Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forum**Breaking Harvard Harris Democratic Primary Poll** Middle Class Joe 44% Sanders 14% Harris 9%
Biden
44%
Sanders
14%
Harris
9%
Warren
5%
O'Rourke
3%
Booker
3%
Buttigieg
2%
Bloomberg
2%
Klobuchar
2%
Ryan
1%
Delaney
1%
Gravel
0%
Gillibrand
0%
Yang
0%
Hickenlooper
0%
Messam
0%
Gabbard
0%
Moulton
0%
Inslee
0%
Castro
0%
Williamson
0%
Swalwell
0%
https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/HHP_April2019_RV_topline.pdf
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
awesomerwb1
(4,270 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Last edited Fri May 3, 2019, 05:32 PM - Edit history (1)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Peacetrain
(22,881 posts)People kept telling me that the day VP Biden announced would be his highest numbers..and he has done nothing but go up since he announced.. wow! I am one happy camper..
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
msongs
(67,509 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,240 posts)Biden/Harris? We have never had a woman VP. She would then be positioned to become President.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)No harm in that!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,695 posts)I am about to jump ship in the hopes that Kamala is picked as VP.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ucrdem
(15,512 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
demosincebirth
(12,554 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,695 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
demosincebirth
(12,554 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,240 posts)Biden/Harris would be an excellent ticket!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,695 posts)Please drop out.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
helpisontheway
(5,008 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)the better it will be for the party and the country.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Doodley
(9,179 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
moonscape
(4,676 posts)maybe we could actually repair a whole lot of damage and start accomplishing something!
(a girl can dream)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(298,139 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(10,854 posts)I wouldn't be surprised if they dropped off somewhat but . . . there's no argument now about Biden's very strong lead.
A Go4Joe!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,804 posts)Little example of Mark Penn's work at Fox News
Mark Penn: Trump is not a dictator, Nadler is. Our political system is being weaponized against itself
https://www.foxnews.com/opinion/mark-penn-trump-nadler-dictator-barr-house-hearing
The Harvard-Harris Poll Scam
On Dec 15, Mark Penn, the longtime political operative who is co-director of the Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll, declared in a piece published by The Hill (and reproduced in various ways Real Clear Politics, Fox Insider, and numerous right-wing and conspiracy theory sites) that Mueller, FBI face crisis in public confidence ! [I added the exclamation point to the headline in The Hill]. That such a crisis in confidence is what the Trump administration and some Trump-loyalist members of Congress have been claiming is or at least should be occurring does not of course mean that the Harvard-Harris poll, if it had actually shown such a crisis were occurring among those it surveyed, would have been wrong.
But a look inside the poll reveals something well, lets just say a little bit off. Confession: although I follow politics, elections, and polls closely, I am by no means an expert on polling methodology. On the other hand, I am not an expert in wildlife, but I can tell when there is a skunk nearby. Before I get into the polls actual and alleged findings, let me acknowledge the impressive academic positions of those who have associated with Mark Penn in producing it.
According to the Harvard-Harris Poll homepage, The co-directors of the poll are Stephen D. Ansolabehere Professor of Government & Director, Center for American Political Studies, Harvard University and Mark J. Penn Visiting Lecturer, Harvard University & Managing Partner, The Stagwell Group. The site also credits Dritan Nesho Fellow, Harvard Institute for Quantitative Social Science & CEO of HarrisX.
snip
A link to a poll favorable to Trump's policies
https://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-updates-everything-president-a-link-to-a-poll-favorable-to-trump-s-1487715242-htmlstory.html
WTF is the "Harvard-Harris Poll," anyway?
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2017/2/21/1636308/-WTF-is-the-Harvard-Harris-Poll-anyway
Im sure weve all been besieged by this barrage of information purporting to come from the Harvard-Harris Poll. Headlines like Poll: Americans overwhelmingly oppose sanctuary cities, and Poll reveals majority of Americans want Democrats to work with Trump, and Harvard Poll: Americans Brimming With Confidence on Jobs, Economy are drawing rapturous responses from the likes of Kellyanne Conway and Rush Limbaugh. According to one Hill article, Harvard-Harris Poll is a collaboration of the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll. Its co-director appears to be Mark Penn, apparently of Hillary Clinton 2008 fame. The Harvard-Harris Poll offers a lot of slick graphics to go with its snazzy numbers, but lacks that most elementary of internet accoutrements: a website.
So I looked for information about the Harvard-Harris Poll on the Harvard Center for American Political Studies website. Not a peep about this epoch-making collaboration. The same is true of the Harris Poll website, which looks like it might have died last month. I also checked to see if the Hill itself had announced the rollout somewhere along the line, but no dice. The "Harvard-Harris Poll came online with no fanfare and just spouting some seriously strange looking numbers. I cant believe that a site of the Hills quality has been catfished. I know for a fact that Mark Penn exists. But I cant escape the feeling that something hinky is going on here. Somebody please clue me in.
snip
hard pass on this trash
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(25,525 posts)Similar to Rasmussen, though their bias is more pronounced. Neither is terribly reliable.
As for Sanders' numbers, Quinnipiac (A- on 538) has him at 11%, so his numbers here may not be an outlier. Not good news, though it is, of course, still very early.
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2617
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,804 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)Their methodology is sound but it is C+ rated by 538 mainly because they find willing participants by phone and then direct them to a web form to answer questions. (No telephone interview)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,804 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NYMinute
(3,256 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Celerity
(43,804 posts)of those below him that seem to be large outliers. I am 'the sooner Bernie drops out the better' camp. He is going to go scorched earth and hurt our party terribly.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
namahage
(1,157 posts)last year that was incessantly cited here as proof that Bernie was the most popular politician in the country?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Celerity
(43,804 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,356 posts)big guns now. Time to call H. A. Goodman and The Sane Progressive.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)....Susan Sarandon and Cornell West.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,356 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(25,525 posts)What a waste of pixels that guy was/is. I stopped going to Salon because of Goodman and their Stein fetish.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MineralMan
(146,356 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(28,896 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
lucca18
(1,246 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden