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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

brooklynite

(94,821 posts)
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 11:55 AM Jan 2020

BREAKING: CBS News Iowa Poll: Buttigieg 23, Biden 23, Sanders 23




What this means is: set the polls aside as a determining factor. The candidates sink or swim on the basis of their ground operations. Warren has the best ground operation in Iowa, and Buttigieg is probably second.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
12 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Thekaspervote

(32,813 posts)
1. Delegate wins will definitely be split in IA.
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 11:56 AM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Skidmore

(37,364 posts)
2. I kind of dismiss
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:01 PM
Jan 2020

anything coming out CBS since it is a FOX channel.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

brooklynite

(94,821 posts)
3. Um, please elaborate?
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:02 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
4. Nice! Wide open contest!
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 12:03 PM
Jan 2020

Nice to see both Warren and Klobuchar moving up again.

Buttigieg's lead is gone, I suppose people went back to Biden and Klobuchar.

Sanders is right in there too.

It's great that voting is finally about to start!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Kahuna7

(2,531 posts)
5. Maybe that, 'No Malarkey' tour wasn't a bad idea after all.
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 01:44 PM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

UniteFightBack

(8,231 posts)
6. They really should put that in alphabetical order since everybody is tied, so it's BIDEN
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 02:20 PM
Jan 2020

Buttigieg, Sanders..........

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Demsrule86

(68,735 posts)
7. Everyone gets delegates unless as could happen Biden wins...so the next two primaries are
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 02:38 PM
Jan 2020

Nevada and South Carolina are important. Biden will win both...and on super Tuesday...I think he will be the nominee.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

dsc

(52,170 posts)
8. unless they did so by the actual unrounded percent
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 02:42 PM
Jan 2020

for the record I haven't a clue if they did that or not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Demsrule86

(68,735 posts)
9. Or the candidates take delegates but no one wins...and Nevada, South Carolina and super Tuesday
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 02:57 PM
Jan 2020

determine our nominee...pretty much.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

karynnj

(59,507 posts)
10. If we assume that these numbers are not only accurate, but no one will change this month,
Sun Jan 5, 2020, 03:01 PM
Jan 2020

it is interesting to consider how this would play in Iowa. From past years, it seemed that in each place where there is a caucus, only candidates with over 15% would get a delegate to go to the state convention. I don't remember if a second threshold of 15% is then employed to get the delegate counts for the state. I think it is the percents computed based on the delegates going to the state convention that is reported and drives public perception of who wins.

Consider further that no candidate's support will be evenly split over the state. I remember in 2008, that Edwards narrowly beat Clinton because of his support in rural areas. In 2004, there were places where Howard Dean missed the threshold - even though he got 18% of the delegates state wide.

What is different from 2004, 2008 and 2016 is that there are more people likely to matter. It is entirely possible that all 5 of those listed will share the delegates. This would be most likely if Klobuchar's support is very unevenly spread. I am sure that each of the campaigns have Iowa expert analysts trying to model how the caucus process to assess where they are and whether there are opportunities to get more.

Any Iowa people or others who have actually been involved in prior years?? (I only watched the 2 caucus location documented on CSPAN in 2004 - when I started watching, I would never have guessed I would become interested enough to stay for hours!)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Gothmog

(145,722 posts)
12. According to Nate, Joe Biden is leading in Iowa
Mon Jan 6, 2020, 01:07 AM
Jan 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»BREAKING: CBS News Iowa P...