoring in interest costs, his plan would add $21 trillion to the debt over a decade. That is more than the roughly $19 trillion the Treasury already owes. And the picture would probably get much worse as time went on.
Sanderss health-care plan is the big budget-buster. It alone would cost $32 trillion over 10 years more than twice the new revenues that Sanders would raise, Len Burman, the director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, said on Monday. When reporters have asked Sanders about the costs of his health-care plan in the past, the senator has typically responded that other countries maintain functioning single-payer systems as though he has not proposed a specific plan that should be assessed on its own merits. Burman pointed out Monday that other countries do not promise their people as much as Sanders does.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2016/05/09/confirmed-sanders-is-selling-a-fantasy-agenda/
CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Baobab
(4,667 posts)Note- Hillary Clinton's hands are tied by her commitments to rigid 1990s trade policy. her proposal is not change, 'public option' is a scam made up by insurance companies, that would be wildly expensive..)
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)There are systems more efficient than single payer (Singapore comes to mind)
But I grant you the existing US system is very inefficient.
All this doesn't change the fact Bernie is making outlandish promises.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)People have not been able to afford insurance system since 1992. She's killing maybe 100,000 a year unnecessarily. Government already pays 2/3 of healthcare, insurance companies dump sick by hitting them with huge bills they cant pay. Then when people's assets are gone and they are destitute the government pays. But only if they have no income. See the problem there? The government is forcing poorer people out of the job market 'voluntarily' (or they die).
brewens
(13,682 posts)plan as if he's proposing an additional 3.2 trillion per year. So if Bernie's plan is $32 trillion over ten years and we end up with single payer, I say bring it on!
CoffeeCat
(24,411 posts)I don't even click on their articles any more. The Washington Post has devolved into the National Enquirer of politics.
From Capehart's foolish hit piece on The Bernie college photo--that turned out to be a sick lie--to the lies told about Betnie's Vatican trip--The once-mighty Washington Post has become a talking-point factory for the Clinton camp.
I stick with Bloomberg, Reuters or AP.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)A tax study done by a Clinton Think Tank, too. Its really challenging to know solid sources these days.
by Adam Johnson
Washington Post Squeezes Four Anti-Sanders Stories Out of One Tax Study Over Seven Hours
5/11/16
Surely one study cant be this important?
Its not news that the Washington Posts editorial board has been lobbying against Sen. Bernie Sanders since the beginning of his improbable presidential campaign. Sometimes this editorial ethos seems to extend to other parts of the paper, as it did in March, when the Post managed to run 16 negative stories about Sanders in 16 hours (FAIR.org, 3/8/16).
While the Post has published the occasional pro-Sanders piece, the Jeff Bezosowned publication was back at it yesterday when it pounced on a tax study by the Urban Institute, running four pieces (two by Post writers, one by the editorial board and one by the AP) in one afternoon:
>1:00pm Sorry, Bernie Fans. His Healthcare Plan Is Short $17,000,000,000,000, by Max Ehrenfreund
>1:49 Confirmed: Sanders Is Selling a Fantasy Agenda, by Stephen Stromberg
>5:15pm Study: Sanders Economic Plan Piles $18T on Federal Debt, by APs Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar
>7:59pm Sanders Plans Arent Just Too Good to Be True; Theyre Also Fiscally Dangerous, by the Posts editorial board
The study was irresistible for editors looking for viral outrage: huge, scary national debt numbers by a tax-and-spend liberal (entirely without any context), complete with innuendo that the campaign had been lying about its projections.
................Snip....................
....Depending on the target audience, the ideology of the studys publisher, the Urban Institute, also changed.
To the Post, its nonpartisan, while the nominally hipper Vox (Study: Bernie Sanders Single-Payer Plan Is Twice as Expensive as He Says, 5/9/16) described them as being left-leaningthough to depict an organization funded by the likes of Bill Gates, Pete Peterson and JPMorgan Chase as leaning left is to render the description meaningless.
Traditionally, the Urban Institute has been considered liberal, but this has always been a loaded notion, that pro-Democrat equated to progressive.
The Urban Institutes president, Sarah Rosen Wartell, worked in the Bill Clinton White House and co-founded the Center for American Progress in 2003 with Bill Clintons chief of staff and Hillary Clintons current campaign chair, John Podesta. The State Department, while under Clintons charge, donated millions to the Institute (as it did before and after her tenure).
Considering Sanders is expressly running against the Democratic establishment, its no surprise that a scion of this establishment like the Urban Institute would oppose Sanders.............
..................Snip..............
http://www.commondreams.org/views/2016/05/11/washington-post-squeezes-four-anti-sanders-stories-out-one-tax-study-over-seven
LexVegas
(6,121 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)That is fact. That super predatory hilly and her awesome machine managed to smear him was brilliant.
LexVegas
(6,121 posts)JPnoodleman
(454 posts)That the Clinton Family which has so imprisoned and impoverished the black community and hispanic community (In their case both here and abroad) and has a literal Anglo-Saxon name, AND Hillary who was a Goldwater girl while Bernie was getting arrested for fighting for civil rights is somehow painted as this glorious PoC, but Sanders who actually has fought since the beginning is somehow not.
It tells me that identity politics is purely skin deep, and lacks substance.
Not denying that Hillary and Bernie haven't been smearing each other, they have, but Hillary has been beating Bernie with women and minorities from Iowa forward. Long before smears came in. I don't think the smears are changing many minds. Hillary's always had strong support with women and minorities and that hasn't changed.
Sanders civil rights history doesn't seem to be considered by anyone but people around here, despite the fact that a few Civil Rights leaders did stand up and say they didn't remember Bernie back then and were proved wrong really fast and very publicly.
Moving beyond Bernie's protest days, which are long behind him, what votes has Bernie had that differed from Clinton on civil rights or gender equality? How about LGBTQ issues?
Baobab
(4,667 posts)They will do them for one quarter what Americans can work for and live in dormitories like in the Middle East. That's her solution for everything, giving away our jobs to people who wil be enslaved in a system that gves them no opportunity to job shop and replaces American workers in their own workplaces. Often they must train their own replacements. They have been planning this for 20 years.
liberal from boston
(856 posts)Suggest you watch a young African female voter talk about Hillary: Love this video of a young AA female supporter taking on a Clinton Strategist.
http://usuncut.com/politics/bernie-sanders-supporter-slams-cnn/
Orsino
(37,428 posts)cali
(114,904 posts)Bernie is simply trying to focus democrats on a progressive agenda. He's been clear that a lot would have to happen in order to enact his proposals.
TwilightZone
(25,525 posts)That's an interesting concept.
cali
(114,904 posts)TwilightZone
(25,525 posts)I have no idea why some people think some Sanders supporters are so condescending.
None at all.
Wellstone ruled
(34,661 posts)Just caught Goolsbe on Bloomberg,and he challenged the same story and he is a HRC supporter. Wish people would spend fifteen minutes a day reading the real news one would understand the Propaganda coming form the Chattering Class out of D.C.. The question I ask is,who own's this Paper and what is their agenda?
Again,Goolsbe is calling for the same agenda Bernie is preaching,and this Guy is one of the smartest Economist who turned the Bush nightmare around and saved this Country's collective rear ends.
liberal from boston
(856 posts)Millionaire Think Tank walks back inaccurate Bernie Bash:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017369392
liberal from boston
(856 posts)170 Economists agree with Senator Sanders Economic Policies. Millionaire Think Tank walks back inaccurate Bernie Bash. http://www.democraticunderground.com/1017369392
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)how realistic his plans are completely depends on his mandate and the make-up of congress, and he is very clear on that in his campaign.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Promises minus proposed new revenues = huge gap.
Sanders is promising far more than he can possibly finance.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)He is not "promising" single payer healthcare, or free college, for instance.
He is putting out an agenda and goals for most of his policy proposals.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)A road map is plans with objectives and means that at least roughly tally.
When the objectives and means don't match from the get go, it's called a pipe dream.
ThePhilosopher04
(1,732 posts)scscholar
(2,902 posts)that tell you they know they have no defense for their claim so they have to lie by a factor of ten. They have nothing. They know they have nothing. Why not multiply the numbers by 80 to cover the entire lifespan of the average person? That's how ridiculous they be.
Vinca
(50,342 posts)Somehow we've gotten ourselves mired in the status quo. Anyone with a dream is labeled a nut and anyone with great aspirations for making the country better for average Americans is selling a "fantasy" agenda. I have 2 words for the Washington Post: fuck off.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)because the scientists of the time had devised a work program which was met by a funding those scientists deemed adequate to fulfill the task. The maths added up.
In the case of bernie's plan, a bipartisan group of economists says the maths do not add up.
It's not a matter of opinion, but of numbers.
Vinca
(50,342 posts)One way or another trillions of dollars will be spent, it's a matter of whose pantry becomes filled as a result.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)certainly according to the DC establishment
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Vinca
(50,342 posts)Now it appears half the party is more concerned with the weapons of war. Time for a third party - Democrats and the GOP are becoming one in the same.
jack_krass
(1,009 posts)issue of our generation.
Corporations have their tenticles so deeply embedded into our government, exerting influence in areas as far ranging as prison, defense, pharamceutical, energy and countless others, and have bought and paid for countless individuals. This has become our "new normal".
Hillary represents the absolute pinnacle of this corrupt system.
If electing someone who recognizes and wants to change this is a "fantasy", then count me among the fantasizers.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)I agree with you special interests should be given far less leverage, with caps on electoral spending like in Europe.
However, a politician who presents a program which is grossly mis-funded is not a good alternative either.
jack_krass
(1,009 posts)The others, like extending k12 to include college (which Im all for) need details worked out, like Hillary's plans.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Bernie just isn't fit to lead the world's #2 economy.
jack_krass
(1,009 posts)to run the world's largest economy, to start untangling us from the corporate octopus that has us ensnared, and to rebalace our PNAC driven foreign policy.
Hes given plenty of detail on his plans, at least as much as any other candidate running.
still_one
(92,551 posts)Study: Sanders' economic plan piles $18T on federal debt
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/study-sanders-economic-plan-piles-170219543.html
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)He is a merchant of anger and envy. I was OK with Bernie until he started the huckstering
still_one
(92,551 posts)with me
pat_k
(9,313 posts)silvershadow
(10,336 posts)in this race a long time ago. But, I'm not surprised to see yet another in a long string of hit job "opinion" pieces. This, the story now that she's spending on ad buys again with Bush $. The story that Big Dawg is out on the trail now in NJ and Montana. Yep. Maybe there IS something to Bernie's math.
pat_k
(9,313 posts)Urban-Brookings "analysis" is more like a hit job. They forgot at least one thing -- a major thing: expected growth in economic output expected as a result of such a bold, and sustained, plan for public investment.
It is an accepted principle of economics that such investment spurs growth. Furthermore, depending on the type of investment, each dollar invested is associated with an estimated "multiplier" (you get more bang for certain kinds of bucks).
So, why did Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center apparently fail to account for the "stimulus" effect?
You've got to wonder.
For details and references about an analysis that applies the standard models of associated growth, see:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511935929
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Continued spending, even during growth periods on the assumption spending will foster growth. Look at the debts of Italy. Greece. France. Japan. Britain.
pat_k
(9,313 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)You can argue whether or not the assumptions are valid, but to exclude standard economic modeling without justification makes it a "hit piece."
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)The service of the debt becomes intolerable. You can only shake it off by defaulting, which, the US having the reference currency, would start a massive worldwide depression (and war?)
litlbilly
(2,227 posts)does.
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Nyan
(1,192 posts)Which is also known as northern- and western Europe.
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)amborin
(16,631 posts)dchill
(38,641 posts)aka one person's biased, bought and paid opinion.
Live and Learn
(12,769 posts)pat_k
(9,313 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)scare the shit out of Hillary supporters?
Albertoo
(2,016 posts)Hard nosed social democracy works, state social security included.
But that's not socialism.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)QC
(26,371 posts)Funny how that works.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)the Democratic party. I've known this for sometime now, but what surprises me is how some of the old liberal posters on DU are supporting this takeover.
QC
(26,371 posts)madness, conservative-but-not-insane Republicans have come pouring into the Democratic Party.
Given their natural Republican sense of entitlement, they believe that the party belongs to them and those who don't care for their agenda should get out.
At least cuckoos just leave an egg in their host's nest and fly away--they don't demand that those who built the nest get the fuck out.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)QC
(26,371 posts)It's been a sad thing to watch.
TheSarcastinator
(854 posts)Is exactly why Hillary is winning. Thank you.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Albertoo
(2,016 posts)There have been moderate Democrats before most of Sanders guerilleros were born.
EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)One of the 99
(2,280 posts)other men see things that never were and say why not.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Surya Gayatri
(15,445 posts)Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Is the problem his goals, or the problem of getting there???
Because if we agree on the goals, that is much of the battle.
djean111
(14,255 posts)have a problem with Bernie's goals.
Bernie's goals go against Third Way and Wall Street and corporate and MIC agendas. If someone supports Hillary, they are against Bernie's goals. Simple as that. And it is not about the money, it is about the goals.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)Heck they are! Will they be brave enough to admit it?
djean111
(14,255 posts)they will be the ones who laugh and tell us to STFU because we knew that scorpion would sting us when we gave it a ride across the river.
ladjf
(17,320 posts)HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)The rag that employs Capeheart. They're a joke, if you're citing them as a reference I'm not taking you a bit seriously.
dchill
(38,641 posts)that needs closer inspection.