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ilikeitthatway

(143 posts)
Tue Jun 12, 2012, 09:16 PM Jun 2012

Poll Roundup For June 12, 2012, Romney Is Leading

It should be noted that Obama has a massive lead with Latino voters. He beats Romney by 43 points.



Obama's looking good in PA, which is great since PA is really Conservative, and there was question if Obama could pull it off.

Everything's a snapshot in time of course, but this is where we're at.

Again, keep in mind the electoral college.


NATIONAL:

Gallup Tracking [ Obama +1]

Obama -46

Romney - 45

.

Rasmussen Tracking [Romney +1]

Romney - 46

Obama - 45

.

PENNSYLVANIA [Obama +6]

Quinnipiac

Obama - 46

Romney - 40

.

IOWA [Romney +1]

Rasmussen Reports

Romney - 47

Obama - 46

.

NORTH CAROLINA [Romney +2]

Public Policy Polling

Romney - 48

Obama - 46

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
3. Different company, weightings and respondents
Tue Jun 12, 2012, 10:03 PM
Jun 2012

This far out polling companies are guessing at the how's and whys of people voting. As it gets closer to election you will see most polls fall into line with each other.

MADem

(135,425 posts)
5. Most of those polls, Gallup and Rassmussen especially, over-weight the GOP response.
Wed Jun 13, 2012, 12:59 AM
Jun 2012

It bit them in the ass with their McCain projections last time around.

marlakay

(11,544 posts)
6. I think they slant polls
Wed Jun 13, 2012, 05:34 AM
Jun 2012

I have taken polls for yougov or polling point for years. Lately the surveys have gotten even more slanted asking questions about healthcare and gov designed to force a certain answer.

Whenever I see it I rate that poll bad at the end and in the area where you can free lance write I give it to them about what they are doing.

 

demwing

(16,916 posts)
12. I heard the same just b4 the Wisconsin recall
Wed Jun 13, 2012, 06:17 PM
Jun 2012

Rasmussen showed Walker 5 points ahead (50/45). The end results were Walker, 53/46.

Rasmussen obviously didn't skew that poll, not far enough to match the actual vote.

#1. Stop pretending that polls which do not favor Obama are inherently faulted.
#2. A poll is just a snapshot of a moment in time. Watch poll averages, not individual polls, if you must watch polls at all.

 

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts)
8. meh. another low-count poster spreading FUD
Wed Jun 13, 2012, 01:26 PM
Jun 2012

Your post doesn't match your headline.



Ps. Your slip is showing.

 

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)
10. Well he is in a rough patch at the moment and the polls are not that bad so...
Wed Jun 13, 2012, 04:41 PM
Jun 2012

...maybe it won't be so bad come NOV.

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