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Proud Liberal Dem

(24,454 posts)
1. A bit too early to be making such predictions I agree
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 02:00 PM
Feb 2014

In politics, a DAY can be a lifetime. I think, however, that the safe money bet from politicos is that things will (likely) remain status quo due to Republican gerrymandering and traditional anemic midterm turnout on our side (but sagging poll numbers on the GOP side). I believe that the GOP may pick up a seat or two in the Senate (but could possibly lose a seat or two of their own, esp. in Kentucky and Georgia) and that the Dems might pick up some seats in the House but I don't see a "wave election" on the horizon like 2006 or 2010.

But, things can change...........

davidpdx

(22,000 posts)
9. I don't see a wave election either
Tue Feb 4, 2014, 09:13 AM
Feb 2014

I also agree with your take on control of the House and Senate. Not having a wave election might be a good thing since the party that has the White House usually loses the midterm elections. We may have to wait until 2016 for the wave election.

Deep13

(39,154 posts)
2. To gerrymander the country to the degree it is means...
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 02:08 PM
Feb 2014

...that the the more numerous House R-safe seats have to accept smaller R majorities than previously. This means that those districts are less reactionary that many of the people who represent them. Consequently, while there are more hills to climb in terms of numbers of districts, each one is less steep than before redistricting. So if their is progress during the 2014 race, it is likely to a complete R collapse.

FBaggins

(26,783 posts)
3. It isn't that there's *zero* chance of retaking the House
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 02:18 PM
Feb 2014

It's just that (right now), the chances look awfully thin... and more importantly... we're at real risk of losing the Senate.

Until we can get a few of those races back into the relatively-safe column, time and resources have to be focused on the Senate and about 20 of the most competitive House races.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
4. I agree with Joe Madison's assessment on voter registration drive
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 02:20 PM
Feb 2014

He said these districts aren't as safe as people think.That most of these guys got elected with low voter turnout in there districts.I mean look how the media keeps harping on Christie getting all this support in the Governor election.There was only 36% of voter turnout most of that is the democratic party fault.As I said before it's high time they have new leadership at the DNC. We need Dean back in that job Debbie Wassermann Schultz is lousy in that position.

LiberalArkie

(15,735 posts)
6. The last thing the wealthy Senators and Representatives (of both parties)
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 02:54 PM
Feb 2014

is for a progressive and populist candidates to be elected.

The Democrats that are currently in power would have a very hard time justifying their previous actions if liberal leaning people were elected. I don't believe the DNC will spend a penny on districts where a moderately liberal Democrat would run against a good ole boy Republican. We have seen it happen in Arkansas and other places.

a kennedy

(29,771 posts)
7. If we don't GOTV then the repubs will keep the house, and win the senate....
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 05:13 PM
Feb 2014

We have to get out the vote.

Jamaal510

(10,893 posts)
8. It's a tall order, but
Mon Feb 3, 2014, 07:10 PM
Feb 2014

our side (and working class Americans in general) can't afford to write this year's elections off. Like my Grandma used to say: "don't give in. Give out." All Democrats have to do is cast one vote each.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
10. Sadly the DC Dems don't seem to care that much
Tue Feb 4, 2014, 10:55 AM
Feb 2014

Drone war goes on, president wants to fast-track TPP, ugly food stamp cuts pass comfortably in the house and senate,...

It's tough to GOTV when the Dem government enacts mostly Republican policies.

ETA: We are also not helped by the weekly "Repukes are dying!!11!" propaganda.

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