2016 Postmortem

Recursion

(56,582 posts) Thu Jun 11, 2015, 11:51 PM Jun 2015

Yikes: Kasich, Paul lead Clinton in PPP head-to-head in OH

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_OH_61015.pdf

TL;DR (Bloomberg is listed by PPP as a potential Democratic candidate, as is Webb. Kasich is the R governor of OH):

Single candidates:

Obama job approval: +43/-49/?8 (-6)
Kasich job approval: +49/-35/?16 (+14)
Bloomberg favorable: +18/-31/?51 (-13)
Chafee favorable: +7/-24/?69 (-17)
Clinton favorable: +38/-54/?8 (-16)
O'Malley favorable: +10/-22/?67 (-12)
Sanders favorable: +21/-30/?48 (-9)
Webb favorable: +11/-20/?70 (-9)

Head to heads:

Clinton/Bush: +45/-43/?12 (+2)
Clinton/Kasich: +40/-47/?12 (-7)
Clinton/Paul: +41/-44/?15 (-3)
Clinton/Walker: +44/-43/?13 (+1)
Bloomberg/Walker: +32/-40/?28 (-8)
Chafee/Walker: +24/-39/?36 (-15)
O'Malley/Walker: +26/-41/?33 (-15)
Sanders/Walker: +30/-40/?30 (-10)
Webb/Walker: +25/-41/?34 (-16)

Sample:
859 registered Ohio voters (411R, 360D), 80% phone (cell and land), 20% Internet
Self-identified ideologies: 13% very liberal, 18% somewhat liberal, 30% moderate, 22% somewhat conservative, 17% very conservative.

13 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Yikes: Kasich, Paul lead Clinton in PPP head-to-head in OH (Original Post) Recursion Jun 2015 OP

Not surprised at this point... brooklynite Jun 2015 #1

If League of Women Voters still ran the debates.... sgtbenobo Jun 2015 #2

scary vadermike Jun 2015 #3

These polls don't mean much this far out Cali_Democrat Jun 2015 #8

Yep bigdarryl Jun 2015 #9

Only one im worried about is Rubio mgcgulfcoast Jun 2015 #4

Clinton/Rubio was a tie, +44/-44/?12 Recursion Jun 2015 #5

walker is Generic Republican nt geek tragedy Jun 2015 #7

Neither of them will be the nominee though. Arkana Jun 2015 #6

Free Trade really fucked the people in OH. Esp in rural areas. hollowdweller Jun 2015 #10

At this stage of the game DFW Jun 2015 #11

Polls right now don't mean diddly squat. RBInMaine Jun 2015 #12

The sample is disprortionately Republican and conservative. CBHagman Jun 2015 #13

brooklynite

(95,070 posts)

1. Not surprised at this point...

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Thu Jun 11, 2015, 11:59 PM

Jun 2015

...as Governor (twice elected), it'll be easy for people in Ohio to say they'll vote for him; I suspect the polls will change when he's gone through the Tea Party nominating process.

sgtbenobo

(327 posts)

2. If League of Women Voters still ran the debates....

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 12:16 AM

Jun 2015

....until Mister Dole and Mister Clinton agreed they should not.

None of this crap would be happening like it is now.

The pot boils. Water always finds its level. Jokes are funny; until nobody gets them.

Carry on.

vadermike

(1,417 posts)

3. scary

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 02:23 AM

Jun 2015

I love Hillary but i anm getting concerned that her polling is going in the wrong direction and we havent even started yet.. ugh.. i hope these polls are wrong..

Cali_Democrat

(30,439 posts)

8. These polls don't mean much this far out

Reply to vadermike (Reply #3)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 04:50 PM

Jun 2015

McCain and Palin were leading Obama in September 2008, right after the GOP convention.

How did that work out?

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)

9. Yep

Reply to Cali_Democrat (Reply #8)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 07:27 PM

Jun 2015

mgcgulfcoast

(1,127 posts)

4. Only one im worried about is Rubio

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 05:44 AM

Jun 2015

Reps too stupid to nominate Paul.

Recursion

(56,582 posts)

5. Clinton/Rubio was a tie, +44/-44/?12

Reply to mgcgulfcoast (Reply #4)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 05:46 AM

Jun 2015

Unfortunately they didn't do head-to-heads with Democrats and any Republican other than Walker.

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

7. walker is Generic Republican nt

Reply to Recursion (Reply #5)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 03:50 PM

Jun 2015

Arkana

(24,347 posts)

6. Neither of them will be the nominee though.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 08:49 AM

Jun 2015

hollowdweller

(4,229 posts)

10. Free Trade really fucked the people in OH. Esp in rural areas.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Fri Jun 12, 2015, 08:58 PM

Jun 2015

Hillary has been closed mouth on trade herself but NAFTA really screwed OH. Then she's also associated with the Clinton administration and their gun control.

So it's no wonder they are edging her out. When dems fail to do stuff to help the working people then they vote on stuff like guns, abortion and racisim.

DFW

(54,527 posts)

11. At this stage of the game

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Sat Jun 13, 2015, 12:49 PM

Jun 2015

You might as well publish a poll saying Hillary leads Toonces by 85% to 10% with 5% undecided.

Sanders will get well over a 21% favorable rating if people hear what he says and not what Fox Noise says about him. O'Malley, too.

This kind of thing is what bored pundits do when there's no film showing that they want to see.

RBInMaine

(13,570 posts)

12. Polls right now don't mean diddly squat.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Sun Jun 14, 2015, 05:42 AM

Jun 2015

CBHagman

(16,994 posts)

13. The sample is disprortionately Republican and conservative.

Reply to Recursion (Original post)

Sun Jun 14, 2015, 12:50 PM

Jun 2015

I don't have a breakdown at the moment of how Ohio voters as a group are divided in terms of party affiliation, but most national polls I have seen in recent years suggest self-declared Republicans and conservatives don't make up that large a share of the electorate. You'd never know if from media coverage, especially interviews and panel discussions.

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