Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumHow Bill De Blasio Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary
FiveThirtyEight- Angered some in his liberal base by trying to bring an Amazon headquarters to the city.
- Stoked racial tension when trying to improve diversity in parts of the citys deeply segregated school system.
- Failed to stop the spread of homelessness in the city despite running on a campaign promise to aggressively address the problem there are more homeless people in the citys shelter system today than when de Blasio took office.
- Watched as his housing department was deemed so inept that it is now largely overseen by the federal government.
- Inspired three-quarters of New York City voters to tell Quinnipiac that he shouldnt run for president.
Its easy to compile a list of de Blasios shortcomings because New Yorks journalists love to catalog them being in charge of a city with several major papers (two of them tabloids) has made de Blasios life difficult.
But our task is to figure out how he could win the nomination. FiveThirtyEight has a longstanding, five-month-old tradition: Whenever a major candidate declares he or she is running for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination, we try to find a path they could use to win. De Blasios is gnarled, but lets see if we can make a case.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
dalton99a
(81,730 posts)Winning and presidenting will be very, very easy
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
frazzled
(18,402 posts)a meteor hits the stage during a debate and he is the only participant spared?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
True Dough
(17,430 posts)You and I have just as good a chance of winning the lottery.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(95,157 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
is it
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
50 Shades Of Blue
(10,141 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jose Garcia
(2,612 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
shanny
(6,709 posts)that's the only way I can imagine
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Shell_Seas
(3,343 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(95,157 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RLG
(314 posts)The problem is he got in too late.
I hope Stacey Abrams doesn't wait any longer as well.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(95,157 posts)If he had been the FIRST candidate to announce, he'd be an unpopular choice, both among NYC voters and the national electorate.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
RLG
(314 posts)He probably won't make the first tier in the debates in June. Even he admitted to this.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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