Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(49,059 posts) Tue Jan 7, 2020, 08:25 AM Jan 2020

Morning Consult, 1/7/20, SUPER TUESDAY voters: Biden 29%, Sanders 25%, Warren 14%, Buttigieg 7%

Bloomberg 6%, Steyer & Yang 4%, Klobuchar 3%, Booker & Gabbard 2%, all others 1% or less

Summary page with lhe three columns of results (national, early primary states, Super Tuesday):

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

Full results:

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/MCPI_Jan-7.pdf

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

13 replies

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Highlight:

Morning Consult, 1/7/20, SUPER TUESDAY voters: Biden 29%, Sanders 25%, Warren 14%, Buttigieg 7% (Original Post) highplainsdem Jan 2020 OP

Biden leading, but Sanders not far behind. UncleNoel Jan 2020 #1

With his huge lead amongst African-Americans ritapria Jan 2020 #2

I honestly thought Bernie missed his window Cosmocat Jan 2020 #3

Not really. BannonsLiver Jan 2020 #10

It's just one poll... pfeiffer Jan 2020 #4

With his record cash haul, one would expect Sanders to be doing much better than he is. LanternWaste Jan 2020 #6

With his strength with AA voters, Biden should be doing better than he is. crazytown Jan 2020 #9

Keep your eye on the Bloomberg number. Algernon Moncrieff Jan 2020 #5

I don't see Bloomberg hurting Sanders or Warren crazytown Jan 2020 #8

His goal is not necessarily to win... Joe941 Jan 2020 #11

That's what I believe, Uncle Joe Jan 2020 #12

What is the point of further splitting the moderate vote? crazytown Jan 2020 #13

Not on course to win a majority of delegates. crazytown Jan 2020 #7

UncleNoel

(864 posts)

1. Biden leading, but Sanders not far behind.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 08:49 AM

Jan 2020

In all the Morning Consult polls, it is Biden and Sanders with all others lagging far behind.

Waiting for some more Iowa and NH polls!!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

2. With his huge lead amongst African-Americans

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 08:59 AM

Jan 2020

I thought Joe was crushing it in Super Tuesday States ..I am surprised the race is that close ...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Cosmocat

(14,576 posts)

3. I honestly thought Bernie missed his window

Reply to ritapria (Reply #2)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 09:18 AM

Jan 2020

but, he is the horse on the outside lane making a serious go at running down the leader.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

BannonsLiver

(16,531 posts)

10. Not really.

Reply to Cosmocat (Reply #3)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:25 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

pfeiffer

(280 posts)

4. It's just one poll...

Reply to ritapria (Reply #2)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 10:24 AM

Jan 2020

And Super Tuesday is still almost two months away.

I don't believe Bernie is gonna end-up this close to Joe...no matter how much his supporters yell.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LanternWaste

(37,748 posts)

6. With his record cash haul, one would expect Sanders to be doing much better than he is.

Reply to ritapria (Reply #2)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:09 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

9. With his strength with AA voters, Biden should be doing better than he is.

Reply to LanternWaste (Reply #6)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:25 PM

Jan 2020

He is weak with college educated whites and younger voters, mainstays of the Obama Coalition who will vote for him in the GE, but not primaries. A third of the primary vote will not win a majority of delegates - and that's his, ceiling pre IA.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,794 posts)

5. Keep your eye on the Bloomberg number.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 10:39 AM

Jan 2020

He's passed Yang and is nipping at Mayor Pete's heels.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

8. I don't see Bloomberg hurting Sanders or Warren

Reply to Algernon Moncrieff (Reply #5)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:21 PM

Jan 2020

unless he goes negative.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Joe941

(2,848 posts)

11. His goal is not necessarily to win...

Reply to crazytown (Reply #8)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:26 PM

Jan 2020

In case of a brokered convention he wants to have power in the decision.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Uncle Joe

(58,469 posts)

12. That's what I believe,

Reply to Joe941 (Reply #11)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:30 PM

Jan 2020

Bloomberg is shooting for a brokered convention.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

13. What is the point of further splitting the moderate vote?

Reply to Uncle Joe (Reply #12)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:37 PM

Jan 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

crazytown

(7,277 posts)

7. Not on course to win a majority of delegates.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Jan 7, 2020, 01:20 PM

Jan 2020

Since the June debate Biden has had a national poll average ceiling of 30% . He needs closer to 40. Unlike Obama, he is weak with younger voters and college educated whites. They will vote for him in the GE, but not in the primaries.

Biden needs to enter Super Tuesday with momentum. A good result in SC won't do that - it's expected. He needs something closer to HRC's blowout in 2016. IA and NH are critical.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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