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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 04:05 PM Jul 2016

New Georgia Poll: Trump leads by only 2-points in poll taken after GOP Convention

Trump 46%, Clinton 44%, Johnson 5%, Stein 3%

(Atlanta)–In an exclusive poll for WSB-TV Channel 2 News Atlanta, findings by Landmark Communications and Rosetta Stone Communications reveal a very close race in Georgia for President. The Landmark /Rosetta Stone poll of 500 likely voters shows Trump holding a small lead over former Clinton 46-44%, while Libertarian Gary Johnson has support from 5% of voters and Green Party candidate Jill Stein has 3%.

“What’s driving the close election numbers in Georgia is the large and growing minority population,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications, Inc. “Thirty seven percent of voters who will cast ballots this fall in Georgia are minorities, and Black voters, who are overwhelmingly Democratic, make up 32% of that 37%.”

Black voters currently are giving Clinton 88% of their votes, while 6% are supporting Trump. Among non-black minorities, 17% are saying they support Trump, while 54% are supporting Clinton.

“A lot of people haven’t grasped the real competitive nature of Georgia statewide elections,” said Rountree. “They look at the state of Georgia, which has been heavily controlled by Republicans for more than a decade, and dismiss the fact that changes have occurred and now 37% of voters are minorities. It’s created a false sense of security for many Republican political operatives.”

“Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are winning a combined eight percent of the vote,” said John Garst, President of Rosetta Stone Communications. “Most of their voters are White, which disproportionately hurts Donald Trump in Georgia and heavily contributes to this state’s extremely competitive polling numbers.”

Landmark Communications and Rosetta Stone Communications jointly conducted the poll on July 24th, 2016 of 500 likely Georgia voters. The poll was conducted with IVR telephone and digital data collection. The poll has a margin of error of 4.4%. Polls by Landmark/RosettaStone have been cited as being the most accurate in Georgia.

http://landmarkcommunications.net/landmarkrosetta-stone-releases-latest-georgia-presidential-poll/

7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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New Georgia Poll: Trump leads by only 2-points in poll taken after GOP Convention (Original Post) book_worm Jul 2016 OP
Ga Demographics. Cattledog Jul 2016 #1
If GA is close, then FL and NC are going to go blue. LonePirate Jul 2016 #2
I'd be disturbed if FL did not go for Hillary. The PR-American vote will go heavily.... Eleanors38 Jul 2016 #5
Oh man, that would be sweet. auntpurl Jul 2016 #3
Just add them to the list. LonePirate Jul 2016 #6
I'm really surprised Trump is doing that well with non-whites in Ga. Doodley Jul 2016 #4
Right? He's getting 0% (literally ZERO) in PA with AAs. auntpurl Jul 2016 #7

LonePirate

(13,448 posts)
2. If GA is close, then FL and NC are going to go blue.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 04:24 PM
Jul 2016

Of course, I doubt Johnson and Stein will receive that high of a vote share in November so the current numbers will shift.

 

Eleanors38

(18,318 posts)
5. I'd be disturbed if FL did not go for Hillary. The PR-American vote will go heavily....
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 04:42 PM
Jul 2016

to her, and she'll cut into some Cuban-American vote, and carry AAs as well. And a good chunk of the "white" vote is moderate as well.

auntpurl

(4,311 posts)
3. Oh man, that would be sweet.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 04:26 PM
Jul 2016

We start taking the Southern states away from them, one by one. And the Southwestern states, one by one.

LonePirate

(13,448 posts)
6. Just add them to the list.
Tue Jul 26, 2016, 04:59 PM
Jul 2016

FL, OH and VA likely voted red for the last time in 2004.

NC likely voted red for the last time in 2012. The same can possibly be said about AZ and maybe GA if the things work out for us.

TX will be turning blue soon. It probably won't happen this year; but it will be close in 2020 and the state has a good chance of definitely being blue in 2024. The GOP becomes mostly irrelevant when that happens.

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