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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

RandySF

(59,484 posts)
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 08:37 PM Jan 2020

Democratic Party Activists May Be Cooling On Warren And Warming To Biden

In my last round of interviews with Democratic activists in early-primary states, Sen. Elizabeth Warren, at long last, seemed to be getting traction. Forty-eight percent (14 of 29 activists I interviewed) said they were either supporting her or considering supporting her. However, the most recent results suggest that has changed. Activists still haven’t coalesced around any one candidate, but former Vice President Joe Biden has made gains in this survey.

This is now the seventh installment of my series about the preferences of Democratic activists in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada and Washington, DC.1 I’ve been interviewing early-state activists on who they are committed to — or considering supporting — in 2020 as part of my upcoming book, which will look at how the Democratic Party has changed since 2016. In addition to finding out about their candidate preferences, I’ve been asking these activists who they thought other Democrats in their community might be leaning toward and who they don’t want to see as the nominee.

Thirty-one activists responded to my latest survey, and 18 of them have declared their support for a candidate, up from 15 of 29 activists in October. Only one activist I interviewed switched their allegiance from one active candidate to another since the last round.2 However, one of the newly committed activists was actually recommitting to a candidate she had backed in a previous round: former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro. (She withdrew her support in October when she felt his campaign was going nowhere, but she’s now backing him again, as she feels he has a strong platform and is impressed that he is “unapologetically progressive.”)

Meanwhile, Sen. Amy Klobuchar has picked up her first two committed supporters in this round. One of them was previously undecided, and the other had previously been backing former Rep. Beto O’Rourke. One of Klobuchar’s new supporters cited her Midwestern connections and her “moderate, pragmatic” style as a reason for supporting her, adding that Klobuchar was also appealing because she was “plain-spoken and direct [and a] good communicator.”



https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democratic-party-activists-may-be-cooling-on-warren-and-warming-to-biden/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
9 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Democratic Party Activists May Be Cooling On Warren And Warming To Biden (Original Post) RandySF Jan 2020 OP
My guess is evertonfc Jan 2020 #1
seems like warren tried to cut into bernie's action and its not working well nt msongs Jan 2020 #2
Huh? blm Jan 2020 #3
not a dumponWarren slant. she seems to be positioned as the bernie alternative msongs Jan 2020 #4
Tried to cut into Bernie's action? Biden, Buttigieg camps targeted her blm Jan 2020 #6
K&R! nt TexasTowelie Jan 2020 #5
It's about time! He's been leading since he announced in April and now padding that lead Thekaspervote Jan 2020 #7
K&R nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #8
K&R Tarheel_Dem Jan 2020 #9
 

evertonfc

(1,713 posts)
1. My guess is
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 08:38 PM
Jan 2020

even Democratic party activists want to beat Trump

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

msongs

(67,465 posts)
2. seems like warren tried to cut into bernie's action and its not working well nt
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 08:41 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

blm

(113,119 posts)
3. Huh?
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 08:57 PM
Jan 2020

What’s with the unnecessary dumponWarren slant?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

msongs

(67,465 posts)
4. not a dumponWarren slant. she seems to be positioned as the bernie alternative
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 09:17 PM
Jan 2020

IMO and its not working so far

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

blm

(113,119 posts)
6. Tried to cut into Bernie's action? Biden, Buttigieg camps targeted her
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 09:43 PM
Jan 2020

as she was on top in Iowa and Bernie had his heart attack. Expecting Bernie was not going to be able to endure the trail they focused all their negative attacks on her.

Her body of work and her plans are hers, not Bernie’s. Her focus on the financial health and well-being of working families has been the greater part of her life’s work, outside of politics and in, and inspired by REAL life, not horse race horseshit.

Geez, msongs....you surprised me.

https://apnews.com/8bbb0cbe763a407db4a9b5d563dc56ca

Elizabeth Warren’s rise started by looking at the bottom

CHICAGO (AP) — As a young scholar, Elizabeth Warren traveled to federal courthouses, studying families overwhelmed by debt. She brought along a photocopier, gathering reams of statistics as she tried to answer one question: Why were these folks going bankrupt?

Warren, then a law professor, wasn’t satisfied with textbook explanations; she wanted to hear directly from people drowning in debt. So she sat in courtrooms, listening to one hard-luck story after another. She interviewed lawyers and judges, duplicated bankruptcy filings on a sturdy copier — nicknamed R2-D2 — that she hauled around to save printing costs. And she was joined in her research by two professor-colleagues who teamed with her to study those documents and build a database.

Warren had suspected bankruptcy court might be a last stop for deadbeats, or maybe the very poor. Instead, she discovered mostly middle-class people, many of them homeowners with college degrees who’d suffered one bad break — an illness, a divorce, a job loss. It was the kind of cruel twist that seemed all too familiar: When Warren was 12 years old, her father, a carpet salesman, had a heart attack. The family’s station wagon was repossessed, and her mother went to work in a minimum-wage job at Sears to pay the bills.

Warren’s foray into bankruptcy was the first step in a four-decade journey that has come to define her public profile and shape her worldview. As a law professor, bankruptcy expert, consumer watchdog, Massachusetts senator and Democratic presidential candidate, Warren has consistently championed economic reforms — with mixed results — to boost the middle class.

“The American middle class was in a lot more trouble than anyone had previously thought,” she told The Associated Press, describing her research, “and year by year, the stories have gotten worse. ... The game has become a little more tilted and a little more tilted against hardworking families.”
.......

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Thekaspervote

(32,813 posts)
7. It's about time! He's been leading since he announced in April and now padding that lead
Sat Jan 4, 2020, 10:54 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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