2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPoll Roundup For June 12, 2012, Romney Is Leading
It should be noted that Obama has a massive lead with Latino voters. He beats Romney by 43 points.
Obama's looking good in PA, which is great since PA is really Conservative, and there was question if Obama could pull it off.
Everything's a snapshot in time of course, but this is where we're at.
Again, keep in mind the electoral college.
NATIONAL:
Gallup Tracking [ Obama +1]
Obama -46
Romney - 45
.
Rasmussen Tracking [Romney +1]
Romney - 46
Obama - 45
.
PENNSYLVANIA [Obama +6]
Quinnipiac
Obama - 46
Romney - 40
.
IOWA [Romney +1]
Rasmussen Reports
Romney - 47
Obama - 46
.
NORTH CAROLINA [Romney +2]
Public Policy Polling
Romney - 48
Obama - 46
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
rufus dog
(8,419 posts)MADem
(135,425 posts)femmocrat
(28,394 posts)What is going on?
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)This far out polling companies are guessing at the how's and whys of people voting. As it gets closer to election you will see most polls fall into line with each other.
MADem
(135,425 posts)It bit them in the ass with their McCain projections last time around.
marlakay
(11,544 posts)I have taken polls for yougov or polling point for years. Lately the surveys have gotten even more slanted asking questions about healthcare and gov designed to force a certain answer.
Whenever I see it I rate that poll bad at the end and in the area where you can free lance write I give it to them about what they are doing.
center rising
(971 posts)Their polls are obviously skewed to the right.
demwing
(16,916 posts)Rasmussen showed Walker 5 points ahead (50/45). The end results were Walker, 53/46.
Rasmussen obviously didn't skew that poll, not far enough to match the actual vote.
#1. Stop pretending that polls which do not favor Obama are inherently faulted.
#2. A poll is just a snapshot of a moment in time. Watch poll averages, not individual polls, if you must watch polls at all.
scheming daemons
(25,487 posts)Your post doesn't match your headline.
Ps. Your slip is showing.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)...maybe it won't be so bad come NOV.